Guatemala invades Belize during the Falklands War

That's a generalization. There were many instances (such as the Suez Crisis) where the US backed smaller countries over it's main allies.

Suez was different and you know it. The US is not pissing off a vital defense partner in favor of a two bit wannabe Latin American Dictator, especially not in a conflict that they started.
 
Suez was different and you know it. The US is not pissing off a vital defense partner in favor of a two bit wannabe Latin American Dictator, especially not in a conflict that they started.
The US does have more economic interests in Guatemala than Belize, and showed on the UN level that it supported Guatemala in the Belize matter.

And yes the UK is a vital defense partner. But that works both ways. You really think the British are going to throw away their alliance with the US over Belize?

And thirdly, nowhere did I say the US is directly helping Guatemala over Belize, I'm merely suggesting that they stay neutral on the matter and suggest a deal be worked out behind closed doors.

Finally, it should be noted that the United States spent two whole centuries enforcing the Monroe Doctrine and pressuring European countries to get the fuck out of Central America. US business interests were a priority.
 
Any thoughts on Venezuela making moves on Guyana? Sounds like they were acting diplomatically aggressive but military action was never in the cards. But what if it was? A Buenos Aires-Caracas-Guatemala City Axis against the U.K.?
 
Any thoughts on Venezuela making moves on Guyana? Sounds like they were acting diplomatically aggressive but military action was never in the cards. But what if it was? A Buenos Aires-Caracas-Guatemala City Axis against the U.K.?

If Venezuela does that, in my honest opinion it most likely sparks a free for all in South and Central America. Most of Central and Southern at this point was ruled over by dictators and madmen with claims on each other's territory. Peace was kept as much through the balance of power and fear of American intervention as anything else.

If America doesn't put it's boot down over three of it's less valuable allies attacking a valuable ally, then the inference will be that America will not intervene, removing that reason.

If 2 of the "major" powers in South America get involved in a war with a power that common sense would tell them that they lacked the ability to achieve a victory with, then the balance of power is shattered.

A war with multiple powers is not something that could be treated the way we treated the Falklands, we couldn't just drive the Argentinians out of the Falklands and liberate Belize, it's quite likely that we would have to put boots on the ground on the mainland. Even if they don't start prior, the moment that happens the surrounding powers will go on a feeding frenzy.
 
The US does have more economic interests in Guatemala than Belize, and showed on the UN level that it supported Guatemala in the Belize matter.

And yes the UK is a vital defense partner. But that works both ways. You really think the British are going to throw away their alliance with the US over Belize?

And thirdly, nowhere did I say the US is directly helping Guatemala over Belize, I'm merely suggesting that they stay neutral on the matter and suggest a deal be worked out behind closed doors.

Finally, it should be noted that the United States spent two whole centuries enforcing the Monroe Doctrine and pressuring European countries to get the fuck out of Central America. US business interests were a priority.
And in the same way that Britain did not invade Argentina when recapturing the Falkland Islands they are not invading Guatemala only preventing Guatemala from invading Belize

Not one Guatemalan Banana tree will be harmed - so US business interests will not be harmed
 
Any thoughts on Venezuela making moves on Guyana? Sounds like they were acting diplomatically aggressive but military action was never in the cards. But what if it was? A Buenos Aires-Caracas-Guatemala City Axis against the U.K.?
That could draw in the French?

Whoohooo the old Entente is back in business
 
Any thoughts on Venezuela making moves on Guyana?
Problem - as a result of the wildly fluctuating prices of oil, Venezuela's economy was in major freefall to the point where Herrera Campins was actually pretty unpopular (not to mention amassing a huge debt that was starting to become difficult to repay). As much as he was channelling nationalist sentiments, at the same time Venezuelans were probably smart enough to see through the bull and realize the petrostate model was starting to come apart. (And you all thought Argentina's economy was in horrible enough shape - Venezuela's was worse because of how dependent it became on the price of oil, since the 1973 oil embargo and after made creating a national budget virtually impossible and corruption became a huge problem.) If Herrera Campins tried to make a move towards annexing Guyana, the Venezuelan military would probably pull a coup d'état - the first time since the Pérez Jiménez dictatorship - and temporarily end Venezuelan democracy in order to bring some sanity into the system. The US would probably side with the Venezuelan military on this, with the condition that democracy be returned as quickly as possible.
 
Guys, this one is easy. In 1982, the United States tells Guatemala to stand down. Our business interests in Guatemala don't remotely approach our interest in supporting our most important NATO ally.

We were prepared to assist, if necessary and upon request in the Falklands. There's a 0.0000% chance the United States will allow a takeover of Belize, by Guatemala, at the height of the Cold War, and any US political advisor who suggested such would be reminded that they serve at the pleasure of the President.
 
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