No GNW (or “Peter goes South”)

End of the idyll
210. End of the idyll.

“The British aim was to erode the sovereignty of these venerable empires just enough to force their political and economic institutions to become more open. Too much interference threatened to produce political disintegration, economic instability, and a potentially dangerous power vacuum that might open the way for rival powers or force Britain to resort to costly formal annexation.”
T. Parsons
In the area of economics, I am placing before you, with the support of some statistics, the considerations that justify the policy of colonial expansion, as seen from the perspective of a need, felt more and more urgently by the industrialized population of Europe and especially the people of our rich and hardworking country of France: the need for outlets [for exports]… We must say openly that indeed the higher races have a right over the lower races . . . .”
Jules Ferry, ‘On French colonial expansion’ [1]
“…the legal institutions the Europeans and Ottomans had established guaranteed the economic benefits the Europeans sought without them having to assume extensive and costly forms of control.”
J.D.Savage

“Why did the sun never set on the British Empire? Even God didn't trust the English in the dark.”
“Why are the Great Pyramids in Egypt? Because they were too heavy to carry to the British Museum.”


Russian help in the negotiations between the Sultan and Muhammed Ali with a resulting Convention of Kütahya had been followed the Russian-Ottoman Treaty of Hünkâr İskelesi. Formally, this was a treaty of mutual defense with a provision that, in the case of war, the Ottoman Empire, instead of providing a military help, upon request of Russia, should close the Dardanelles to all foreign warships. The request was seemingly reasonable but the results proved otherwise.
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To the various degrees Britain and France considered this treaty as an infringement on their existing and, equally important, potential future interests based upon an assumption that the Ottoman Empire is a legitimate zone of their, existing or not, imperial interests. Not that there was any obvious reason for the British or French warships to enter the Black Sea but wasn’t it a matter of principle?

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Britain, France, Ottoman Empire and Egypt
This treaty added new fuel to the fire of the Ottoman decline narrative. The Ottoman Empire now seemed to many to have become a Russian vassal state. Both in France and Britain the governments had been blamed for being too timid.

France: “The Ottoman Empire had been ‘a long term ally of France, our faithful and inseparable ally,…. they were separated from us and fell under the protection of Russia”. Somehow it was forgotten that the French troops occupied territory of the “faithful … ally” and had been instrumental in taking it from him.

Britain: “Our economical reformers had been gratified. Our ministers had been praised for their carefulness of the public money. We had saved two millions. We had lost Turkey.” The obvious question how one can lost something he did not own was not asked.

Of course, by now the issue of the Ottoman Empire was closely linked to Egypt and the interests of these two entities had been incompatible posing a hard task of a choice for the French and British governments.
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With all their differences, Britain and France easily figured out that “united European front” in Egypt is going to be, for a time being, the best way to achieve their goals because dealing with Muhammed Ali was not a simple issue. On the one hand, the European powers and their agents and merchants desired stability in governance from the existing local authorities. As such, Britain and France tried to both bolster and influence local elites in an attempt to earn benefits for their agents and merchants. On the other hand, informal European influence in Egypt could counterbalance the supposedly formal Ottoman imperial influence.

By establishing his own independent methods of contact with Europe, Muhammad Ali could bypass formal Ottoman power structures and negotiate directly with the British and French governments. Ali also discussed issues with the French and British consuls, and was open about his desires, especially his desires to keep Britain and France on his side. Yet, Ali was not always cooperative with British and French desires (which was extremely nasty of him) , and his independent trade and economic policies were a long-time sticking point with France and Britain. The same goes for his “imperialism”:

“In one sense the wali was caught up in a vicious circle. In order to force a recognition of his independence from both Ottomans and Europeans alike, he must needs overstep his boundaries and acquire an empire, thereby earning Ottoman and European enmity which inhibited his quest for independence.”

Of course, both European powers involved had a semi-religious belief that part of their mission is to civilize “the Orient” (which, among other considerations, will be good for business).
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Francois Guizot thought that ‘wherever European and Christian civilisation establishes itself, there also France is bound to assume its place and exercise its own genius.’ In the minds of the French, as Muhammad Ali was helping to bring Egypt into the modern era, it would be only natural for Egypt to come closer to France, the most ‘advanced’ country. A prevailed ideology was that informal imperial relationships with overseas states could be preferable to colonial conquest and commercially more lucrative. Algeria, being something of an aberration, did not count except as the mission civilisatrice. 😜

Well, of course both French and British press could be gushing about Muhammed Ali’s “westernizing” reforms but his commercial practices were absolutely different issue:

“He has endeavoured to concentrate all the commerce of his country in his own hands; he forces the inhabitants to deliver up to him the produce of their fields and of their industry, at a very low price, which he again sells to merchants at double value. He has established commercial houses in the principle cities of Europe; but this system of commerce is too disadvantageous to foreign merchants to have it last long.”

Obviously, one can’t remain darling for long when he is putting your own merchants at a disadvantage and keeps all profits to himself.

Well, neither could Russia.

In Britain the Russophobic party was quite vocal. “Russia was most inimical to us; while Turkey, on the contrary, admitted our productions with no duty, or with a nominal duty.” (Lord Stuart). Of course, one could object that Britain still had the Corn Laws but when it comes to the trade who cares about being objective? For Stuart, Russia taking control of the Ottoman Empire would not only enhance Russia and cripple Britain’s trade, but it would also inevitably lead to a Russian takeover of Persia, and from Persia Russia could directly threaten Britain’s interests in India. Geographic realities were neither here nor there and what became the favorite British paranoia had been born. The Sultan became a poor oppressed darling and previously glorified battle of Navarino turned to be “most injurious and disgraceful to England”. The Times was preaching a joined British-French intervention in Syria against Egypt for the sake of the Syrians and the sake of the Ottoman Empire stating that “Mehemet Alli will readily yield to all the reasonable demands of England”. There was also a reasonably vocal pro-Ali faction which argued that he “never be the friend of Russia unless forced to become so by the policy of England towards him.”


Of course, there was also an anti-Ottoman faction which considered the OE weak and falling apart with Muhammed Ali doing everybody a favor by trying to break it apart.
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One of the most strident British pro-Egypt agitators was Thomas Waghorn, the chief advocate of the through-Egypt route to India.
Our governments have assisted and upheld the interests of Turkey till she is fallen so low that it is impossible to reestablish her in power as a nation; let us, therefore, study our true welfare, and take the lead in permitting Egypt to establish herself as an independent state.”

In general, French opinions more closely followed those of the British anti-Ottomans. French policy was based not on a belief in the potential of Ottoman reform but instead in a belief in the potential of Muhammad Ali’s rule in Egypt. The Ottoman Empire on the other hand was portrayed in France largely as a moribund state, led by incompetents who were unable to stop the decline, or who were perhaps even exacerbating it.
La Presse saw the question of the through-Egypt route as linked with the ‘Orient question,’ and published a long letter on the subject from the former surgeon of Muhammad Ali, M. Labat, which started with “French political and commercial interests are intimately linked with those of Egypt.”

Well, to a certain degree they were but not necessarily in the ways anticipated by Muhammed Ali. He managed to turn Egypt into a major cotton producer. Using the money from this cotton production, Ali's government then began to sponsor factories so that Egypt could profit from its own industrialization. These factories processed cotton into clothing—beginning with the uniforms for the new military—but also produced foods and some other goods. But, with the friends he chose, one really did not need the enemies. Of course, one of the problems was a lack of coal, which forced Egyptian manufactures to rely upon the animal power. However, even a bigger problem was that the chosen friends also made cloth and didn't want the competition. Britain and France had put tariffs on imported cloth in order to help their own industries. This meant Egypt could not sell to them at a competitive price. But these countries had also forbidden the Ottoman Empire, and hence Egypt, from putting tariffs on European goods. Egyptian factories just could not match their low prices and within years they were out of business and Egypt was facing fast growing trade deficit with a resulting state debt.

