Which impending crisis will be the most impactful?

  • Recession

    Votes: 10 40.0%
  • War in Korea

    Votes: 13 52.0%
  • May's scandal

    Votes: 2 8.0%

  • Total voters
    25
  • Poll closed .
Hooo boy, I sense more chaos coming. And dang, losing 2 PMs near the same time. And yeah, Brown would definitely have more sympathy and focus on.
 
RIP Gordon Brown. Certainly a more successful PM ITTL than OTL.

Regarding Thatcher, like her or loath her you cannot deny she changed Britain fundamentally for good or ill.

Bonking the Bodyguard heh Theresa? And covering it up as well? Time to go methinks.

Nice distraction with the 'official inquiry' but you are holed below the waterline. Question will be who will want the poison chalice of this economy?

Lloyds TSB collapsed? Damm the whole section must be in a real mess.... oh wait is was/is.

Wonder if many will want the Americans and South Koreans to keep going and take the North. Stopping now will have shades of the first Gulf War when Iraq was 'ripe' for the taking.
 
RIP Gordon Brown. Certainly a more successful PM ITTL than OTL.

Regarding Thatcher, like her or loath her you cannot deny she changed Britain fundamentally for good or ill.

Bonking the Bodyguard heh Theresa? And covering it up as well? Time to go methinks.

Nice distraction with the 'official inquiry' but you are holed below the waterline. Question will be who will want the poison chalice of this economy?

Lloyds TSB collapsed? Damm the whole section must be in a real mess.... oh wait is was/is.

Wonder if many will want the Americans and South Koreans to keep going and take the North. Stopping now will have shades of the first Gulf War when Iraq was 'ripe' for the taking.
Starting a war with a nuclear power probably isn't popular immediately after Iraq which was even more catastrophic than ITTL
 
Summer 2009 - Downturn
June to September 2009 - Downturn

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Robert Mugabe was overthrown in a coup d'etat in Zimbabwe.

Robert Mugabe's 21 year long reign as autocrat of Zimbabwe came to an abrupt end when on June 27th 2009, the Zimbabwean military launched a coup against its own leader, taking control of key institutions, television stations, the legislature, and ultimately the office of the Presidency itself. The coup was led by ruthless defence minister Sydney Sekeramayi, who had forged an alliance with the military to carry it out. A week-long siege of the Presidential residence emerged: Western countries called on Mugabe to resign, as a standoff occurred between the coup plotters and Mugabe himself. Mugabe however refused to give in, eventually resulting in on July 6th, the military storming into the palace, and Mugabe was reportedly arrested while taking a bath. The humiliating treatment of such a supported revolutionary was not condoned by most Zimbabweans, however the military silenced all opposition. Mugabe was later filmed on July 12th announcing his own resignation, allowing Sekeramayi to take his place, however it is commonly thought Mugabe was forced to do this to save his own life and his freedom.

Initial predictions were optimistic: many Western pundits excitedly screeched about how the coup would bring democracy and freedom to Zimbabwe, and Sekeramayi's first actions were to be warmly welcomed by the US and UK, announcing his intention to bring Zimbabwe back into the commonwealth and economic reforms that would bring Zimbabwe into the western world. However, his actions were soon found to take a different turn, as Sekeramayi ruled as an arguably even more authoritarian dictator than Mugabe. Over a thousand political opponents were arrested and over eighty reportedly died in police custody. Amnesty International described "widespread torture and intimidation tactics" being performed at prisons across the country in Sekeramayi's reign, with reports of anyone deemed to be even a potential political opponent being taken out in the middle of the night and locked up, tortured, or worse by Sekeramayi's "secret police".

The situation further worsened when Sekeramayi declared a "state of emergency" on July 21st 2009, dissolving the Parliament and announcing rule by decree. This was followed with the arrest of numerous opposition legislators, many of whom subsequently disappeared. The state of emergency ended in August and Sekeramayi scheduled new legislative elections for October, however, only Government-approved candidates would be able to stand. Sekeramayi thereby achieved what Mugabe never did: full dictatorship, with no opposition at all within the country's institutions. He ruled by decree and at his own behest, with the full support of May and Dole behind him, who saw his reign not as an authoritarian nightmare but an opportunity to move Zimbabwe in a direction more friendly to the west. There were even conspiracy theories that the coup had been organised with the direct assistance of British Foreign Secretary David Cameron. Still, Sekeramayi proved that if pundits thought Mugabe's brutality couldn't be matched, they were dead wrong.

