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Ouch, reply went in right before the update...

Anywho, I wonder what kind of rep Alexandros will have down the line with the rumor of him having a bastard on throne of someone who tried to court as an ally.

If I'm a ruler in the Balkan's, I don't think I'd let him get too close to my court. Being known as a cuckold while being a strong nation like Hungary has got to be mortifying.
 
Hi there new reader here. I like what you have done so far, and am interested in what future updates would bring. Out of curiosity what would the population of the Trapezuntine Empire be around 1485-1495, I would guess somewhere from 500,000-600,000 depending on the overall casualties from the war and the population of the territories annexed in the Crimea?
 
The Trapezuntines will have to be clement with the Muslims for the time being, if only out of self-interest. I also have some ideas about renaissance Italy and it seems you know a great deal about it. Can I PM you later?

Of course, write me when you can, I would be glad to help!

I am curious to ask; who Alexandros gave the regency of the Empire when he was away in search of European allies? I wonder if his diplomatic failures in Central Europe were fruit of his brazen aptitude, or the fact both Hungarians and Polish weren't really interested at the moment to help Trebisund and besides why they should, from the moment it was a small regional Eastern Anatolian realm technically vassal of the Ottomans?

Despite, it is clear how this vassallage is tenuous at least - the Sublime Porte pratically did nothing to counter Alexander's attempts - and would be hard to believe in Constantinople they won't hear of the long absence of the Autocrat of Trebisund; hence or the Sublime Porte was not in good place in the interior, or let it go because waited for the right time to strike against Pontus, or hesitated because it wasn't confident of the victory.

The alliance of convenience with Venice resulted more weak than expected, as the Serenissima didn't bounce back - it also lost positions in the West Mediterranean - the only chance with the Lion of Saint Mark is seeking some deal with Egypt IMO. Trebisund was tossed out by the Mameluks, which shows how they weren't really interested to meddle in Anatolia, and being excluded from Syrian routes wasn't good either. But maybe, Cairo could let the Venetians give some relief - which may pay more for the Egyptians because Venice is in a situation of weakness... I wonder if Cyprus could be put on the fence due of the evolving situation.
 

Eparkhos

Banned
This isn't an update, just some thoughts I had on religion and the reformation TTL. I think Northern Europe will become Protestant as TTL, but obviously things are going to be different. It think Poland-Lithuania and Hungary-Croatia will both remain Catholic, both for convenience's sake as well as the need to keep ties to the west in the face of rising Turkish power. Italy will probably stay Catholic, as will Iberia. However, I think that with the power of the Habsburgs significantly reduced, Protestantism will spread over most if not all of Germany, leaving France as the religious battleground.

I recentyl discovered an interesting figure named Reginald Peacock, Bishop of Chichester. OTL, Peacock was an inquisitor who devoted his life to stamping out Lollardy, a proto-Protestant heresy. However, he is most notable for nearly being burned at the stake in 1459 for stating that the Pope was more authoritative in all matters of faith than the Bible. Obviously, I can't let such a fascinating character go to waste, and it will be due to !Peacock's tenure as Archbishop of Canterbury that England stays Catholic, if not becoming some sort of bizzare ultra-Catholic who thinks the Pope in Rome is a heretic.
 

Eparkhos

Banned
Guess that Crusade won’t be happening anytime. Alexandros got dealt a pretty shit hand when it came to diplomacy in Europe but his alliances with most of the Beyliks definitely make up for it.

love the personal and awesome friendship Trapezuntine and Kartevlia has. Cant wait till Trapuzuntine aids Kartevelia. That will be a hype moment
It will definitely be interesting.
 

Eparkhos

Banned
Ouch, reply went in right before the update...

Anywho, I wonder what kind of rep Alexandros will have down the line with the rumor of him having a bastard on throne of someone who tried to court as an ally.

If I'm a ruler in the Balkan's, I don't think I'd let him get too close to my court. Being known as a cuckold while being a strong nation like Hungary has got to be mortifying.
Yeah, neither Hunyadi or Hungary will be having anything to do with Trapezous for the time being. He probably sent a few assassins who were either killed en route or lost there nerve, but I didn't think to include it.
Hi there new reader here. I like what you have done so far, and am interested in what future updates would bring. Out of curiosity what would the population of the Trapezuntine Empire be around 1485-1495, I would guess somewhere from 500,000-600,000 depending on the overall casualties from the war and the population of the territories annexed in the Crimea?
The current population is hovering a little under 500,000. Losses from the war effectively cancelled out the gains from Perateia and Vatoume.
Of course, write me when you can, I would be glad to help!

I am curious to ask; who Alexandros gave the regency of the Empire when he was away in search of European allies? I wonder if his diplomatic failures in Central Europe were fruit of his brazen aptitude, or the fact both Hungarians and Polish weren't really interested at the moment to help Trebisund and besides why they should, from the moment it was a small regional Eastern Anatolian realm technically vassal of the Ottomans?