Russia. In Russia the British and French reaction was somewhat unexpected. The Black Sea was the Russian and Ottoman lake and neither British nor French business. Well, besides the business, of course: Odessa was the biggest international port on the Black Sea and nobody was harming the merchant ships of any nation. However, the signal was properly understood, conclusions made and, plans prepared and put to the execution.

As the first step, an old plan for connecting by a railroad Moscow and the Crimea, proposed to Alexander I in 1820 [1], was finally approved and construction started. It took 4 years to build two roads: one going through the Perekop and another, by dam and bridge, across Siwash.
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Unexpected winner was city of Simferopol. According to the original plan, the railway was to pass a few dozen kilometers from Simferopol. But the city authorities, not wanting to miss such a profitable opportunity, provided land for construction free of charge. As a result, the railway slightly changed the planned route and passed along the western swampy outskirts of Simferopol. Thanks to the railway, real industrial enterprises appear in the city, huge opportunities for the use of local resources are opening up. Even before the industrial plants kicked in, the first such enterprise was a branch of the famous Moscow confectionery factory "Einem". 😂
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John Ericsson was asked to review and present his old proposal regarding an ironclad armored battleship suitable for the coastal defense.

On a diplomatic front, two Bonaparte brothers had a private conversation result of which was a secret message sent by the Ambassador Bonaparte to the Consulate. The French government was assured that Russian Empire not only does not have any plans infringing upon the French interests but quite sympathetic to the French interests in Egypt seeing its own interests there exclusively in the area of grain exports. While, of course, Russia is not going to change its policy regarding the import tariffs on manufactured goods (and does not expect anything of the kind from France), the tariffs on the French wines (which Russia was importing in the large volumes) can be lowered if France reciprocates by lowering import tariffs on the Russian wheat. And there is one French manufactured item on which Russia is ready to drop import tariffs completely, the silk flowers [3].
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No need to rush to any action, just consider the message.


____________
[1] https://www.thelatinlibrary.com/imperialism/readings/ferry.html
[2] OTL
[3] May sound as a joke but it was not. Production of the silk flowers for the dresses was a considerable industry with the products exported around the “civilized world”: France was dictating the fashions and the silk flowers, for quite a while, were the important part of a female attire. Of course, they could be done domestically but how can you compare them with the true French product (even if they look the same)? And Russia was a big consumer.
 
Well Europe receiving Russia cashing in on it's legitimate national interests went as well as it could go.

Otherwise regarding France, beside precieved conflict of interests in Orient there is also the fact that Russia is probably seen as rival continental power that could challenge France, but with industrialization of Prussia and some sane leadership in Paris it isn't out of question for France to see Prussia as bigger threat given relative closeness to French border and France owning some lucrative lands. Then there's potential Austrian interest in Italy.

Not speaking about the fact that British are still threat on the sea and rival colonial power only lacking capable and willing continental ally.

Now if we take into the account history of Prussia attacking Sweden (another traditional Russian ally) and the fact that both have it in their interests to keep Germany divided (plus relative lack of conflict of interests in Europe) we could see a ground for cooperation.
 
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Well Europe receiving Russia cashing in on it's legitimate national interests went as well as it could go.

Yes, you can put it this way. 😂

The fundamental problem, AFAIK, was British “national idea” that Britain is the only country entitled to looking for its “national interests” which were understood as unrestricted economic and colonial expansionism so everybody infringing into the existing or potential sphere of the British interests was an enemy by definition.

In OTL approximately at that time Urquhart was making a lot of noise and even proposed an outright provocation over situation on the Black Sea where the Russians were playing nasty games slowing down the Austrian trade on the Danube access to which Russia controlled. To the British public situation was presented as an opportunity to arrange for a massive flow of the British manufactured goods to Germany up the Danube and an alternative to the Russian grain from Hungary and Principalities down the Danube. The trifles like the Corn Laws in Britain were happily ignored and I’m not sure if the the British manufactured goods being too welcomed in Germany either. But everything was looking great on paper.

The same pretty much applied elsewhere by quite a few writers and politicians. It was argued that (I’m not kidding) Russian influence in OE means that Russia is going to subdue Persia and from Persia is going to march to India. AFAIK, a notion of the “Russian bear” as something mighty and sneaky as opposite to a mighty and noble British lion became popular approximately at that time. Why the bear, is still enigma to me except for the “sneaky” part. It was not on the Russian coat of arms (two-headed eagle) and if one goes by the “national animals”, AFAIK, the lions were not the typical animals of the British countryside (but of course a fox or a rabbit would not do as a symbol) and the bears were not roaming on the streets of the Russian cities. 😂

Otherwise regarding France, beside precieved conflict of interests in Orient there is also the fact that Russia is probably seen as rival continental power that could challenge France, but with industrialization of Prussia and some sane leadership in Paris it isn't out of question for France to see Prussia as bigger threat given relative closeness to French border and France owning some lucrative lands. Then there's potential Austrian interest in Italy.

ITTL France in a noticeably better position vs. Prussia than in OTL. It holds the left bank of the Rhine with its natural resources and includes Belgium which is one of the most industrially developed areas of Europe. The Batavian Republic is an ally, which also adds some power.

ITTL Prussia is not as reformed as in OTL and is smaller so it may not necessarily be considered as #1 threat. It did get Ruhr in 1815 in OTL but this is not necessarily the case ITTL (it may get a part of it and Saar is French) but, even with everything else being the same, France is in a much better position than in OTL and for Prussia the enemy #1 is “traitorous” Austria: there is no serious historic grudge against France. Anyway, Ruhr being just across the river from France, military confrontation can be risky for Prussia.

France and Prussia, each due to its own considerations, has the same enemy, Austria. And, unlike OTL, Russia is “historically” considering Austria as a hostile state as well and the same goes for the OE. So, all of them can be “friends against” Austria.

Not speaking about the fact that British are still threat on the sea and rival colonial power only lacking capable and willing continental ally.

Yes, and ITTL domestic situation in France is much more stable and, with the manufacturing much stronger than in OTL France starts looking for the colonial markets earlier and more active than in OTL. Whatever are the initial considerations about the OE, the love affair with Britain can’t be a prolonged one due to the conflicting interests in Egypt.

And ITTL due to the absence of the destructive Napoleonic wars the continent in general is much better off economically with the British edge not as big as in OTL. Britain may still be the leading manufacturing power but even in this case extended France and alt-Russia (together with Sweden) are very close. Actually, Russia-Sweden block start loosing Britain as the main consumer of their exports and this is going to change their general attitudes.

Now if we take into the account history of Prussia attacking Sweden (another traditional Russian ally) and the fact that both have it in their interests to keep Germany divided (plus relative lack of conflict of interests in Europe) we could see a ground for cooperation.
There can be a lot of cooperation: look from where Germany was getting a considerable portion of its iron and other metals even during WWII. 😃

And even alt-Russia has a big market for the German manufactured goods: a popular alt-history idea of Russia being completely self-sufficient and inventing its own wheels and bicycles ahead of everybody else is utopian. Nobody was operating in a complete isolation. So, with the right attitudes, there can be a sustainable triple alliance based upon the economic interests.
 
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And even alt-Russia has a big market for the German manufactured goods: a popular alt-history idea of Russia being completely self-sufficient and inventing its own wheels and bicycles ahead of everybody else is utopian. Nobody was operating in a complete isolation. So, with the right attitudes, there can be a sustainable triple alliance based upon the economic interests.

Well that's as long as Germany (if it gets formed) accepts new status quo with both France and Sweden holding area's of interest (just look at Italian nationalism and relationship to Austria), plus in that time period economic interests were kinda looked at through military, but then again German state is relatively new idea so exact borders (especially in Prussian led Germany) would need to be defined , then again it's one thing to want something and completely other to take it.

France and Prussia, each due to its own considerations, has the same enemy, Austria. And, unlike OTL, Russia is “historically” considering Austria as a hostile state as well and the same goes for the OE. So, all of them can be “friends against” Austria.

Well that depends, while it's still in far of future any German state that is formed will be bound to change geopolitical realities and have influence over Austria and Austria itself will gradually lose ability to pose a threat to anyone on it's own (anyone important) . But then again that might be a good thing, any newly formed German state can look at Habsburg possessions as it's exclusive zone of influence (interest), they would just need to get rid of old Franz and replace him with someone more moderate.
 
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Without a horrible 19th century, where is Spain as a manufacturing power? Will there be an early Franco-Spanish Nicaraguan or Panama Canal?
 
Well that's as long as Germany (if it gets formed) accepts new status quo with both France and Sweden holding area's of interest (just look at Italian nationalism and relationship to Austria), plus in that time period economic interests were kinda looked at through military, but then again German state is relatively new idea so exact borders (especially in Prussian led Germany) would need to be defined , then again it's one thing to want something and completely other to take it.
To start with, it will be more difficult to form the unified Germany even if because the groundwork done in OTL by Nappy is absent. There is still HRE and the hundreds of big and small entities within it. To create OTL Germany Prussia must start with dissolving the HRE, which is not easy, or somehow replace the Hapsburg Emperor with a Hohenzollern, which is also not easy.
The same goes for the German nationalism: without Nappy it will not necessarily happen in the OTL form and this means that the small pieces of land held by Sweden and Denmark will necessarily be a problem that can be resolved only by war. Plus, Prussia itself is not an exact replica of OTL Prussia: it did not pass through the same reforms as OTL version in the early XIX.


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Well that depends, while it's still in far of future any German state that is formed will be bound to change geopolitical realities and have influence over Austria and Austria itself will gradually lose ability to pose a threat to anyone on it's own (anyone important) .
Yes, there are too many factors which are not defined, yet, and we are still in the 1830s - early 1840s. Even Krupp’s steel empire is on the early stages of its development. But Austria has its own interests, including those related to the Danube, and not only: in OTL there were Austro-Greek trade agreement and eventually Austrian naval buildup on the Adriatic. Plus, Austria would like to get control over the Danube Principalities and, of course, Bosnia. Which makes Austria “interesting” for more than one important state one way or another.

But then again that might be a good thing, any newly formed German state can look at Habsburg possessions as it's exclusive zone of influence (interest), they would just need to get rid of old Franz and replace him with someone more moderate.
Well, it is not impossible to imagine, as a final product, more than one German state instead of OTL German Empire. Among other factors, a more powerful France with its border on the Rhine may help to preserve the “buffer states” along the borders. Prussia may be lacking the OTL combination of the political and military geniuses, etc.
 
Well, it is not impossible to imagine, as a final product, more than one German state instead of OTL German Empire. Among other factors, a more powerful France with its border on the Rhine may help to preserve the “buffer states” along the borders. Prussia may be lacking the OTL combination of the political and military geniuses, etc.

That is certainly possibility, instead of formation of one hegemonic German state we might just see bigger states swallow smaller ones
(precedent that was happening otl after Reichsdeputationshauptschluss).

This also puts Austria to entirely different perspective because opposed to otl due to ITTL geopolitical realities it's more focused on HRE (Germany), if things go right for it it might get some more German speaking land drastically changing internal structure of the empire and helping it stay afloat as a great power.

It's viewed as enemy countries, but everyone should know more or less that sometimes it's better to deal with enemy that you know than the one that you don't.
 
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To be fair Nappy IS still around though I doubt it's in the Tsar's plans or your plans for that matter to let him go on his merry way redrawing the map of Europe :openedeyewink:
 
Crack in a “beautiful friendship”
211. Crack in a “beautiful friendship”

“Bye bye mein lieber Herr
Farewell mein lieber Herr
It was a fine affair, but now it's over.

John Kander, ‘Mein Herr’
“Diplomacy is the ability to send a person to hell in such a way that he will get ready for a trip.”
Jean Cocteau
Well... diplomacy is not bad. First, we'll kindly talk, and then we'll level it to the ground.”
Magnificent Century (Muhteşem Yüzyıl)
Betrayal is a matter of date. To betray in time means to anticipate”
Taleyrand​

Britain . National hysteria triggered by the Treaty of Hünkâr İskelesi for a while was getting from bad to worse skillfully encouraged by rather fantastic schemas published by so-called “specialists” and repeated by those who did not have a clue, personally, but quoted these “specialists” without questioning their claims. Probably the most vocal in the first category was David Urquhart whose main credential was the fact that he learned Turkish. This definitely made him an ultimate authority on all issues “Turkish”, well, and not only because he also knew some geography and could point the Danube on a map.
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One of the main bees under his bonnet (besides Russophobia, of course), was an idea that by “opening” the Danube Britain will be able to get the enormous benefits both by getting cheap the agricultural products of the Danube principalities (thus completely undercutting Russia) and by selling to their population annually hundreds thousands pounds worth of the British manufactured goods. Assurances of a sincere love to Britain were, presumably, received from the local rulers and the only thing standing on a way of liberty, humanity, progress and fair trade were the Ottomans who, under influence of the evil Russians, had been setting the custom posts (asking the British merchants to pay custom dues, can you invent something more absurd?) or even installing the quarantines under the silly excuse of the cholera epidemics (no disease, except for delirium tremens, would dare to touch a true Brit). The public, including the prominent politicians, had been swallowing these stories hook, line and sinker. Nobody bothered to ask the silly questions like how the small and backward region would produce amount of the agricultural exports comparable to the European Russia or how the dirt poor population of under 4 millions will be able to buy annually few hundred thousands worth of the manufactured products most of which they simply did not need. BTW, the cholera on the lower Danube was a real thing and, due to the appalling hygienic conditions, the epidemics just kept continuing from year to year. But who cared when the story looked so promising?

Some squeeze had been put on the Porte and a couple of the Scottish entrepreneurs got into the area and even established their business but it did not look like it had been excessively profitable.

Navigation on the Danube, enabled by the steamers, did exist but, surprise, surprise, it was handled by the Austrians who were interested in selling their agricultural (from Hungary) and manufactured (from Austria) products but not in letting the Brits into the picture. Well, most probably, they were also the agents of Moscow.

Gradually, hysteria subsided to the levels of an average paranoia and the life returned to the nice imperialistic business as usual. For a while.

To be objective (more or less), all these attitudes and hysterias were born out of a sincere desire to promote the British national interests as they were understood at that time by its ruling class. Britain was a leading manufacturing country so it needed the cheap raw materials and the markets for its manufactured products. For this schema to work, the trade partners will have to lower their import and export tariffs so the slogan was “fair trade”. Of course, it did not apply to the Britain itself, except for the cases where the foreign competition was not a factor, because defending interests of the British producers was patriotic. An idea that other governments have a right to adopt the same approach was plain absurd: surely, anybody who is trying to obstruct a fair (for the British) trade was against freedom, liberty and other equally important things.