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Sekeramayi governed with a level of brutality and authoritarianism that eclipsed Mugabe; yet he continued to enjoy western support.

The events in Zimbabwe were for the most part overshadowed by a crisis which effected nearly every inch of the world: the 2009 Recession. The chaos in France had truly pushed beyond its borders, and banks began collapsing left, right, and centre. The economy in Britain began to retract, as did the US, Germany, Japan, Russia, and across Europe and the west. The crisis in Korea, while over, had its profound impact and shook the world economy to its core. British economists predicted that the unemployment rate could double by Summer 2010, and French economists predicted that their unemployment rate could be three times larger in 2012 than it was in 2008. Riots broke out on the streets of Paris. In Britain, Lloyds TSB's collapse had been the tip of the iceberg, and meanwhile several other banks were on the brink, and began to fall one by one. By August, Santander, Nationwide, and HSBC had all fallen too, and were forced into nationalisation. British GDP growth slumped, and most people predicted would hit negative numbers by 2010.

New and inexperienced Chancellor Damian Green was harshly criticised for his response to the crisis, as many people pointed out the fact that his inexperience was, as one Tory backbencher put it, "painfully obvious". He repeatedly stuttered and couldn't answer questions put to him by the Press, and he acted on a whim rather than with any clear ideology like the Thatcherite neoliberalism the now-disgraced Portillo had. Many people pointed out his behaviour as symptomatic of the overall chaotic nature of the scandal-ridden May Government, however having had a record landslide victory just a year ago, they weren't going to throw it away. Still, the leadership wasn't very inspiring internationally: as Green fumbled between nationalisation and nationalisation, a "patchwork" solution to the crisis in the words of Kenneth Clarke, once Chancellor himself, without a clear way out. Burnham became a far more popular candidate than May to take the leadership in the wake of this crisis, with polls putting Labour now as much as ten points ahead of the Tories.

Meanwhile, revelations from Banksgate continued, and incriminated one figure in particular: former Lord Chancellor Boris Johnson. In order to avoid - or potentially just delay - her own resignation, May called an independent Parliamentary enquiry that would last the whole Summer on the alleged intimidation tactics used by the Government, and culminate with a report that would be produced sometime in early 2010. Still, the hearings from the enquiry were broadcast to the public, and some of the findings were truly shocking. Michael Portillo's own staffers for a start had testified that he had taken "over £2 million worth" in contracts that were "explicitly in return for personal monetary favours" since taking office in 2006 and that this practice was "accepted institutionally" and "commonplace". This didn't match the revelations about Johnson however, who was described as "fundamentally morally bankrupt, corrupt, crooked and spiritually ugly" by one of his own ex-staffers, and another revealed that he had "put in place a serious plan to assault a journalist that threatened to reveal the story [about Banks and May]." It was later found out there wasn't just one of these schemes but several, and one had even allegedly succeeded, with three men serving prison sentences over a failed acid attack in April 2008 on journalist Robert Peston claiming with evidence that Johnson had paid them to carry out the attack with the aim of preventing Peston from leaking the story.

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The most shocking revelation yet - Johnson had allegedly paid for an attempted acid attack on journalist Robert Peston.

Peston later did confirm that he had access to the story since early 2008, however had not revealed it earlier due to rumours he could be subject to reprisal acts, essentially confirming to the public that Johnson had ordered the attack. Leader of the Opposition Andy Burnham claimed that the attempted attack on Peston showed "the officials of this Cabinet would be more suited to running a drug mafia than Her Majesty's Government" and called for Johnson to step down as an MP and for May to resign as Prime Minister, and for fresh elections to be called. Yet, May claimed that the current economic circumstances made an election or resignation "dangerous, unviable, and practically impossible" and asked for the enquiry's findings to be published "before further conclusions could be drawn". However, with Johnson, the public already smelt blood, and his demise was considered inevitable now. Many people were looking for him to resign as an MP or even face the possibility of criminal charges. On July 30th, after Peston essentially confirmed the allegations, the Conservative whip was removed from Johnson. However, with most polls saying he'd loose his seat, he refused to call a by-election, with him promising to "continue to represent his constituents."