Despite, it is clear how this vassallage is tenuous at least - the Sublime Porte pratically did nothing to counter Alexander's attempts - and would be hard to believe in Constantinople they won't hear of the long absence of the Autocrat of Trebisund; hence or the Sublime Porte was not in good place in the interior, or let it go because waited for the right time to strike against Pontus, or hesitated because it wasn't confident of the victory.

The alliance of convenience with Venice resulted more weak than expected, as the Serenissima didn't bounce back - it also lost positions in the West Mediterranean - the only chance with the Lion of Saint Mark is seeking some deal with Egypt IMO. Trebisund was tossed out by the Mameluks, which shows how they weren't really interested to meddle in Anatolia, and being excluded from Syrian routes wasn't good either. But maybe, Cairo could let the Venetians give some relief - which may pay more for the Egyptians because Venice is in a situation of weakness... I wonder if Cyprus could be put on the fence due of the evolving situation.
The regency went to his half-brother, Basileios Mgeli. Close enough to him to be trusted, but not close enough to have a claim to the throne. The Porte--more accurately, Angelovic Pasha--was distracted by an ongoing war in Albania. I'll cover it in the end of the century section, but Albania is just as much a mess as it was OTL and constant infighting has turned it into a barely-functioning realm. Ottoman forces had been depleted by Vlach and Karaman raids, and so they didn't have the reserves to strike in two places at once.

As for Venice, I imagine they can keep their age-old deal with the Egyptians. As you mentioned, Cyprus could potentially be weened away. A condominium as the Arabs and Byzantines had, perhaps.
 
Part XXV: Gog and Magog (1495-1497)

Eparkhos

Banned
Part XXV: Gog and Magog (1495-1497)

The Golden Horde had for many decades been seen as the old man of the steppes. Generations of misrule had seen the once-mighty khanate splinter into a half-dozen feuding tribes, the government at Sarai barely able to maintain control over her subject tribes. However, the ascension to the throne of the young and energetic Sultan Ahmed[1] to the khaganship in 1479 had halted this decline. Ahmed had moved quickly to consolidate his realm, crushing the breakaway Qasim Khanate and punishing the insolent Russian tributaries in 1480, crushing a Muscovite army at Kremenskoye and then sacking Muscow herself the next spring[2]. He had then turned his attention east and reduced the Crimean Khanate to a tributary in 1485, then annexed it outright in 1488. A series of wars with the Nogai Horde had seen them driven across the Ural River, cementing the Golden Horde’s dominance on the Ponto-Caspian Steppe. The old tributaries in the Caucasus had also been restored, bringing in a steady flow of gold and slaves to Sarai.

However, these conquests were not sufficient to insulate Ahmed from legitimacy problems. The khagan had been born to the elder Sultan Ahmed and a Russian slave, and behind his back many whispered that he was in fact an apostate, not a true Muslim like the rest of them. This charge was levied against him not only by his domestic enemies but also by the rulers of his rival hordes, with the Khan of Khazan even going so far as to try and declare a jihad against him in 1492. This wound up going nowhere after the Khazanates collapsed into a succession crisis, but the prospect of a religious war against him spooked Ahmed. He decided that the only way for him to legitimize himself as a true Muslim was to wage jihad in turn against the Christ-worshiping infidels who surrounded him.

His initial target was the Principality of Ryazan, one of the Russian principalities whose ruler had made the foolish mistake of siding with the Crimeans during his invasion of the khanate. However, before he had even begun to muster his horsemen, his attentions were drawn to the far south of his realm. The shamkhale of Tarki, a small Muslim state on the northern side of the Caucasian mountains, had been defeated by their former vassals, the recently Orthodox Avars under Rusalav I. The Avars had the backing of the Kartvelians, who hoped to expand their sphere of influence across the mountains, and Kartlian and Abkhazian soldiers had participated in the ruthless sack of Tarki. Ahmed saw this as a direct affront to his hegemony in the Caucasus, and more over an insult to the House of Islam at large. In 1494, his pet ulema declared jihad against the infidels of Kartvelia, calling all Muslims to arms against them.

Ahmed rallied all the fighting men of his realm to arms, as well as a sizable number of ghazis from neighboring realms. By the spring of 1495, he had mustered some 70,000 horsemen and 10,000 footmen outside of Sarai, a force more than large enough to overwhelm the kaffirs across the mountains. In April of that year, he lead this great host south, intent on razing Kartvelia to the ground like the great khans of old.

Word of this approach sent Kartvelia and the Kartvelian court into a panicked frenzy. On paper, Alek’sandre could muster an epic army of nearly 100,000[3], but this was entirely on paper. Alek’sandre’s now decade-long reign has continued Giorgi’s attempt at centralization, in spite of the promises he had made to his supporters during the civil war. Why he thought this was a good idea is unknown--perhaps the allure of absolute[4] power was too sweet to be resisted--but this had ginned up a great deal of opposition, both loud and quiet, amongst the nobility. Several of the eastern dukes were plotting to overthrow him, and he had decidedly alienated most of the mountainous tribes and clans that lived in the high mountains. Practically, he could muster only some 45,000 men from his own holdings and his loyal vassals, not counting mercenaries or auxiliaries hired abroad or from their vassals. In spite of the existential threat to Kartvelia, many of the nobles were unwilling to put aside their petty differences and pull together to save all of them, leaving their fatherland understrength and vulnerable.

For several days after receiving word of the coming jihad, Alek’sandre was perilyzed by indecision as he struggled to plot a course that would allow him and his nation to survive the invasion. He spent days and nights engrossed in maps and charts, consulting with his generals and advisors in hopes of concocting a victorious stratagem. He slowly became aware that many of his subjects would not be answering the call to arms, and began to despair of defeating the Mongols with the measly forces available to him. The king became melancholic and exhausted, spending his days in planning and his nights in prayer. One night in May, after weeks of barely sleeping and with his knees bloody from incessant worship, Alek’sandre fell asleep in the midst of prayer. In his dreams the angel Gabriel appeared to him, saying “Lo, do not be afraid. God would not put before you a task which you could not complete. You shall throw Gog and Magog out through the fiery gates as Alexander before you.”

Upon awakening, Alek’sandre rushed to his generals. The meaning behind the angel’s words were as clear to him as they would be to any medieval monarch. The greatest of the many feats which Alexander had performed was the banishing of the wicked nations of Gog and Magog, whom had so long savaged the lands of Kartvelia[5], across the mountains. After routing their kings, he had then built a great fortress across the Caucasian Gates so that they wouldn’t return. Now, Alek’sandre would do as his namesake had and meet the invaders in the pass, where their weight of numbers would be nullified by the difficult terrain. There, God willing, the Kartvelians would defeat the Mahometans and preserve their kingdom for the one true faith.

However, things weren’t as simple as just marching to the Caucasian Gates and fortifying them. Alek’sandre was no fool, and this idea had occurred to him before. The problem was that moving all his men to guard the Gates would leave the western passes through Circassia completely unguarded, which would let the Mongols waltz in completely unopposed. He couldn’t split his forces, as doing so would leave him without the forces to defend either the Gates or the Circassian passes. He needed more men than were available to him, and he needed them quickly. In late May, he wrote to Alexandros of Trapezous and begged him to return the Kartvelian support which had buoyed him at Saint Eugenios. Alexandros, surprisingly[6], agreed, and marched to join the Kartvelians with some 15,000. The entry of this sizeable Trapezuntine force considerably altered the situation on the ground, as Alek’sandre now had enough men and material to set his trap.

In mid-June, Alek’sandre raised 10,000 of his best soldiers and marched out from Tbilisi. They made for the passes, which lay nearly due north of the capital, and within a few days they had entered the mountains. They advanced along the narrow pass as far as the small monastery of Semghisa[7], where the pass was less than a hundred feet wide. Here they dug in, hauling stones and mud to create a stone rampart that rose taller than three meters, peppered with holes for spears to be stuck through. The valley before them was scattered with caltrops, while archers were sent up the sides of the mountains to fire down on any attacker. Meanwhile, the joint Kartvelian-Trapezuntine army, joined by several thousand Circassians who were no friends of the Mongols, was camped at Layslo[8], where any army approaching from the north or west into Abkhazia would be forced to pass. The general feeling was apocalyptic, soldiers knowing that they would either do or die and that their families would suffer egregiously for their failure. Bishops and priests passed throughout the camps at all hours of the day. Alexandros went so far as to declare that the coming struggle would be a holy war, as God had sanctioned them with the appearance of Gabriel to Alek’sandre and Satan was surely behind this Muslim horde. This caused a stir back in Trapezous and Tbilisi, but its long-term impacts would not be felt until much later.

Finally, in mid-June, Ahmet arrived. The khan had been forced to tarry in Old Alania to deal with an uprising amongst the slaves there, and he was eager to make up for lost time. He sent scouts ahead to probe the two crossing points[9], keeping his main force in reserve on the steppe. After a few days the scouts returned to him. They reported that the western passes were heavily defended and that many of the Circassian tribesmen had forsaken their pledges as vassals and would fight with their coreligionists instead. The Caucasian Gates, however, were seemingly unguarded, and could be quickly stormed through. In truth, the scouts had been driven off by Avar raiders before they had even made it ten miles into the pass, and so the scouts were fabricating their reports out of fear. Ahmet took this second report at face value, and so marched due south towards Kartvelian. The Mongol army entered the pass on 26 June, quickly bunching up as the pass narrowed to a few hundred feet wide. The army (not to mention the van) stretched out for miles along the narrow road as they advanced into the spine of the Caucasus mountains. Ahmet was having enough trouble sorting out his supply situation and was thus inattentive to probing ahead, a fatal mistake.