France. Unlike the case with Britain, the tempest in a teaspoon, ended up fast and without a major impact upon the French politics. Joseph Fouche was long dead but his successors followed the wise practice of keeping the free press under the state control so when it was decided that anti-Russian hysteria is not in the French interests, most of the newspapers did not have problems with understanding their patriotic duty and found some other exciting subjects to discuss. There were a number of factors which led to this political re-orientation.
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  • One of the most important factor was that Taleyrand, who was practically without an interruption in charge of the French foreign policy since the time of Directorate, finally resigned due to a seriously deteriorating health and great age, he was already 80. For the last few decades his political course was to maintain the close relations with Britain even if this was not always to the immediate French advantage. Sometimes this policy caused irritation of his superiors but they bowed to his great experience and a high international prestige. As his successor, the Consulate was looking for someone with a diplomatic experience (preferably some exposure to the Ottoman Empire because for a while “the Orient” will going to be a high priority area) but also not overburdened by the principles of his own. With Lucien Bonaparte being too important where he was, the lucky one was Oraziu Francescu Bastianu Sebastiani di A Porta or just “general Sebastiani”, a Corsican (and probably a distant relative to the Bonaparte family, which did not hurt). He started his career during the Revolutionary Wars he was elevated to colonel in 1799. In 1802, the Consulate sent him on his first diplomatic assignments in the Ottoman Empire, Ottoman Egypt, and other parts of The Levant. Since then he was mostly on the diplomatic missions, and mostly in the OR, intermixed with the short periods of the military service during which he gained a reputation for lacking leadership skill but eventually made it to general of division. Taking into an account that for a while he was serving under Soult, who now became a member of the triumvirate, it was expected that he will follow the orders rather than try to play his own games as his great predecessor.​
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  • The Greek Crisis followed by the Egypt-Ottoman War forced the Consulate to reassess their policy both in the region and in general. During the Egypt-Ottoman War Soult visited Britain. He was warmly received but this did not make him happy because it became quite clear that the British politicians are considering France as being just a convenient tool for achieving their goals and are not giving a damn about the French own interests in the region. Britain was obviously planning to dominate both the Ottomans and Egypt while relying upon the French military force when and if it will be necessary. The Greek expedition was an example. France spent considerable amount of money and lost close to 2,000 troops to the diseases but the Brits got their puppet as the King of Greece. The same with the Egyptian war: a need to act in concert with the Brits undermined the French position in Egypt and now the Brits had been actively trying to establish themselves as the main European power there and in the OE itself. How about the French interests?​
  • Of course, the recent Russian-Ottoman treaty raised a wave of protests but was it doing any real harm to France? Not really. So far, the French interests on the Black Sea were limited to buying the Russian agricultural exports and selling French wines. Trade up and down the Danube was not too promising (Hungary was a major wine producer) and definitely not worthy of a major confrontation.​
  • With a growing number of the major construction projects, the Russian Empire already started looking for the foreign investors and some of the major French banks already got involved in the newly-opened companies with a mixed capital. So far, the results were encouraging and there was seemingly a market for the new opportunities.​
  • Recent report from Ambassador Bonaparte was quite encouraging and definitely removed some of the contentious points.​
  • Potentially, closer relations with Russia, Sweden and perhaps. Prussia as well (if the common ground can be found) could result in a very powerful block on the continent and, with the friendly Spain, Denmark and Batavian Republic added to the picture, well beyond the continent.​
  • Of course, there was no need in any abrupt change of the political course but why not to look for the promising options?​

It was decided that, with one consul already paying visit to Britain, it is reasonable for another consul to visit some other important courts of Europe. For example, Copenhagen, Stockholm and Moscow. And, if everything goes well, Berlin on the way back. Besides pure diplomacy, it will be a good chance to show everybody a brand new 90 gun steam battleship “Charlemagne” [1].
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Moreau not feeling well, Consul Bernadotte eagerly volunteered for the role. Besides other considerations, he would really like to see the new places and to met with his old commander and almost relative.
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With him he took on a trip his son, Joseph François Oscar Bernadotte, 34 years old division general who distinguished himself in Algeria and so far was too busy in Africa to get married (to a great distress of his mother) or to see more civilized places. Now he will get an opportunity…

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_________
[1] In OTL “Napoleon”. A real “Charlemagne” was one of the bizarre-looking French pre-dreanouughts.

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Getting matrimonial #1
212. Getting matrimonial #1

“Kids, you can talk and talk till your face is blue
Kids, but they still do just what they want to do
Why can't they be like we were, perfect in every way?
What's the matter with kids today?”

‘Bye Bye Birdie’
The simplest toy, one which even the youngest child can operate, is called a grandparent.”
Sam Levenson
When grandparents enter the door, discipline flies out the window.”
Ogden Nash
It is not important that you are intelligent: my wife should have at least some flaw”
‘Khanuma’​


1834.
Russia. Moscow
. Generalissimo, personal life.
So far, Generalissimo had been enjoying his life in Russia. Realistically, he achieved everything someone who was not a member of the imperial family could hope for and even more. He was the Serene Prince (Светлейший Князь), a title given only to a few chosen members of the Russian princely families, and the rank of the generalissimo was so rare that it was not even mention in the Table of the Ranks (“fieldmarshal” was a rank of the 1st, highest, class so “generalissimo” was something above all classes). Which gave his a priority (unless the Emperor himself was personally present) in the State Council and the troops had to give him the imperial greetings even with the emperor being present. In a somewhat weird organization of the Russian administration this meant that he was, officially, controlling the Ministry of War, Ministry of Transportation and all activities related to the military issues and semi-officially (as the top-ranking member of the State Council) Russian foreign policy as well with, of course, the Emperor being the highest and ultimate authority.

He was extremely wealthy both due to the imperial grants and thanks to his own commercial activities and, while he never remarried after the death of Josephine, even when she was alive his ideas about faithfulness were very similar to those of Count Almaviva, in other words, rather one-sided. There was little doubt about a true parentage of a certain Polish count born few months after the Great Polish War and while Generalissimo neither confirmed nor denied the rumors, the countess with her son more than once visited Moscow even while Josephine was still around. There were others presumably including, rumors on this specific account never were loud by the obvious reasons, even certain member of the imperial family.

As a side note, being a prude and having a rather bad taste in literature and art in general, out of Beaumarchais’s trilogy he approved (“on the moral grounds”) only The Guilty Mother. Added to the already existing pompous Russian architectural and decor style and available wide variety of the natural materials, this “french influence” resulted in something truly pompous (not too many European countries had unlimited access to malachite and similar decorative minerals).
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Generalissimo Bonaparte probably was the second most powerful person in the Russian Empire and an undisputed military genius but this did not mean that he was brilliantly handling his family problems. His wife, “the Great Josephine”, was at least somewhat helpful but she died in 1814. His adopted stepson and his wife, Duchess Louise of Württemberg [1] also died in 1820s, leaving in his care their two children, Josephine and Maximillian [2]. This was a task to which the great general was absolutely unprepared and, what’s worse, he could not dump it on his available relatives.

Pauline died early and, anyway, would not quite suitable for the task. Caroline, married to Murat, was sharing a thorough antipathy of the Bonaparte family to the Beauharnais. This left their aunt Hortensia but this was one of few cases when her husband put his feet down and stubbornly refused to submit to his brother’s pressure (you forced me to marry that stupid cow and I have enough of her family!). Anyway, he was looking for his first independent appointment as a governor of one of the provinces and actually was going to leave his own son in one of Moscow’s military schools.

So the kids were staying with their step-grandfather in Moscow and he had neither time nor inclination to get deeply involved in their upbringing. For a while he contemplated sending Josephine to the Smolny Institute of Noble Maidens [3]. However, after getting familiar with a program of this famous institution, he came to a quite reasonable conclusion that, while the curriculum looked impressive on paper (religion, languages, geography, arithmetics, music, dances, manners, housekeeping), a general byproduct were the naive idiots with a rather extravagant manner of speech and little idea regarding the real world. To be fair, they danced well and could speak French (rather archaic because it was taught by the elderly emigres). Anyway, Smolny was somewhat below Josephine’s social status of a titled member of a ruling German family related to the Romanovs plus, by adoption, Светлейшая Княгиня (Serene Highness).
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So the child was provided with the private tutors and, on the unfrequent occasions when she had to communicate with the Generalissimo, looked quite normal. All necessary social life was provided and in due time she was made maid-in-waiting of the Empress but, as for many of her social rank, this was just a formal acknowledgement of her standing in the society with a right to participate in all court events (especially the balls). Of course, as the closest male relative the Generalissimo was dutifully chaperoning her to the balls and other social events where, while the youngsters had been dancing, their elders had been playing cards and talking politics (at the court and embassy balls they had to participate in a few mandatory dances opening the ball, which was something similar to the official processions with their rules of priority and selection of the dancing partners, so this duty was not burdensome and from time to time even the Murats could be ordered to behave appropriately and accompany the young Josephine to a specific event if the Great Man was busy.