In other news, which would have otherwise made headlines but was put under the spotlight due to recession, Banksgate, and the events in Zimbabwe, Parliament was also active and lively as a majority of MPs joined with a Liberal Democrat motion to legalise abortion in Northern Ireland, the Abortion (Amendment) Act 2009. Conservative MPs were whipped to abstain on the Bill, however with Lib Dem, most Labour and some Tory MPs voting in favour of the Bill against a small minority of Ulster/Democratic Unionists and some Tory backbenchers, the Bill passed easily. May had initially claimed she would whip against such a Bill, claiming that Stormont "shouldn't be overridden" on the issue, however backed down and whipped to abstain after during the Bill's initial introduction news emerged of a 14 year old girl in Derry that had committed suicide because she was unable to obtain an abortion, a tragic case which increased public support for legalisation. Consequently, May changed the whip to an abstention and the Bill was passed, becoming an Act.

Under the Act, abortion was now legalised on demand until 21 weeks across the United Kingdom, with the requirement of gaining permission from two doctors which had previously applied since conception now only applying between 21 and 24 weeks' gestation. The Act was met with some protests from Stormont, however May with her large majority couldn't be really care less, especially now with her fighting for her political career amid an unprecedented scandal and a recession now in progress. What the Act did do, however, was increase debate on the abortion issue south of the Irish border, as the nowadays more socially liberal, developed, and peaceful Republic of Ireland debated the possibility of a referendum on ending its own constitutional ban on abortion enshrined via the 8th Amendment in 1983, potentially paving the way for legalisation.

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Despite protests from Stormont, reproductive rights' advocates celebrated Parliament's forcible legalisation of abortion in Northern Ireland.
 
Is this timeline still alive? I haven’t see any updates in two months. What’s up with you, Cravinator? Any new activity soon?
 
Please don't ask an author for updates, its against the forum rules and the mods really don't like it.
All right, I see what you’re saying - I won’t do that again.

However - if we’re following a timeline, and there haven’t been any updates to it for a while, then don’t we have a right to know what’s going on?
 
All right, I see what you’re saying - I won’t do that again.

However - if we’re following a timeline, and there haven’t been any updates to it for a while, then don’t we have a right to know what’s going on?
Not really, no. We don't know what's going on in OP's life - work, family, health, other projects, anything that could (and frankly, should) come ahead of alternate history writing they post here for free. If OP posts an update? That's amazing, looking forward to it! But if they don't, then they've given us a hell of a ride, and I for one am grateful for it.
 
All right, I see what you’re saying - I won’t do that again.

However - if we’re following a timeline, and there haven’t been any updates to it for a while, then don’t we have a right to know what’s going on?

It is completely normal that OP either has very long hiatus on his TL or then completely abandoned TL. Unfortunate but that happens. We shouldn't require explanation or begin to demand updates.
 
Autumn 2009 - The Coverup
October to December 2009 - The Coverup

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May's Government fell into further chaos as her own party rebelled against her following the scandal.

In October 21st 2009, a document from the Chairman of the Banksgate Inquiry, the Labour Lord Adonis, was photographed by press walking to his office during which he delivered a statement, claiming the inquiry was "still making progress" with the "possibility of consequences to alleged illegal and unlawful behaviour"; however, he claimed the inquiry had no jurisdiction to "make or recommend the implementation of criminal charges". After this however, he was once again photographed, and the next day blown up images appearing in the Sun of Adonis's notes which he had lying around with him at the time with "JOHNSON, PORTILLO, INDICTMENT...? CONSPIRACY, GBH, OAPA 1861, CJA 1977???" having been accidentally leaked to paparazzi (thick of it fans: think, Quiet Bat People). This led to numerous rumours in right-wing Press about the inquiry "usurping" the Crown Prosecution Service and there being a "kangaroo court" against Johnson, despite the fact Adonis repeatedly clarified that the notes were speculatory and confidential, and that the inquiry still had no jurisdiction to charge people with crimes.

Still, Theresa May took the opportunity to reverse a negative media image against herself: by turning against her own inquiry. On October 24th, she issued a statement describing the inquiry she herself set up as assuming "quasi judicial powers" and even attempted to accuse it of being a Labour conspiracy (despite the fact the vast majority of its members were Conservatives...). Consequently, a month of Parliamentary chaos ensued, as the Government attempted to force through the Parliamentary Enquiries (Powers) Bill, which would greatly reduce the powers of the enquiry and other Parliamentary enquiries, and make their findings subject to Government and Parliamentary review, essentially making it impossible for the inquiry to effectively hold the Government to account. This greatly backfired, and when the Bill was proposed eventually in the end of November, a large majority of MPs voted against it, with over 200 conservatives rebelling, leading to an overall vote of 388 to 204 against the Bill, with many Tories not wanting to be involved in what the Press called an "undemocratic power grab."