Several days into the mountains, the Mongols were taken by surprise as the rocky faces above them erupted with arrow fire. Caught completely unawares and packed together like sardines, the Mongols could do little but wait for the attack to abate. Once it did, Ahmed ordered his men forward again, suspecting that there was a Kartvelian force nearby. He had no idea how right he was. At the next bend of the river, the Mongols were greeted with roaring cannons and a hail of arrows as Alek’sandre’s men opened fire, cutting down dozens of the tightly packed horsemen before they pulled back back around a bend in the river. The Kartvelian cannons were of the Trapezuntine make, and so several of them were quickly hauled up a nearby cliff-side to continue firing down on the Mongols as they made an awkward retreat. Hoping that this had brought the Kartvelians out of position, Ahmed ordered his men to charge forward and try to storm the barricade. They were cut down en masse, as without room to maneuver the lightly armed and armored mounted archers were easy prey for the cannonade and arrows of the defenders. A few reached the barricade, only to be greeted by ranks of unsmiling pikemen and cut down once they summited it. After nearly two hours of this, Ahmed sounded a withdrawal.

In his makeshift camp that night, Ahmed was faced with a difficult decision. The narrow confines of the pass made it impossible for his horsemen to act to their full potential, and he could see little other result except waves of Mongols dying on the barricade. Eventually, they would break through, but they would be shot to hell and quite possibly be too tired to continue their advance. However, their narrow ranks and the general uselessness of the horse archers meant that any withdrawal would essentially turn their rear into a turkey shoot for the Kartvelians. He couldn’t advance and he couldn’t retreat, so for now he was stuck in position. All the time, Kartvelian cannonballs were falling into the ranks of horsemen, carving bloody trails through their dense formation.

The Great Stand at Aleks’andretsikhe[10], as it would become known as, would last for the next two weeks. The Mongols’ supplies and morale gradually wound down, while the Kartvelians remained fresh and vigorous. The Mongols lost a steady number of men each day as Kartvelian shells kept falling. After several days of deliberation, Ahmed decided to bite the bullet and pull back. Literally, pull back. The Mongol army retreated from the pass, moving backwards one step at a time so the Kartvelians couldn’t rush in and attack their flank. Over the following two weeks, the Mongols completely withdrew back onto the steppe.

This humiliating defeat caused Ahmed’s cause to shatter. Most of the ghazis quit the army out of disgust, and several bands from the recently-conquered parts of the steppe broke off and returned to their homelands, intent on sparking revolt. The khan and the remainder of his army, seeking to salvage something from the fiasco, went eastward into Circassia, where they spent several months pillaging the disloyal tributaries. However, he did not attempt to conquer these regions, fearing that he was already over-extended. He wintered on the Pontic steppe before returning to his heartland territories the next spring, in response to a Qasimite incursion. Kartvelia had survived.

After the Mongol withdrawal, Alexandros and the Trapezuntines withdrew back to Pontos. The ongoing thunderdome on the steppe would keep their surrounding regions quiet, and the Trapezuntines would spend the next half-decade in a quiet period. This silence would be broken, however, when the Lithuanian Civil War spilled out onto Trapezuntine holdings….

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[1] This is OTL’s Sheikh Ahmed, the son of the Sultan Ahmed who participated in the Great Stand on the Ugra River
[2] TTL, the Russians blinked first at the Great Stand, and the Mongols won the resulting battle. Moscow was sacked and then burned to the ground, the Grand Duchy shattering into its constituent parts. The largest of these successors is Nizhny Novgorod, ruled by the capable general Vasily Vasilivech Bledny
[3] Giorgi VIII claimed that he could raise this many men for a crusade, but as you see this number is highly suspect.
[4] ‘Absolute’ in quotations, as no medieval monarch was truly absolute.
[5] This story has existed since at least the 7th Century and is well-attested to as a folktale across Europe and the Near East.
[6] The bandons had recently suffered a blow in the form of a nastly plague
[7] OTL Tsdo, Georgia
[8] OTL Adler
[9] There were actually three passes: Ciracsssia, the Caucasian Gates, and the Derbent Gates, but the latter lay in the territory of the Qutlughids, who Ahmed feared angering.
[10] This name is slightly anachronistic. Aleks’andretsikhe was a large fortress created by Alek’sandre in the years after the Great Stand to secure the pass from any further invasions. Aleks’andretsikhe was one of seven fortresses that straddled the pass, making invasion from the north nearly impossible. Its name means ‘Alexander’s Castle’, after both Alexander the Great and Alek’sandre the II.
 