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Which was just fine because the balls were the occasion where the young people met each other (after which the parents would arrange for the suitable marriages) but the standard schema was not working. Josephine was beautiful, charming, spoke perfect French (some kind of a surprise 😂), danced well, could maintain the social chat and, no less important, had a huge dowry and high title and could be a great “social asset” .
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The only problem (besides her, seemingly being intelligent, which was a serious minus) was that she was seemingly enjoying her life and so far did not indicate any intention to get married. Generalissimo had no intention to play a matchmaker and was too busy with his official duties and his own social life to press the issue especially taking into an account that he was excessively impressed with a presently available pool of the suitors within a military establishment and was not eager to start promoting a career of some young aristocratic nincompoop. Officers of the Guards were, of course, aristocratic and some of them even independently rich [4] but their life provided very limited options for promotion by a merit due to the limited participation in the wars big and small and the very life style made serious military studies quite difficult. OTOH, most of the young army officers were too low on a totem poll to be seriously considered and those of the higher ranks tended to be either married or simply too old. Situation with the diplomats and those in the administrative service was pretty much along the same lines.

So for quite a while discussion of the marriage was along the lines “You do not want to get married, yet? Fine, when you decide otherwise, let me know and I’ll arrange it for you even if it will require a military escort to march a happy groom to the church. Now, be a good girl, kiss your grandfather and go back to whatever you were doung… “ Which was very convenient until the Generalissimo recognized that Josephine is already 27 years old and well past the “normal” marriageable age of 18-20. So something has to be done soon or this will be the Problem.

At least with Maximillian it was easy. When he reached the minimal suitable age, off he went to the best military school to come home only on the big religious holidays and summers. He was now 17 and after graduating had been sent to serve to the corps of general Lannes with the expectation that after two mandatory years of the field service he will go to the General Staff Academy recently founded by general Jomini.

At that time the coming state visit of Consul Bernadotte had been announced. The event was politically important because it could mean that France is going to look for the alternatives to its excessively close alliance with Britain. This being the first visit of the top French official, the issues of protocol had to be thoroughly discussed to avoid misunderstandings and embarrassments. It was agreed that the Consul has to be officially addressed as “Your High Excellency” because “Citizen Consul” would be slightly too “republican”. If and when it comes to more intimate conversation and letters exchange between two top personages, “my friend” instead “brother” (used with the royalties) is going to be used based upon a principle that “we chose friends, not relatives” [5], etc. With both sides being accommodating, discussion of a protocol was a tedious but not really difficult task.

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Finally, the “Charlemagne” arrived to Kronstadt where the high guests had been greeted by the Grand Duke Michael Pavolvich and got on waiting the imperial train to travel from St. Petersburg to Moscow.

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At the Nikolaevsky railway station they had been greeted by the imperial family, top Russian officials and French Ambassador. The highly anticipated part of the ceremony was a meeting of two former Republican generals and it proceeded quite well: Bernadotte was always considered a member of the Bonaparte family and his relations with Napoleon were quite good when Berthier was not getting in between [6]. So this part of the even was quite touchy and the contemporaries loved drama providing it was well staged.
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Among those present, the Generalissimo was especially happy because he saw a potential solution of the Problem right there…. What he did not know was that the Consul (thanks to the diplomatic communications) also was anticipating solution of his family problem along exactly the same lines….

____________
[1] In OTL Eugene married daughter of the King of Bavaria and became the Duke of Leuchtenberg (and his son Maximillian became founder of the Russian branch of this family) but ITTL there is no Kingdom of Bavaria, no Emperor Napoleon and no realistic way for a stepson of the Russian filedmarshal to get married to the daughter of Elector of Bavaria. OTOH, with the Dukes of Wurttemberg it is quite easy. Duke Eugene of Wurttemberg (son of Herzog Eugen Friedrich Heinrich von Württemberg, the brother of Frederick I of Württemberg, and nephew of the wife of Emperor Paul) from 1776 lived in Russia and was making a military career there participating pretty much in all wars of that period. Getting his sister, Duchess Louise of Württemberg (who in OTL married Frederick August Charles, Prince of Hohenlohe-Öhringen and lived much longer than ITTL) married to a stepson of the most important figure in the Russian military establishment, especially if the emperor proposed this marriage, would be quite realistic and definitely smart action.
[2] Had to get rid of the rest. You can look at their biographies to figure out why: no way they could become what they were in OTL and I’m not going to invent their alternative biographies or just list them and leave in ITTL limbo. This is not going to be one of the ancestry threads. The goal is simple: in OTL Oscar Bernadotte married Josephine Beauharnais, granddaughter of The Josephine and so be it. 😉
[3] In OTL in St. Petersburg, here in Moscow.
[4] Service in the Guards was extremely expensive because it involved numerous costly regimental events and a mandatory extensive social life outside the regiment.
[5] In OTL this was one of the reason for NIII joining Britain against NI: he wanted to be “brother”. 😂
[6] As in OTL during the Consulate. Leaving for the Marengo campaign Napoleon fully expected that, in the case things will go wrong for him, Bernadotte with his Army of the West will march on Paris and, among other things, save the Bonaparte family.
 
Serene Prince (Светлейший Князь)
I think I have a new favorite title
Duchess Louise of Württemberg [1] also died in 1820s, leaving in his care their two children, Josephine and Maximillian
Daddoleon?
Anyway, he was looking for his first independent appointment as a governor of one of the provinces and actually was going to leave his own son in one of Moscow’s military schools.
...Guess not

I suppose the Czar has tasked the Generalíssimo with conquering the troublesome nation of the Great Milk...
The highly anticipated part of the ceremony was a meeting of two former Republican generals and it proceeded quite well: Bernadotte was always considered a member of the Bonaparte family and his relations with Napoleon were quite good when Berthier was not getting in between [6]. So this part of the even was quite touchy and the contemporaries loved drama providing it was well staged.
I dig it
Wholesome
 
I think I have a new favorite title

Daddoleon?

...Guess not

It was about Louis not Nappy and, when he was going to administer some province, leaving son to get a prestigious education unavailable in that province would be a normal thing to do. The real question is what am going to do with that specific son latter: did not decide this, yet.
I suppose the Czar has tasked the Generalíssimo with conquering the troublesome nation of the Great Milk...
You lost me. 😢
I dig it
Wholesome
😂
 
"Dad went out to buy milk" 😂

Darn it!
Think about the situation. For Louis, a bureaucrat on the early stage of his career, appointment to a provincial governorship is a step in a right direction. For a de facto second person in the empire it is a sign that he fell from the grace: this position is for the people at least 3 levels lower than his level in the Table of Ranks (actually, he is already above the Table of Ranks).
 
Getting matrimonial #2
213. Getting matrimonial #2

I did not know what is a true happiness until I married. But then it was too late.”
“Man is incomplete until he is married. Then he is really finished.”
“Marriages are made in heaven. Then again, so are thunder, lightning, tornadoes, and hail.”

