Well, it was hard to say how far to go with the role reversal stuff. The fact that Japan, unlike OTL, is post-colonial and socialist certainly argues we aren't doing a straight switch here: OTOH, with Olaf being a UK lefty, this could be seen as his wish fulfillment for the OTL UK.
Well, it certainly makes for a more fascinating world than a straight, one-to-one switch. I like the idea of a ex-imperialist great power turning post-colonial and socialist - "righting one's wrongs" as a sort of historiographical narrative. And yeah, I'm aware things are generally hardly if ever so clean-cut as that - history never is - but you did say Japan here is democratic and more interested in perfecting socialism at home, which seems speaks to at least a non-interventionist policy, and in any case a definite improvement over outright Empire
(The story certainly is not a whole straight role-reversal, beyond the socialist Japan thing: the bit about the "Chinese nations throwing off their age-old enmities" doesn't speak of the aggravations of late 1930s Nazi Germany to me)
I went with the peace thing here, unlike an earlier version I did elsewhere: the Yangtze confederation/Germany is grumpy and with a bit of a chip on its shoulder, but it hasn't undergone a disaster like OTL's world war and certainly isn't *Nazi. Japan has a fair bit of an entente cordiale thing going with North China/the French, but it is hampered by the North Chinese right-wing political parties, which look at Japanese socialism with a great deal of suspicion.
So the "world wars" of this century are still happening in Europe, but with no major wars in east Asia. There'll probably be a Cold War, though, given the ideological set-ups: the socialist UCR against capitalist/colonialist New Nippon, the North Chinese and the rest of east Asia aside Japan, who seem to be probably neutral, likely not a fan of UCR socialism but not a fan of capitalism either.
The UCR seem sorely out-matched as a sole great power by itself, though: maybe the HRE goes socialist to add some oomph to the Red camp?
The war in Europe will principally be New Nippon and North China against the United Kingdoms, I think: Japan may not even directly participate, not having any real skin in the game.
No nukes yet! Will New Nippon develop a nuke to force a United Kingdoms surrender? I dunno.
I'm having trouble finding when the story was written: it was first published posthumously, although it certainly seems to be a late 30's or maybe early 40s story.
The war is soon start in the story itself - the Queen apparently ordered a surprise attack on New Nippon-owned Hamburg, a la Pearl Harbor, which probably indicates an early 40s (post-December-7) writing date, though perhaps that's supposed to represent the Japanese attack on Chinese cities... I dunno.
On that note, I'm curious about the role the HRE might play - they're in the midst of internal conflict, but the coming war is like to take place in their treaty port cities in the continent, regardless of their desires to stay out of the bloodbath.
One thing that complicates things is that, unlike OTL China, they seem to be neutral, or their version of the second Sino-Japanese war was resolved before alt-Pearl Harbor ("It is not long since the last great war obtended its dark bloody wings over our continent. I myself, though scarce in the full bloom of my womanhood, even I can remember the victorious geste of British and French hosts against the heroic but miswitting Germans, whom foreign devils had abduced.")
Er, no, it's a Empire because it has an Emperor. That was a sort of little bit of whimsy on my part, that the Japanese have a socialist revolution but still revere their (holy but largely political impotent) emperor to the extent they keep him around after the revolution as the head of state. I suppose a pure republic would make more sense, but it's less fun.
I agree a republic would probably make more sense: revolutions that seek to radically overthrow the existing social order for whom the monarch is symbolic of generally don't end up well for the monarch in most cases, although I suppose a handwavey logical work-around could be made - perhaps the Japanese see their ruler as primarily representative of their national spirit, one that transcends their specific economic ideology at the time, or something like that (though the problem is that there can be a considerable overlap between the two that can be hard to distinguish, like say the (perhaps perceived?) intertwining of capitalism with American culture).
I'm going with an interpretation of Japan as socialistic but still fairly democratic (the actual revolution may have been messy, but it has avoided a descent into Stalinist or Maoist dictatorship) because, one, I'd consider that what Olaf would _want_ and because the behavior and description of the Japanese characters simply doesn't make sense as representative of a totalitarian dictatorship (nor does the bit about the enviable social conditions.) People can have issue with the notion that a full blown socialist state can avoid dictatorship and crapsack conditions, but it's Stapledon's story, and I'm trying to stick fairly close to what he appeared to be doing.