Eparkhos

Banned
Not even Polish-Lithuanian civil war? Huh, interesting times ahead, in the Chinese sense at least.
It's somewhat of a misnomer, it's essentially a conflict between magnates who back the claim of the Polish king and those who back the Lithuanian grand duke. However, the Poles are distracted in the west and the pro-Polish rebels chose a bad time.
 
Part XXVI: Oak and Ash and Thorn (1481-1500)

Eparkhos

Banned
Part XXVII: Oak and Ash and Thorn (1481-1500)

The discovery of Brasil and, more importantly, the commercial popularity of jachaing[1], set off a settlement boom across the closing decades of the 15th century. Merchants from across England would clamor to back expeditions to the new world as the returns of even a marginally successful colony would make its backers very rich men indeed. Amongst these private expeditions, there were also several government-backed expeditions sent to maintain order in the colonies and to ensure that the Royal Exchequer got its cut of the bonanza. These first decades would be a period of English hegemony, and both Edward and private investors were eager to make the most of it before continental competitors intervened.

In the spring of 1481, three expeditions put out for Brasil. The largest was that of Edward Weston, which sported a pair of cogs, Adam and Enoch and a hulk, Steady. The Weston expedition was commanded by Edward’s son, William, who had accompanied Jay on his first voyage and managed to survive the wreck of Trinity, being swept onto the deck of George alive but soaked. The Weston expedition departed Bristol on 21 April, carrying one-hundred and thirty-four men. Weston hoped to establish a jachaing plantation, and he outfitted his expedition with farmers, butchers[2], tanners, carpenters, wheel-wrights and mercenaries, everything that was needed to establish and maintain a plantation and its outlying farms. Hell, he even threw in the materials to make wine, just in case the new land had the climate for it[3]. The Weston expedition was the larger of the private expeditions that sailed that year and the best-prepared out of any of them. Many of the crew members aboard these ships were survivors from the first expedition, and so they also had the advantage of technical know-how.

The other private expedition was that of Robert Strumy, who was especially eager to make for Brasil. Had Trinity--his ship--returned with only a third of the jachaing that George had, he would have been the richest man in Bristol, and he was determined to not late fate prevent him from reaching this goal. He commissioned two ships, George and a second anglic caravel[4], Fortune, under George’s navigator from the previous voyage, Walter Fish. There were some hundred and seven men aboard the ships, most of them farmers with a handful of other tradesmen and, of course, mercenaries. Most importantly, however, they carried a great number of cheap goods that could be used as trading chits, which Fish hoped to use to ingratiate himself with the Lenylenapy.

Finally, there was the Royal Colonial Fleet, which was being assembled in London under the supervision of John Jay himself. Jay’s stories of the strange land over the sea had fascinated Edward IV, and the king was willing to support Jay’s proposition to Parliament for funding. Enough MPs were swayed by Jay’s increasingly elaborate tales of Brasil, and an expedition was put together to return to this strange country. Four ships--the cogs Bounty and Rapid, the hulk Graveline and the rush-built anglic caravel Rose of Raby--were given over to Jay, with the total number of crew and colonizers numbering two-hundred and eighty-three. Many of these men were soldiers, sent to secure Fort Saint George and the other cessations, but there were also a great number of landless farmers whom had been recruited for settlement, herdsmen, butchers, carpenters and other craftsmen. Edward tasked Jay with three tasks; One, build a castle at Fort Saint George to defend English territory from hostile natives and/or the French; Two, secure territory for the farming and production (i.e. curing[5] and preparation for the voyage back to England) of jachaing, as well as the production of a sufficient amount of food to supply the forces there; Three, ascertain the source of the gold which Jay had been given by the Lenylenapy so it could be secured for the English crown[6]. He was also instructed by the Bishop of Canterbury, Reginald Peacock, to convert as many of the Lenylenapy to the true faith as possible, and to this end the priest Lewis Johnson was sent to accompany him. Before departing in early May, Jay was invested as “Governour of Colony of New England” and given the authority to collect pledges of fealty to the king from any of the natives of Brasil, as well as permission to knight any of the natives to further their loyalty. Finally, on 6 May 1481, to the cheers of all London, Jay set out on his second voyage.