Unknown authors
“Marriage permission should not be granted to couples who have known each other for less than six months.”
Napoleon [1]
“"The secret of a happy marriage remains a secret.”
Henny Youngman
«Недели две ходила сваха
К моей родне, и наконец
Благословил меня отец.
»
Пушкин, «Евгений Онегин» [2]​


Strange as it may sound, the main purpose of the Consul’s visit to Russia was not arranging his son’s marriage even if for a quite a while his wife, Desiree, was consistently eating his brain out on this particular account and, after reports from Lucien, on this particular match: while the Bonaparte females had been strongly against Josephine, her own relations with Josephine were not bad at all so the “family” feud was not a consideration and she wanted a beautiful wife for her son.
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Well, there was no reason for Oscar Bernadotte to be present at the top level secret meetings, so he was doing sightseeing in a company of Josephine Jr. properly chaperoned by the Murat and his wife (commandeered for the task by Generalissimo with the strict order to be nice, helpful and stay on a background). A mandatory tour to Kremlin included The Gun That Could Not Shoot,
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The Bell That Could Not Ring,
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Treasuries of the Armory, etc. Then there were balls and other social functions to attend. Poor Murat was thoroughly bored by an order is an order and it had to be executed properly.

The boring part, diplomatic discussions, was proceeding reasonably smoothly with a lot of a ground work already being done by the ambassadors and foreign ministers. The common ground was obvious: not to let Britain to infringe upon the French and Russian interests. The remaining task was to figure out what these interests are and how they adjust to each other.
  • The main goal, agreed upon by both sides, was to restrain Britain from infringing upon their corresponding interests. Preferably, diplomatically.
  • Russia wanted to retain its influence in the Ottoman Empire including the arrangements regarding the warships’ passage through the Straits. To this issue France was indifferent as long as the Black Sea trade had not been impacted: France, with its growing industrialization, already became a big consumer of the Russian agricultural products and Russia had a big market for the French wines.
  • France wanted a upper hand in Egypt which involved minimizing the British influence there. On this there was a full understanding providing the Russian grain imports to Egypt are not negatively impacted.
  • France was inclined to support Muhammed Ali’s hold upon the territories which he got by the last peace. In practical terms this meant an absence of a joined “European” effort in support of the Ottoman intention to get these areas back. Taking into an account that such an effort would be inevitable generated by Britain, both sides agreed to oppose it diplomatically and use their influence in persuading remaining Great Powers not to interfere. In the case of crisis, joined military or at least naval presence in the region may be needed as a counter-balance to the potential British activities.
  • Russia did not mind the weakened Ottoman Empire but would object against its further weakening by Egypt’s declaration of independence or by changing the existing status of the Danube Principalities. However, if Britain manages to convince the Sultan to sign a peace treaty that gives it a trade advantage in Egypt, sabotaging such a treaty by Muhammed Ali can be discretely encouraged by France.
  • Both sides were interested in retaining status quo in the HRE, at least as far as the Austrian influence goes. If needed, support Prussia in moderation.
  • Full-scale defensive alliance was slightly premature but some preliminary arrangements could be made especially in the area of the coaling stations around the world. The rest is going to be treated on case-by-case basis.
  • As for the trade, both sides retain their existing tariff policies with the adjustment to the non-competing imports.
  • The French banks will be permitted to open their branches in Russia and their investors permitted to participate in the business ventures on the Russian territory. [3]

Social part. This part inevitably involved the big military parades and attendance of various military institutions: besides Nicholas himself being something of a martinet and his Generalissimo also considering the military reviews being a vitally important part of a military life [4], the Consul himself was a military man and not too different from his colleagues in this regard so this part was of a great interest to all parties involved.

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Then there were banquets in the imperial residence, in the French Embassy, in the Generalissimo’s palace, etc.

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All this following by the solemn signing of the trade treaty and general treaty of friendship: details regarding “friendship against whom” had been kept secret. This part was followed by the mutual distribution of the “baubles”. The Consul got Russian St. Andrew and the Emperor received the Legion of Honor Grand-Croix

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To maintain a general spirit of a high drama, the same award (after discreet consultation with the Emperor) had been awarded to the Generalissimo for his past “services to the Republic” and the Grand-Officer crosses had been given to the former French Republican generals now in the Russian service. Protocol of the ceremony, which included touching with the sword shoulders of an awarded, was waived for the Emperor
leaving him just with a ceremonial hug so, strictly speaking, he was awarded as a civilian (you are not touching a foreign ruler with a sword) but the rest of the lucky ones got the full enchilada. It was rumored afterwards that Berthier, by the obvious reason, got more than just a symbolic touch. 😜

The important part. Solution of the “family problems” was based upon what the decision makers considered their interest.
  • Bernadotte.
    • Marrying his only son to a minor but royalty with a link to the Russian Imperial family (and possibility of a title for Oscar) will improve Oscar’s social standing. Of course, France was a republic and the Consul had “Death to the kings!” tattooed on his chest, but the titles were, again, prestigious and the only way to get them was by marriage. Socially, this was the highest-ranking girl Oscar could realistically marry.
    • Reportedly, Josephine Jr. will bring a very big dowry, which would not hurt.
    • While the Consulate was seemingly stable institution, who knows how things will develop after all original consuls are dead and with this marriage Oscar is going to get a secure chance outside France.
    • While both he and Bonaparte are still around, this marriage is going to provide an additional link in a newly created alignment: excessively close linkage to Britain created and maintained by the S—t in the Stockings started being burdensome.
    • Desiree wanted this marriage.
  • Bonaparte.
    • This will be marriage practically within the family, which is good.
    • Oscar looks as a nice and capable young man: of course, being Consul’s son did not hurt his career but his military record was good. He may continue military career even after his father’s death or he can go into politics in which case Joseph and Lucien will help with the first steps.
    • The Emperor was favorably impressed with him and even presented him with a gilded Zlatoust sword without being asked. So, in the worst case scenario, the couple will be welcomed in Russia.
    • While not being a thief like Massena and some other former colleagues, Bernadotte was not a fool and always managed to arrange his financial affairs both to his own satisfaction and, what was equally important, to satisfaction of those who satisfied him (😏). As a result he was one of the richest people in the Republic.
    • Politically, this marriage can be a good token act to solidify French-Russian friendship against Britain.
    • Last but not least, Desiree always was a kind-hearted woman so Josephine will have a nice mother-in-law.
  • Emperor Nicholas.
    • This match will be definitely good for strengthening Russian position vs. Britain and the link can be easily improved by asking the Duke Eugene Frederick of Wurttemberg (father of the Duke Frederick Eugene who was the Russian general) to extend the ducal title to a husband of his granddaughter. Perhaps it also worth of considering extending Josephine’s Russian title [5] to her husband. His father, as befitting a former Jacobin, became a true sucker for the things “aristocratic”. And it will cost only a worth of ink and paper.
    • Over decades of his rule Consul Bernadotte created an extensive clientele among the leading French financiers, merchants and manufacturers and, if he wants, he can be quite instrumental when it comes to the French investments into the Russian railroads construction and other expensive projects.
    • Oscar seems to be quite intelligent in his analysis of the Algerian conquest and related “problems with the natives”. May end up being quite useful to Russia or in Russia.
Obviously, the perspective young couple also was in the picture. Somewhere, somehow. But let be serious, with so many interests, including these of two Great Powers, being involved, who was going to ask their opinions?

Well, rather fortunately, Oscar and Josephine liked each other and when push came to shove there was no need in the extreme measures of persuasion.

Whatever the loving father and step-grandfather could and did bestow upon the bride and groom was upstaged (at least socially) by the Emperor: it was declared that upon marriage the lucky future husband will get the ducal title from Wurttemberg family and, by adding “Bonaparte” to his last name, he will become the “Serene Highness” of the Russian Empire. The star of St. Andrew had been given to him in advance.

