I'd like to see the Egyptians get their first shot since the Mamluks at controlling the Levant but it all seems for naught.
The war has only just begun so a lot can and will change between now and the end, so while it may look bad for the Egyptians right now they can still rebound if they play their cards right.Browsing Wiki to try to compare with OTL—it sounds like the Ottoman Navy won’t surrender to Egypt immediately TTL and there may not be an equivalent to the Battle of Nezib?
It’s possible that the Ottomans could win this conflict much more decisively than IOTL. I’ll be curious to see what happens!
I will say that there is an important reason why I'm keeping Sultan Mahmud around a little longer than OTL and that the continued loyalty of the Ottoman Fleet is the most immediate effect of that decision.