It was a surprisingly quiet voyage. There were some slight navigation difficulties caused by unexpectedly strong winds blowing the ships towards the south-west, but after Jay ordered a course correction based on sextant coordinates every hour, this problem sorted itself out. After thirty-one days at sea, considerably faster than his previous voyage, Jay and the English fleet sailed into the bay below Fort Saint George, which Jay christened House-of-York Bay, to be later shortened to ‘York Bay’, on 6 June. He would be pleasantly surprised to see Weston’s ships riding at anchor in Upper York Bay. After a slightly longer voyage, William Weston had arrived at Fort Saint George on 28 May, and quickly gone to work on creating a slice of England in the New World. Half of Saint George Island, as it had been known, was being cleared of trees. Weston hoped to create two great jachaing farms surrounded by a number of yeomen farms, which was exactly what Jay had also hoped to do. However, there were too many would-be settlers for the land to be divided along those lines. Neither really cared about the small freeholders, but there just wasn’t enough space for four jachaing farms. Jay claimed that his royal monopoly gave him the right to establish the plantations, while Weston believed that it was his because he had gotten their first. The two quickly had a falling out, and while Jay was able to force Weston to give up the lands, their relationship never recovered. The first crop of jachaing was harvested the next spring, and a few months later Rapid departed back to England with her hold full with that and cured hides from the strange-looking animals of Brasil.

However, there was one thing that Jay and Weston agreed upon, that being their concern over the disappearance of the Fish expedition. It had departed in late April[7], but was nowhere to be found and never arrived at Fort Saint George. Many speculated that they had gone down in the Atlantic, but this was only partly true.

Only a few weeks out from Bristol, Fortune had been destroyed one night by a massive freak wave[8] that had effectively just swallowed the ship. George, however, managed to survive with only minor damage, and Fish was able to steer onwards towards Brasil. However, severe storms would badly damage George, with another freak wave on 16 May causing the mast to snap off and taking the ship’s only two sextans with it. George then drifted for the next week and a half, with their water supplies quickly becoming exhausted. Only by drinking their own piss were Fish and his crew able to survive long enough to drift ashore. On 27 May, the ship made landfall on the Strumy Islands. Things were still desperate, but at least they would die on land. A sailor then spotted a piece of glinting metal in the sand, which was quickly retrieved and identified as a broken sextant that had been left there the previous year. Fish quickly realized they were only a few miles from the well which he had visited on the previous voyage, and the surviving crew from George quickly scrambled over the sound to the mainland. After quenching his thirst, Fish concluded that they were too far from Fort Saint George to walk there, and decided to make the best of the situation. A gap in the barrier islands was found and George was rowed/pulled through to the sound. A small fort was then erected, called Fort Saint Noah after the patron saint of sailors, on a peninsula jutting out into the sound. Contact was made with the locals, a tribe of Lenylenapy called the Navasing[9], who were very hostile. Fish quickly cordoned off the passage to the mainland and limited his men to the small peninsula. They grew or fished just enough food to survive while George’s mast was rebuilt, and in the spring of 1482 the ship limped into York Bay. Fort Saint Noah would be retaken by a small English force a few weeks later, as Jay didn’t want to show weakness to the natives.

Speaking of conflicts with the natives, early 1485 saw England’s first colonial war. After returning in 1482, Jay had knighted the old chief Thomagwa and his son, Pasaquon, after they had agreed to be baptized. They took this as a sign of friendship, while Jay believed it constituted the formal admission of the ‘Earldom of Sanheecan’ to the Kingdom of England. As such, when members of a neighboring tribe burned several Sanheecan villages on the mainland, Jay was infuriated and offered to help the Sanheecan get revenge on their attackers. Thomagwa told Jay that the attackers had been from the Canarsee and Rowatan[10] tribes; this was false, but the Canarsee and Rowatan were long-time rivals of the Sanheecan, and the old chief was hardly going to give up a chance to crush his rivals. The two rulers then conspired to undo these tribes. Thomagwa sent a message to the Rowatan and challenged them to an honor battle, as was common at the time, on the mainland just north of Saint George Island. The Rowatan chief agreed, and a few days later a number of Sanheecan warriors rowed up the Jay River[11]. As they approached, the Rowatan warriors came out onto the beach to greet them. They were then turned into a fine paste as the waiting Rose of Raby opened fire with grapeshot from a few hundred yards. Then, with their best warriors dead, the Sanheecans and their English allies defeated the rest of the tribe. The Canarsee, upon hearing of this massacre, fled in terror from their settlements on Jay Island. The Sanheecans returned to their homes satisfied, but Jay saw an opportunity to expand English territory in Brasil. He annexed half of the former Rowatan territory and the entirety of Canarsee territory on Jay Island as part of New England. This angered Teedyooscung, who was still the nominal overlord of both the Sanheecan and the vanquished tribes, but after a delegation was sent to Aquancoc by both the Sanheecan and the English, he reluctantly recognized the annexation of the new territories.