Labour leader Andy Burnham also took advantage of the situation, accusing the Government of "acting like a dictatorship", and in November submitted a motion of no confidence in the Government, which, despite being defeated by 409 votes to 230, its very proposition signalled a downfall in the Government's credibility. Still, May carried on, and attempted to act as if the enquiry wasn't going on, the recession wasn't going on, and that there was "nothing to see here", as one ex-Government advisor put it. The Government could slightly deflect from the situation as Foreign Secretary David Cameron boasted about having been involved in a US-brokered non-aggression agreement between South Korea and China in response to the recent war in Korea, which he said "moved Asia back toward a peaceable settlement". Critics pointed out the noted exclusion of the war's instigator, the DPRK, and there was even allegations from the North that Cameron had disingenuously said to Pyongyang that he was brokering a four-party deal with China, Japan, North and South Korea, whereas in practice Cameron only used the Northerners while getting a better deal from China behind their back, in order to humiliate and isolate them. While the North was militarily desolated for now - it was feeling vengeful, and its dictator's long-term lust for vengeance was not to be underestimated.

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David Cameron went behind North Korea's back - allegedly - to broker a deal with China.

Meanwhile, environmental groups were upset, as the Government took certain methods to alleviative the recession with the Domestic Energy (Investment) Act 2009, which provided for billions in investment into mainly new natural gas resources off the coast of the Shetland Isles, which the Government said would ease recession unemployment with "hundreds of new British jobs" and an "alleviation on the reliance on foreign gas imports". Critics pointed out the Government had promised to move in the direction of renewables and Greenpeace criticised the Bill as an "attack on climate justice". Nevertheless, it was one of May's few "successes" in the current era, and allowed for the establishment of a "strong domestic energy industry", in Chancellor Damian Green's words. However, the Government did also pass legislation that further penalised the import of products sourced from "knowingly illegal deforestation", punishable by up to 7 years imprisonment under the Environmental Protection (Trade) Act 2009. However, critics called the law practically unenforceable, as it required those liable to be individuals, either British nationals or residents in Britain, and also required them to be aware the product was sourced from a form of deforestation that was illegal in the country that it was carried it out in for them to be liable to imprisonment.

Meanwhile, the recession had an extreme impact abroad - in Venezuela, the country's economic state span out of control, leading to mass inflation and generalised chaos and unemployment. The US looked on with opportunity, seeing how one of their largest international opponents and bigmouths - Hugo Chavez - stayed in power throughout the chaos. On Christmas Day 2009, General Pedro Naranjo led a force that initiated a classic South American coup d'etat against Chavez's Government, armed to the teeth with CIA weapons and US intelligence. Chavez's forces were outnumbered and, much like in Zimbabwe, the army announced he had "retired for health-related reasons". He was quickly replaced by Naranjo, who announced the drafting of a new constitution, and a "fundamental change" to the Venezuelan economic system, one that no doubt would be cheered on by Dole and May. What was not in doubt however - was that socialist guerrillas began to operate throughout Venezuela, swearing loyalty to the old regime, and with funding from FARC in neighbouring Colombia - leading to Naranjo's Government starting 2010 with a slew of hyper-authoritarian policies, that will have made Chavez's old regime look like liberal democracy. In other news in Latin America, Fidel Castro was left blind in one eye after an attempted truck bomb assassination, leading to him talking about a "violent and terrorist assault on socialism and democracy across the Hispanic world" which he called the Venezuelan people to "resist", perhaps giving encouragement to the anti Naranjo rebels...


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Following post-recession tensions, Hugo Chavez was overthrown in a coup.
 
Well PM May, might as well start planning when the moving vans are coming cos you are just counting down the days now!

Time to release some dirt on Labour?

Or do a smash & grab, take as much of the silverware you can, drop a couple of bombs and mic drop out with a snap election, under a new leader. Not just burn the bridges, nuke them from on high…

Speaking of which Labour are going to have one heck of a job to sort out the mess May is leaving them, like the green bills.

N. Korea has long memories. Cameron might indeed be in trouble.

Venezuela makes a trade deal with the American corps in 3, 2….
 
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