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Of course, both bride and groom being the Catholics, the wedding ceremony had been conducted in a relatively small Church of St. Louis in Moscow but everybody was happy. Including the young couple. [6]
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______________
[1] Classic case of “do as I say, not as I do”.
[2] “Matchmaker was visiting my family for two weeks and finally my father gave his blessing for the marriage” Pushkin, “Eugene Onegin”.
[3] While the private banks ITTL are created earlier than IOTL, Russia is still short of the big financial institutions, especially those with the international exposure, an as a result is interested in inviting the foreign capital for the various domestic ventures. Unlike mushrooms, the big banks are not appearing the next day after the rain and neither does experience in the big-scale financial operations. 😂
[4] In OTL during the intervals between fighting units of the French Army had been doing them, IIRC, on at least weekly basis.
[5] In the Russian Empire a title (with the exception of more complicated rules for the imperial family) was automatically extended to the whole family (sons and daughters of a count of prince were getting the title at birth, without waiting for father’s death). So, by adoption, Josephine was Светлейшая княжна.
[6] I did not figure out, yet, how and if to fit them ITTL but no more romantic stories: this is not my genre. 😂
 
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Great update. I wonder what the British reaction would be. If I was them I'd start to pay attention, and given the lack of realistic options would lean quite heavily on making sure Russia does not go too much to France. The existing trade is still big enough. They weren't stupid and still have plenty to offer, though a lot of French influence has by now reached the top of the ruling class.
 
Great update. I wonder what the British reaction would be.

What can it be and why would there be any reaction? So far, nothing really important formally happened and you can’t tell the head of a Great Power who he can and can’t visit or whom his son can or can’t marry. In its present form the trade treaty does not impact the British trade in any way and the friendship treaty is a vague document with no specific obligations. The paragraphs related to Britain are secret and not published (unlike OTL where the secret Russian-Ottoman agreement regarding the Straits became a public knowledge).

If I was them I'd start to pay attention, and given the lack of realistic options would lean quite heavily on making sure Russia does not go too much to France.

Or rather other way around: in OTL (and to a lesser degree ITTL) Russia is a combination of a bad boy and a sucker ready to accommodate British whims. France, so far, is a long-term sucker waiting for the the British government’s command “Jump!” (or “play dead!”) so it is France who can go “Russian direction” by starting playing independent. 😉
The existing trade is still big enough.

Well, yes. But the Brits have prohibitive tariffs on the Russian grain and timber imports, import of the Russian iron practically stopped and importance of other imported “strategic materials” will go down with the raising construction of iron steam ships. So for Russia (and Sweden) importance of Britain as the main importer of its raw materials is goin down being replaced by a broader Mediterranean market and Northern Germany.

They weren't stupid and still have plenty to offer, though a lot of French influence has by now reached the top of the ruling class.
The Brits are not stupid but their willingness and ability to “offer” something of a serious value is another issue, taking into an account that they keep making the increasing demands completely ignoring interests of the others.
 
Great update. I wonder what the British reaction would be. If I was them I'd start to pay attention, and given the lack of realistic options would lean quite heavily on making sure Russia does not go too much to France. The existing trade is still big enough. They weren't stupid and still have plenty to offer, though a lot of French influence has by now reached the top of the ruling class.

Generally while there is the treaty between Russia and France by my understanding it was one that defines British infringement on corresponding Franco/Russian interest and more specifically those involving Ottoman empire. Basically even if secret clause about that comes to light i don't see the harm as treaty is just resolving any opposing Franco/Russian claim's, protects those claims against infringement of third parties and declares understanding and friendship between two powers, if anything if those clause's come to light they might inspire the British to make similar treaty regarding their shared sphere's of influence (in this case Persia and Afghanistan).

Otherwise this treaty isn't guaranteeing Russian support for the French interests that have nothing to do with Russia and there France is more, or less on it's own.

Personally i don't really see the harm in declaring these clause's of the treaty given specifications of joint naval power projection and diplomatic cooperation, it would if anything made things clearer for the British.

Only thing I would keep secret is German clause given that it's direct forgein interference in German matters.
 
Nothing is simple
214. Nothing is simple
Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.”
Will Rogers
We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies. Our interests are eternal and perpetual, and those interests it is our duty to follow.”
Palmerston
“The principle of give and take is the principle of diplomacy: give one and take ten.”
Mark Twain
“Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun."
Mao Zedong

In France reaction to the Bernadotte’s “European tour” was predominantly positive. Respect shown to him at the Danish, Swedish and Russian courts was a sure indication of a high international prestige of the Republic. The trade treaty was greeted, especially by the wine producers/merchants and financiers, and there was a general expectation that the part related to the agrarian imports will allow to maintain the low bread prices, thus keeping the growing working class well-fed and reasonably happy. The treaty of friendship (a published part of it) was a nice demonstration of the respect of mutual interests with no burdensome obligations .

The matrimonial part of the visit produced, expectedly, certain amount of the jokes and witticisms in the French press and society: son of a former Jackobin turning the German duke and Russian prince was, indeed, somewhat ironic. However, in general, it. was viewed positively, especially an aspect of a formal rehabilitation of the former heroes of the Republic and creating a new link between the glorious past and even more glorious present: the legends of the Italian Campaign and Egyptian still were quite popular even if there was no clear-cut “bonapartist” party.

In Britain, the politicians were not quite sure what all of this was about and how it may impact the British interests. Formally, there was nothing obviously anti-British but did it mean that France is planning to abandon its policy of almost unconditional support of Britain and going anti-British? Is Russia now going to do something clearly anti-British? [1] The most obvious anti-British activities were, there was a consensus, strengthening the French positions on the Nile and/or Russian positions on the Bosphorus because either of them meant that France and/or Russia are going to invade India. More or less the same meaning would have strengthened French or Russian influence in Greece and existing Russian influence in Persia.

Inquiries of the intensions had been made but the answers from both French and Russian Foreign Ministers were along the lines “What are you talking about?”. Surely, two sovereign countries may co-exist in friendship and make the trade arrangements without asking anybody’s permission or breaking the existing ties.

In a meantime, interest to the Black Sea triggered by Urquhart’s publications started to subside. The reason was obvious: described benefits of the trade with Danubian Principalities proved to be a product of the overly developed imagination. Yes, the long list of the agricultural products which could be exported from the Principalities to Britain was correct. The only tiny problem was that the related volumes were minuscule. The first British company established in the Principalities was doing reasonably well because it was small. The part related to the British imports was even worse. Except for few reasonably rich members of the local aristocracy, most of the population was too poor to buy the imports and kept using the home made cloth which cost pretty much nothing. The “hospodars” who had been professing a love for Britain proved to be just the windbags who loved the British gifts but could do very little in promoting the British trade on their territories and could do even less to change the Ottoman policies regarding the Danube. The British politicians and journalists were very fond of the idea that all major European rivers must be considered the free for all thoroughfares but outside the British Islands (to which it did not apply), the idea saw a very little enthusiasm from the selfish continental bastards who could think only about their personal interest instead of promoting the ideals of liberalism, progress and fair trade.
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The Ottomans, being the most conservative state in Europe, proudly stood at the top of the selfish bastards’ list, declaring that they did quite enough when abolished a requirement to unload all Austrian merchandise coming down the Danube at Vidin with their cargo to be reloaded on the Turkish ships. This attitude obviously was a sign of the Russian influence and a part of the Russian sinister plan to invade India.

As far as the Danube trade was involved, the promised access to the Austrian and broader German markets (with the canals linking the Danube to the German rivers and the goods flowing freely in both directions) also proved to be overly optimistic. Yes, The Austrians (and Hungarians) now had been sailing up and down the Danube but the Hapsburg Empire was as protectionist as it goes and its government was sufficiently “European” not to pay attention to the demagoguery about fair trade and to let the competing British goods into its markets. Even worse, Austria just signed a trade treaty with Greece thus adding extra dimension to already complicated Greek domestic policies and bringing up an obvious question about potential Hapsburg designs toward India. 😂

In Egypt British diplomats attempted to work with Muhammed Ali Pasha, in the hopes of building more trade infrastructure throughout new Egyptian territories. At the request of Lord Palmerston, England wanted to build rail lines connecting the Syrian coast to the Euphrates and on to the Persian Gulf. Muhammed Ali denied this request, as well as a less extravagant one for another rail line. Surely, something had to be done about Egypt. Preferably, something unpleasant. And the best way to do this was through the Sultan so the main British attention had been turned there and the most vocal supporter of the pro-Ottoman policy, Urquhart, had been sent s the 1st Secretary of the Embassy in Istanbul.

Trade Capitulations between the Ottoman Empire and the United Kingdom was expiring in 1834. After taking into account the increases of international prices, customs duties would have to be raised to make up for inflation. The UK was unwilling to renew the agreement with raised customs duties. The Secretary at the British Embassy in Constantinople, David Urquhart, began to draft a new trade agreement
[2], which would give Britain a status of “The Most Favored Country” lowering taxes on British imports and exports thus killing the Turkish (and Egyptian) fledgling manufacturing and turning their trade balance with Britain from positive to negative, something that the Ottoman government was too naive to recognize. To push the plan through, there were 2 carrots:
  • Urquhart had to convince Mahmud II that the treaty would end Mehmet Ali's reign. Egypt's economy was largely controlled through the use of monopolies; if monopolies were abolished, Egypt's economy would crumble. Also, opening Egyptian markets, with no protections, to the UK's industrial goods market would crush its infant industries. Of course, it would also crush the Ottoman own manufacturing and trade (the Brits were not going to open their markets to the Ottomans) but why bother to tell all truth as long as you are saying nothing but the truth?
  • While the proposed treaty was strictly commercial, Mehmed II was promised British military help in the case of the war with Egypt.
Urquhart worked hard to convince Ottoman notables that the treaty was in their favor. He published articles in Istanbul's newspapers, listing the benefits of free trade markets; his propaganda influenced the capital city deeply. France and Russia watched the negotiations of the treaty closely.
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When it looked like the Urquhart’s PR assault was very close to success because the Sultan’s advisor, Reşit Pasha (he was “amedçi”, or Receiver, which was the head of the incoming correspondence secretariat), was seemingly buying the Urquhart’s arguments, a very strong pressure had been put on the Sultan not to sign a proposed treaty for his own good. Of course, there was no direct threat of war but both ambassadors let it be known that signing of the treaty may seriously change both Russian and French view of the Ottoman-Egyptian relations.

Mustafa Reşid was sent to Paris in 1834 with the task of regaining Algeria from the recent French occupation. Although he ultimately failed, he would remain in Paris as a permanent ambassador for a long, long time. Taking into an account his too obvious pro-British sympathies, it is not a big surprise that there were no major achievements.

Why did they do what they did?

Formally, the British attempt to push through the new trade treaty had little to do with the Russian interests: Russia already had a good tariff deal. But the Russian tariff was bi-directional while the British would give Britain a serious advantage. Then, the British attempts to upgrade their presence on the Black Sea from a welcomed purely commercial to the political became getting annoying: the British government was clearly trying to establish its supremacy in the Russian backyard and the measures had to be taken to put its ambitions down a notch or two even if there was a risk to get too involved in the Ottoman-Egyptian confrontation on a wrong side. The the whole incident allowed to weaken the pro-British lobby in Istanbul, of which Mustafa Reşid was the most influential and talented representative.

France saw the whole episode as an opportunity to minimize the British presence in Egypt. Muhammed Ali was informed about the implications of British proposals and, understandably, was not happy about it and, as far as he could be grateful, he was grateful to the French for saving him from the inevitable collapse of his state. Even if the French merchants operating in Egypt could benefit from some of the treaty proposals, if it would be extended to France, an overall situation still was going to be in the British favor (its textile industry being ahead of the French) and with a passage of time Egypt would find itself in a big debt owned to Britain with a resulting British political dominance. Now, after episode with the treaty, the Brits were marginally tolerated in Egypt and when the monopolistic owner of pretty much everything valuable in the country does not like you, your chances for extending business are not very good. If, or rather when, Egypt will end up in debt, the debt must be to France. Vive la France! 😂


Undeterred, Urquhart tried to stage a provocation on the Black Sea by contracting a schooner “Vixen”, loading it with the military supplies and sailing it to the obscure port of Sudzhuk-Kale which, together with much more important Anapa, became Russian by the Peace of Adrianople and now was renamed into Novorossiysk.

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Now, there was a trick. While the coastal area was officially Russian, the inland part was still formally Ottoman but its inhabitants, whom the Brits defined as “Circassians” even if they actually were Adyghe, did recognize the Ottoman authority only in the matters of a religion (Sultan being a Caliph) and had been in a state of a never-ending small scale border conflict both with the Russians on the North and the Ottomans on the South (which did not prevent them from selling slaves to the Ottoman-held ports and trade with Russia across the Kuban River). Basically, neither the Ottomans nor the Russians were interested in them getting the modern weapons and Russian government issued instruction to the Black Sea cruisers:

For preservation of the Russian possessions from infection and to prevent the delivery of military supplies to the mountain people, military cruisers will permit foreign commercial vessels only to … Anapa … in which there is a quarantine and customs...”

Great Britain regarded it as infringement of the principle of freedom of commerce. So Urquhart’s idea was to sail to a port where “Vixen” will be almost inevitably captured and generate an international scandal. [3] “Vixen” was, indeed, detected by the Russian cruiser “Ajax” and detained. At the moment of detention, 8 guns, 28,800 pounds of gunpowder, and a significant amount of other weapons had already been unloaded. This was deemed a provocation by the Russians, Urquhart was captured and immediately released, pleading diplomatic immunity as the 1st Secretary of the British Embassy in Istanbul. The ship was confiscated and put into the Russian service and its crew sent to Constantinople.
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The reaction in London to the seizure was one of outrage. Russia was threatened with war. After angry statements from London, Nicholas I ordered the army and fleet into a condition of raised battle readiness. However, within few months relations had settled down. Urquhart was withdrawn to London. Britain was reluctant to antagonise Russia further, as it could not find a continental ally willing to lend support in a war and the Ottomans, who were not too pleased with the British activities in the Danubian principalities, were siding with Russia. The official answer of the government to an inquiry by the Opposition stated that Russia owned the ports lawfully under the Adrianople peace treaty and thus has a right to open or close them.

…….

John Ericsson presented his first ironclad steamship intended as a mobile backup of the Kronstadt naval defenses. The ship was not considered seaworthy but it had to operate strictly within the Gulf of Finland so this was not a problem.
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It had a shallow-draft of 3.4 meters which would allow to operate pretty much everywhere in the Gulf and even in the Neva. The engines produced a total of 380 indicated horsepower(280 kW) which gave the monitors a maximum speed of 6.5 knots (12.0 km/h; 7.5 mph) in calm waters. The ships carried 110 tonnes (110 long tons) of coal, enough for six day's steaming. The ship carried a pair of smoothbore15-inch (380 mm) muzzleloaders in her turret and fired 440-pound (200 kg) solid shot and a 330-pound (150 kg) explosive shell. The ship had a complete waterline armor belt of wrought iron that was 1.8 meters (5 ft 11 in) high and 124 millimeters (4.9 in) thick. The armor consisted of five plates backed by 91 millimeters (3.6 in) of wood. The maximum thickness of the armored deck was 24.7 millimeters (1.0 in) in two layers. The gun turret's armor consisted of twelve layers of iron, totaling 270 millimeters (10.6 in) in thickness.
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Gustav IV of Sweden who, on his routine visit to Russia, was shown the ship, got enthusiastic and ordered 3 of the same type for the Swedish coastal defense.


___________
[1] Which at that time meant a real or potential obstacle to any existing or potential British interests anywhere in the world.
[2] In OTL Treaty of the Balta Liman of 1838 which the Ottomans did sign with all intended and unintended consequences.
[3] In OTL in 1836.
 
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