This annexation vastly expanded the size of New England, with the English now ruling over the western third of Jay Island. The other two thirds were ruled by the Shynecocks[12] tribe, who were diplomatically isolated but, more importantly, had converted to Catholicism in 1484. Distant cousins of Sanheecans, the Shynecocks had become taken with the faith of these strange new arrivals, and swiftly adopted it in both name and practice. The leader of the Shynecocks, known by his Christian name of Eleazar, was a young and clever ruler, and he saw the opportunities presented by the arrival of the English to advance his people’s position. In 1491, he sent a set of ‘priests’ to their rival tribes and former overlords of the Pequot and the Narragansett, who were then killed as spies. Eleazar appealed to Jay, speaking of how the infidels had slaughtered these pious converts, and when the governor was as fired up as he hoped he would be, the English and Shynecocks struck. The Pequot and Narragansett were defeated in a bloody battle at the village of Weekapaug. The Shynecocks then annexed several islands between Jay Island and the mainland, while the English sent a message that the killing of missionaries would not be tolerated. Eleazar then set about trying to advance his people as the foremost ally of the English. He took the unprecedented step of learning how to write and speak English, and was knighted by Jay in 1492. Two years later, he sailed to London, where he became an object of great spectacle, with curious crowds of Londoners following him wherever he went throughout the town. Eleazar gave homage directly to Edward IV. He was invested as Earl Eleazar I of Shynecocks, founder of the House of Shynecocks[13]. Earl Eleazar would return to Brasil the next year, and would reign until his death in 1506.

However, the greatest impact of the conquest or vassalization of Jay Island would not be the creation of the first Brasilian Earldom. Rather, it would be the resultant flood of settlers into New England. There was now more than enough space for farming, and in 1486 Weston moved across to Jay Island and established his own plantation. Over the next fifteen years, seven other plantations[14] were established on Jay Island, as well as several dozen smaller farms settled by yeomen. The promise of land and good wages caused many of the more fortunate farmers to pick up sticks and move across the Atlantic. They came in increasing numbers as the number of voyages to the New World increased with the number of plantations, and by the year 1500 there were nearly 2,000 settlers living in New England. Of course, these weren’t enough to grow all the jachaing that the markets in Europe desired, and so the wicked practice of slavery first spread into the (European) New World. Jay, having briefly been a slave himself in the Barbary Coast, adamantly refused to support the practice, but after he and his wife[15] retired to a small farm near Fort Saint George in 1496, the new governor, a bastard son of Edward IV named Arthur of Lisle, wholeheartedly embraced it. The English launched several slave raids against the tribes who lived on the mainland across from Jay Island, with Eleazar frequently leading them out of a desire for revenge against his rivals in the region, as well as the Navasing, who had migrated northwards to the shores of York Bay. The latter raided the Sanheecan on several occasions in hopes of forcing the English to halt, but this only served to drive them closer to their European patrons. In 1497, the Sanheecan were baptized en masse and Pasaquon voyaged back to England, where he became the second of the Brasilian Earls[16].

These vassalizations and raids brought the English and the natives into close proximity, and in 1498 the first bout of plague began. Entire villages surrounding Fort Saint George were stricken by an apocalyptic combination of smallpox, tuberculosis and dozens of other diseases. Entire tribes collapsed in the space of months, with often only a handful of survivors escaping to spread the disease further into the interior. Secondary outbreaks occurred far up the York River[17], which Jay’s half-brother, Robert Hammond, had been sent to explore the previous year. Once-prosperous villages were left shells of their former selves, and the great tribal confederations that had once dominated the region collapsed in a matter of weeks. The horrors of this period are too great to describe, but can be summed as following; It is estimated that within a hundred-mile range of Fort Saint George, three out of every four of the native Brasilians died.

The plagues that struck Brasil would be one of the greatest mass deaths in human history. These, combined with the enslavement which occurred after his retirement--which, to be fair, he did little to oppose after abdicating the governorship--have led many to accuse Jay of being a genocidal maniac. There is little truth to this, as he does seem to have done his best to treat the natives well. Most notably, he effectively ignored his mission to search for gold, although why he did this is unknown. It is entirely possible that this appears like a humanitarian decision to us due to the sheer bloodiness of Lisle’s gold hunt and the ensuing wars…

