Every now and then I think up a new Napoleon victory scenario with a little more knowledge then before, and a different goal. This time I wanted to get Napoleon’s maximum (and extremely generous) somewhat-plausible victory based on avoiding his worst mistakes and making some good ones, and setting them up as the British equivalent in the 19th Century.
There are 4 main changes:
1. Prussia dismantled after 4th Coalition. = No treacherous ally.
2. The Continental System is more a trade league than outright embargo. = Better economy and happier allies.
3. No Peninsular War = Napoleon keeps ally and 200k soldiers alive.
4. Less costly Russian invasion = Grand Armee survives and Napoleon keeps land above.
Short version of lore: Napoleon dismantled Prussia after the 4th Coalition, but salvaged the Franco-Russian alliance by promising support against the Ottomans. In 1808, Austria launched the 5th coalition while Napoleon was occupied in the Balkans, but was badly defeated. The Ottomans collapsed from invasions from France, Russia, and Egypt and was partitioned. Conflict over the Duchy of Warsaw led to Russia breaking the alliance and starting the 6th coalition in 1812. Napoleon defeated Russia and occupied Vilnius. The 7th coalition was launched in 1815, but was a disaster and ended in 100 Days. The ensuing Treaty of Vienna marked the end of the Napoleonic Wars.
1. Balkans were divided according to the Greek Plan. Hilariously Ironic after France drove Russia out.
2. Napoleon seized Brabant to punish Louis' insubordination (and to make France have a perfect Rhine Border).
3. Russia's humiliation meant the Decembrist revolt was a full-scale civil war. While the revolt was crushed, Russia lost Finland and the Caucuses in the chaos.
4. Napoleon II still dies of TB and Napoleon III still inherits the throne, because he's just a fun guy to speculate with.
Full version and lore found here:
So with all that said, what happens from here? I want to make more maps but am out of ideas. What plausible butterfly effects happen from this?
Bonus points given for:
1. How can the U.K. be weakend so they are more like IRL France than a direct equal power?
2. Diverging background and outcomes of 19th century events that happened IRL such as the Concert of Europe, 1848 Revolutions, Sepoy Mutiny, the Taiping/Chinese rebellions, US Civil War, Meiji Restoration, and Scramble for Africa (and others)?
3. How (not when) do the Balkans disintegrate? And into what pieces?
4. How does the Independence Movements in the Americas turn out with a stronger Spain?
Also, here's a link to a blank template if you want to show your ideas through visuals: