Crusaders win at the Battle of Nicopolis?

Could they have won if the French knights hadn’t recklessly charge towards the Ottomans and instead had listened to Sigismund and follow with his plan of defeating them or would it take something else for them to win?
After all of that, what would be the effects of a crusader victory?
 
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Could they have won if the French knights hadn’t recklessly charge towards the Ottomans and instead had listened to Sigismund and follow with his plan of defeating them or would it take something else for them to win?

Why not? Presumably, the crusading army was bigger and the most important part of the Ottoman army, the Janissary, had been fighting using the defensive tactics, aka, could not leave their prepared position without a risk to be slaughtered. Application of the tactics similar to Tamerlan’s at Ankara would have the Ottoman flanks broken because the heavy French & Burgundian knights had an advantage over both Ottoman and Serbian cavalry. The Janissary would be encircled and that’s pretty much it.

Now, how would Sigismund convince his allies to behave reasonably instead of idiotically, is a completely different issue that involves cultural background and some other factors. IMO, the task was almost doomed unless the leader had an overwhelming authority, which was not the case.

After all of that, what would be the effects of a crusader victory?
 
Why not? Presumably, the crusading army was bigger and the most important part of the Ottoman army, the Janissary, had been fighting using the defensive tactics, aka, could not leave their prepared position without a risk to be slaughtered. Application of the tactics similar to Tamerlan’s at Ankara would have the Ottoman flanks broken because the heavy French & Burgundian knights had an advantage over both Ottoman and Serbian cavalry. The Janissary would be encircled and that’s pretty much it.
I wasn’t saying if the battle wouldn’t have been won if the French knights didn’t charge towards the Ottomans it was more of a question on what would it take for the crusaders but I guess not having the French knights charge could increase their chances of victory in the battle
Now, how would Sigismund convince his allies to behave reasonably instead of idiotically, is a completely different issue that involves cultural background and some other factors. IMO, the task was almost doomed unless the leader had an overwhelming authority, which was not the case.
Yea it would be difficult for Sigismund to convince the French to follow his plan since their whole thing was to just recklessly charge and this battle was no different for them. This didn’t really help the crusader’s cause since it had caused disunity among them
 
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I wasn’t saying if the battle wouldn’t have been won if the French knights didn’t charge towards the Ottomans it was more of a question on what would it take for the crusaders but I guess not having the French knights charge could increase their chances of victory in the battle
For the crusaders it would take to act as an army, which they weren’t. 😉
Yea it would be difficult for Sigismund to convince the French to follow his plan since their whole thing was to just recklessly charge and this battle was no different for them. This didn’t really help the crusader’s cause since it had caused disunity among them
It was a little bit more complicated than just “charge”: by that time the French knights already fully adopted themselves to an idea of fighting on foot (not that it did not help them too much in the major battle(s). There was, AFAIK, a problem of attitude. For a knight the main thing was a personal glory, not outcome of a battle in general. Look at Poitiers. King John clearly screwed up as a general but he was praised by his individual behavior in that battle by both sides because as an individual warrior he performed bravely. Look at Crecy. Who ended up as the main hero? The blind King of Bohemia: of course, he got himself killed in an absolutely meaningless way but it still was heroic and Prince of Wales adopted his three ostrich feathers as his coat of arms. Sigismund’s plan would deprive the French/Burgundian guests of a glory by allowing some lowborn troops to attack ahead of them.

IMO, the only way out of this situation would be to explain that the Ottoman center is being held by the former slaves while the “socially equal” are on the flanks. So let the lowborn to deal with the lowborn and let the glorious French to get their glory by smashing the Serbian knights and the Ottoman nobles. This could work.
 
It was a little bit more complicated than just “charge”: by that time the French knights already fully adopted themselves to an idea of fighting on foot (not that it did not help them too much in the major battle(s). There was, AFAIK, a problem of attitude. For a knight the main thing was a personal glory, not outcome of a battle in general. Look at Poitiers. King John clearly screwed up as a general but he was praised by his individual behavior in that battle by both sides because as an individual warrior he performed bravely. Look at Crecy. Who ended up as the main hero? The blind King of Bohemia: of course, he got himself killed in an absolutely meaningless way but it still was heroic and Prince of Wales adopted his three ostrich feathers as his coat of arms. Sigismund’s plan would deprive the French/Burgundian guests of a glory by allowing some lowborn troops to attack ahead of them.
My bad on there, I guess that word was too simple to use there but that from I mentioned was usually the tactics the French did based on what they did at Nicopolis right?
IMO, the only way out of this situation would be to explain that the Ottoman center is being held by the former slaves while the “socially equal” are on the flanks. So let the lowborn to deal with the lowborn and let the glorious French to get their glory by smashing the Serbian knights and the Ottoman nobles. This could work.
Hm that could actually work out for the crusaders in order for them to win at Nicopolis
 
For the crusaders it would take to act as an army, which they weren’t. 😉

It was a little bit more complicated than just “charge”: by that time the French knights already fully adopted themselves to an idea of fighting on foot (not that it did not help them too much in the major battle(s). There was, AFAIK, a problem of attitude. For a knight the main thing was a personal glory, not outcome of a battle in general. Look at Poitiers. King John clearly screwed up as a general but he was praised by his individual behavior in that battle by both sides because as an individual warrior he performed bravely. Look at Crecy. Who ended up as the main hero? The blind King of Bohemia: of course, he got himself killed in an absolutely meaningless way but it still was heroic and Prince of Wales adopted his three ostrich feathers as his coat of arms. Sigismund’s plan would deprive the French/Burgundian guests of a glory by allowing some lowborn troops to attack ahead of them.

IMO, the only way out of this situation would be to explain that the Ottoman center is being held by the former slaves while the “socially equal” are on the flanks. So let the lowborn to deal with the lowborn and let the glorious French to get their glory by smashing the Serbian knights and the Ottoman nobles. This could work.
I like this! Maybe not enough to persuade them, but worth of a try.
On another hand, the Serbian behavior during the 14th and 15th century (after the battle of Kossovopolje) is driving me crazy! They were more effective and more loyal to the sultans than the proper Turkish troops from Anatolia. Only the Janissaries were better.... :( Sad, as they aftercall suffered greatly from the Ottomans.

I think the victory secret at Nilopolis rest on the Serbian behavior: would they falter (retreat) or even better, betray the Ottomans and join Sigismund, then the game is over for the Turks.

Now, the problem is pushed to another level: the menance that Hungary pose to Serbians. Still, Sigismund had a precarious power grip in Hungary and was more interested to the HRE affairs. Maybe Prince Lazarevic would be persuaded that the Ottoman danger is higher than the Hungarian one and he will be allow to keep his realm (maybe even expanding it).
 
The battle in a nutshell

Sigismund: Alright, we need a plan.
French Knights: I'm back. Let's do this. "LEEROY JENKINS!"
Sigismund: Oh God they just charged in...

Sultan Bayazid (Ottomans): Why don't you remember your place like the others? And wait for the Wallachians.
 
The battle in a nutshell

Sigismund: Alright, we need a plan.
French Knights: I'm back. Let's do this. "LEEROY JENKINS!"
Sigismund: Oh God they just charged in...

Sultan Bayazid (Ottomans): Why don't you remember your place like the others? And wait for the Wallachians.
To be fair to the French (or rather Burgundians), the older leaders supported Sigismund’s plan but they were present at the crusade mostly in an advisory capacity. The real power was in the hands of the younger, higher ranking personages with more idiotic bravery than brains. And the ordinary nobles were not asked at all.
 

octoberman

Banned
Have the crusade called after the battle of Ankara and started after Tamarerlane's death during the Ottoman interregnum in alliance with Christian kingdoms in the Balkans and Anatolian Beyliks.
 
Have the crusade called after the battle of Ankara and started after Tamarerlane's death during the Ottoman interregnum in alliance with Christian kingdoms in the Balkans and Anatolian Beyliks.
I could see that succeeding maybe more than in 1396, could the Ottomans be potentially expelled from the Balkans if that happened instead?
 
Sorry for the late response guys, but I also wanted to ask, what would be the effects of a crusader victory at Nicopolis? Would the crusaders continue advancing down the Balkans? Would it halt Ottoman expansion in Europe or stop it entirely?
 

octoberman

Banned
Sorry for the late response guys, but I also wanted to ask, what would be the effects of a crusader victory at Nicopolis? Would the crusaders continue advancing down the Balkans? Would it halt Ottoman expansion in Europe or stop it entirely?
A single victory might not be enough. Bayezid had another army in anatolia to strike back and multiple adult sons to succeed him
 
I have no doubts that the Crusaders could have succeeded ejecting the Ottomans from the Balkans if one or two things go right for them. However that does not fix the region's fundamental problem: it's extremely fragmented with the various parts constantly feuding with each other. It would be trivial for the Ottomans (or another rising star Turkish beylik) to eventually reestablish their presence across the Straits, and at that point we're back to square one.
 
I have no doubts that the Crusaders could have succeeded ejecting the Ottomans from the Balkans if one or two things go right for them. However that does not fix the region's fundamental problem: it's extremely fragmented with the various parts constantly feuding with each other. It would be trivial for the Ottomans (or another rising star Turkish beylik) to eventually reestablish their presence across the Straits, and at that point we're back to square one.
Well yes that problem wouldn’t be solved by a successful crusade of Nicopolis however I could see the Balkans not being under Turkish rule for longer than in otl. Combining the crusaders kicking the Ottomans out of the Balkans with Timur still coming after the Ottomans, the Ottomans could potentially collapse early on and Anatolia being split again would delay any Turkish invasions into the Balkans. I think that it would be another beylik that would go after the Balkans (unless the Ottomans can somehow survive the two invasions I mentioned earlier)
 
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octoberman

Banned
However that does not fix the region's fundamental problem: it's extremely fragmented with the various parts constantly feuding with each other. It would be trivial for the Ottomans (or another rising star Turkish beylik) to eventually reestablish their presence across the Straits, and at that point we're back to square one.
It could also be a Christian Polity. Turkish domination of southeastern Europe was far from inevitable even in the 15th century
 
It could also be a Christian Polity. Turkish domination of southeastern Europe was far from inevitable even in the 15th century
I doubt it. The Roman realm was plagued by structural weaknesses which made it prone to internal struggles, civil wars even. Bulgaria was also a constant threat, while the question of Latin/Frank duchies in Greece would be a constant source of tension with Western realms.

The Latin/Frank duchies couldn't build a big, strong and stable empire which could withstand the onslaught of hostile forces from all sides (and from within). The case of the Latin Empire demonstrated that well.

Serbia could never hope to build a lasting empire either. The Empire's attention would inevitably be split between Hungary and whatever else remains outside of its range on the fringes. Its core area would also be too far to keep Thrace secure.

Bulgaria might be your best bet. Although the 2nd Empire did end up fragmented, if the Crusade ends up reviving the unified state, it might be able to keep itself together.

All in all however, the best way to keep the Turks out of the Balkans is probably via giving Gallipoli to Venice and by Bulgaria being dominant inland. Venice is wealthy and powerful enough to maintain a strong garrison and keep the defences intact and up to date, while the prospect of overseeing the trade through the Dardanelles would be a good enough incentive to keep the Venetians committed. Genoa is a good alternative.
 
Was it really a good alternative to venice since it lost
Since it lost? Lost what? The War of Chioggia? Why would that matter? Genoa was still a strong and wealthy mercantile republic. Venice had an edge over it, but that's all. It can serve its required purpose.
 
1 French attack the flanks. Janniserries wiped out
2 Turks pushed out of Balkans
3 tamerlane destroys the ottomans in anatolia. The ottomans cannot escape to Balkans.
4 anatolia devolves into a dozen kingdoms
5 a brief reemergence of a stronger byzantine empire with Greece , maybe a permanent proto Greek state. If strongly effective and with the complete devastation of anatolia by tamerlane I can see Greek conquests in anatolia.
6 a stronger Bulgarian state.
 
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