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[1] Lenape word of tobacco
[2] At this time, butchers smoked a good deal of meat, and so it was logically concluded that they were the best-suited to smoke-dry tobacco like the Brasilians did.
[3] At this time, a good bit of wine was still produced in the south of England, as the Little Ice Age had not yet begun.
[4] An Anglic or English caravel was a knock-off of the Portuguese caravel which was produced in England.
[5] The English produced jachaing in the following manner; The leaves would be gathered up and spread in the sun to dry. Then, they would be placed on racks in a smoky room, where they would be kept to prepare them for their voyage. They would then be bundled up, stuffed into containers, and then shipped back to England. From there, they would be sold domestically or abroad, raking in a good deal of money for their producers and distributors.
[6] Recall that Jay had been given a small amount of gold by the natives; this would later be the cause of much bloodshed during Lisle’s tenure as governor.
[7] Weston had rushed his putting out in hopes of beating Strumy to Fort Saint George.
[8] These are disturbingly frequent in the present day, and I see no reason why they wouldn’t be back then.
[9] The Navasing are the OTL Navasing. Fort Saint Noah is located at OTL Toms River, New Jersey
[10] Those are the OTL Carnasey and Raritan tribes
[11] TTL name for the East River; The battle was fought somewhere in the Bronx
[12] TTL’s Shinnecock people
[13] Motto: Primus est in fide et fidelis (First in faith and loyalty), Arms: Or a stag passant argent in full, per fess sable.
[14] ‘Plantations’ here means a farm dedicated to growing jachaing and only jachaing, not the massive sprawling farms of the OTL South.
[15] In 1484, he married a Saheecan woman who is known by her baptismal name, Anne of Saint George.
[16] The Earldom of Saheecan; Motto: Forti fidelique (Strong and loyal), Arms:Azure a castle sable in full, per fess vert
[17] TTL name for the Hudson. In 1497, Hammond had sailed up the York as far north as OTL Fort Edward

I should also note that I wasn’t very clear about how the jachaing trade worked; Companies and individuals could run their own plantations, but they were required to give a percentage of it to the crown as tax, as well as pay for their rights to grow and process the crop.

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Please comment, I spent a long time on writing all of this.
 
This is an interesting account of an alternate invasion of the Americas. I'm curious as to how English Brazil will turn out.
I should also note that I wasn’t very clear about how the jachaing trade worked; Companies and individuals could run their own plantations, but they were required to give a percentage of it to the crown as tax, as well as pay for their rights to grow and process the crop.
I appreciate that you looked into it. If it's any consolation, I don't know enough to tell what (if anything) you got wrong.

On a long overdue side-note, I also want to thank you for putting some thought into this and not just making it "And then the Trapezutines took back Constantinople, and Anatolia, and the Maghreb, and then colonized one of the two American continents all by themselves, and then took over the whole Mediterranean, and then everyone in the world became Orthodox, and then they conquered the Moon, all by the year 1600!"
 
This is an interesting account of an alternate invasion of the Americas. I'm curious as to how English Brazil will turn out.

I appreciate that you looked into it. If it's any consolation, I don't know enough to tell what (if anything) you got wrong.

On a long overdue side-note, I also want to thank you for putting some thought into this and not just making it "And then the Trapezutines took back Constantinople, and Anatolia, and the Maghreb, and then colonized one of the two American continents all by themselves, and then took over the whole Mediterranean, and then everyone in the world became Orthodox, and then they conquered the Moon, all by the year 1600!"
same from me
 
English settlement of the Atlantic Seaboard several centuries earlier is going to result in a demographic monster in North America long-term.
 
  1. I also like the alternate fate for Columbus in this timeline. We've already got someone else (falsely) credited as the discoverer of the New World, so it stands to reason to have him do something else. I hope that Savona won't end up like Genoa.
  2. Does the shattering of Muscovy mean that the Golden Horde might be given more of a chance to found a lasting nation-state? I like the idea of that since Russia's expansion to encompass everything from the Baltic Sea to the Bering Strait was far from inevitable.
  3. Do the Brasilian Earldoms still exist following the mass die-off or were they decimated as well? If they were decimated I'm thinking that they'd eventually only exist as white European-dominated earldoms still using the names of the tribes that used to exist there. At the very least they'd be more Metis than pure Native American.
 
I would like to see Columbus crash and burn like otl.The man was a horrible governor and his discovery of the Americas was due to luck rather than a stroke of genius.
 
I would like to see Columbus crash and burn like otl.The man was a horrible governor and his discovery of the Americas was due to luck rather than a stroke of genius.
But why though? ITTL Columbus hasn't done anything remotely like his OTL counterpart. Seems like he's doing well just working in the Black Sea. Meanwhile, it would be the English that would be the focus of much of the New World atrocities.
 
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I too wouldn't want to put too much on Columbus, but the fervor of reqonquista vs a scandanavia adjacent to the incoming protestant movement will be interesting. This goes doubly so with a less successful Ottoman hegemon to draw inspiration from and for the Catholics to use as sticking point against them.
 
But why though? ITTL Columbus hasn't done anything remotely like his OTL counterpart. Seems like he's doing well just working in the Black Sea. Meanwhile, it would be the English that would be the focus of much of the New World atrocities.
He’s just that incompetent.
 
Please comment, I spent a long time on writing all of this
I expected them to anglicize the word for Tobacco more. You may still wish to do that.

A little early for predictions, but Greater England is probably going to be a demographic juggernaut. It remains to be seen how connected it'll stay to the home country.

Lots of native enthusiasm. Am surprised that none of the new nobles died in England (as was often the case with native Americans visiting the old world.)
 
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