I can understand that. In any case it's at least a silver lining of a positive for a story that seems to be headed for a cataclysm in Europe.
I'm assuming a lack of slavery. I'd assume New Nippon doesn't think too much about current-day Japan - what would the US think of a UK that went no-bones-about-it Socialist in the 1920s? (See, "Fight and Be Right"
).
Mmhmm. Honestly, if the Japanese truly are non-interventionist and don't give a dog of a crap about what the FNN is up to in Europe or India or what else, I agree with you: the Japanese are democratic, economically prosperous, and share close cultural similiarities which would probably trump any suspicion at socialism - I'm guessing a positive sort of ambivalence.
Yeah, it's definitely more aggressive and more imperialist than our USA. But then Olaf didn't seem to think very highly of the USA: look at the role it plays in his "Last and First Men", for instance.
Apparently to the point of "the USA essentially gassing to death the inhabitants of every European city above 'large town' status"...?
Jesus Christ. Why, even? I'll have to read
Last and First Men sometime.
I was going for a "Turkey" equivalent there, with the islands being sort of like the Near East, but without the OTL Islamic conquests of the Balkans. Perhaps not the best idea?
SE Asia as the Balkans, Nanzhao being sort of an Austria (multiethnic and shambolic),
Nah, I actually find the idea pretty fun. My original thought with the switch would be with India playing the role of (mostly) the North Africa and the Middle East (Christianity = Buddhism, religions finding a home elsewhere in Europe/East Asia, respectively, while essentially almost extinct in their originating lands). Mainland Southeast Asia would be the Balkans, which also borders the alt-Austrian equivalent. Maritime Southeast Asia and Oceania being Africa, with Australia = South Africa (both settler colonies and in the Southern Hemisphere), and Madagascar = New Zealand (islands just east of Australia/South Africa, and both are Austronesian-settled?), but of course other takes work too.
and the alt-Soviet Union being seen as half-east Asian and half "barbarian" rather than half-European: Europe is a more restricted concept than Asia after all!
That's true. I'm not sure of how the Chinese or the Japanese viewed the concept of continents - but maybe in this context "Europe" (they probably wouldn't have used that word, though) in the east Asian mind is a term used to refer to the "Far West", anything west, of, say, the Caspian sea or Tibet or what have you, in the same way Asia in the European imagination refers to anything east of Greece, as a sort of "bunched-up-grouping" of the rest? (After all, it's not like Israel and Java share much in common culturally, despite technically being both "Asian")
I'm probably overthinking this, though. Reading the story, it seems that Olaf just imported the concept of "Europe" from OTL, not really caring to think whether the alt-east Asians would use that term specifically to refer to the "half-European" Soviet Union, or whether they'd even have a concept of clean-cut continent zones.
(Then again, the concept of "Asia" and "Europe" originate to antiquity with the Ancient Greeks - well before the POD here, given there's Vikings and Holy Romans and Tudors and all - so it's haedly impossible to assume that while the East may use some other term for "Europe", it's how
Europeans view themselves, or at least how they view themselves being viewed by the East - like although east Asians might view the *Soviets as "half-barbarian/half-not-east-Asian", the Europeans in this see that as a translation of "half-European", since in this case the "not-east-Asian" elements are
European, if that makes any sense. Sorry if that's confusing!)
The Sinicized (conquered and/or puppetized, but not suffering from heavy ethnic replacement as OTL) native American states are seen as very dubiously part of the East Asian world if at all.
Hmm. OTL South America would actually be a pretty good comparison here - pretty westernized though with surviving native cultural elements, and also only dubiously seen as part of the Western world, if at all. (For instance, I've never once heard Mexico or Peru called Western)
The Maori are another successfully modernizing non-East Asian power: I suppose if the UK is lead-up-to-WWII Japan, the Maori state is more "plucky little Japan" before WWI.
And with no ambitions on South Nippon, yet, I hope?
Anyhow, thanks and appreciate the reply!