Cinco de Mayo

The UK's playing great power politics in the Western Hemisphere caused problems with the US even in OTL. Will there be greater tension now that the US has been weakened specifically by British interference (CSA independence)?
Great question, and absolutely. The UK's deployment of the Halifax Squadron was a big factor in Horatio Seymour's 1868 defeat and the passage of the Naval Act the following year, even if the alt-USN by 1882 is nowhere near what was intended when the act was passed (I'd say its still ahead of OTL's USN at this juncture, though). Add to that Britain's substantial investments in Canada (early CPR completion), Hawaii (complicating US access to Asia and forcing them to use Midway and Wake as their main coaling stations), the Confederacy (France is a big player here too, granted) and Mexico (the Tehuantepec Railway in particular, while France sort of ignores its Panama Railroad comparatively), and it pouring money and ships into Chile (coming down pretty firmly on their side in the Saltpeter War and border dispute with Argentina) to use it as a proxy for controlling the Three Capes, and it definitely is setting itself up for some rivalries with the United States long term.

I imagine that the Royal Navy's presence in the Falklands would grow a lot here and it would probably cozy up to Brazil, too, to make sure that her Atlantic sea lanes have absolutely zero threats, though none of that is canon in any updates I have written.
 
Continuing the theme of CSA-as-banana-republic, it would be interesting to see the Kingfish as a Cardenas or Vargas equivalent.
 

Ficboy

Banned
Continuing the theme of CSA-as-banana-republic, it would be interesting to see the Kingfish as a Cardenas or Vargas equivalent.
Well more accurately a caudillo republic similar to Brazil and Mexico. It's also slightly more well off than the banana republics of Central and Latin America because of its ethnic composition and ties to Britain and France.
 
Well more accurately a caudillo republic similar to Brazil and Mexico. It's also slightly more well off than the banana republics of Central and Latin America because of its ethnic composition and ties to Britain and France.
Yeah, I mixed up the terminology. I meant something more like a caudillo rule, which is why mentioned the two big Latin American populists of the 30's, Cardenas of Mexico and Vargas of Brazil.
 

Ficboy

Banned
Yeah, I mixed up the terminology. I meant something more like a caudillo rule, which is why mentioned the two big Latin American populists of the 30's, Cardenas of Mexico and Vargas of Brazil.
Both nations were well off to an extent at least by the standards of Latin America. The same went for Argentina, Chile and Uruguay.
 
Were Brazil and Mexico as wealthy as the Southern Cone? I was always under the impression they were slightly poorer, and that the plantation-heavy CSA would be more similar to those two states.
 

Ficboy

Banned
Were Brazil and Mexico as wealthy as the Southern Cone? I was always under the impression they were slightly poorer, and that the plantation-heavy CSA would be more similar to those two states.
Brazil had massive levels of European immigration much like Argentina, Uruguay and Chile. It still suffered its fair share of instability and chaos as well as dictatorships. Mexico to an extent had this.
 
Were Brazil and Mexico as wealthy as the Southern Cone? I was always under the impression they were slightly poorer, and that the plantation-heavy CSA would be more similar to those two states.
As of 1882 the big migrant waves to the Southern Cone and Brazil hadnt begun yet, so they were all on pretty even footing at this point I’d think. If anything Mexico ITTL might be ahead of the others with the light industry it’s formed and it’s healthy immigration waves
 
Oh, that should be interesting. On an unrelated note, how is the other Hapsburg monarchy right now? Are they more or less unstable than OTL?
 
Oh, that should be interesting. On an unrelated note, how is the other Hapsburg monarchy right now? Are they more or less unstable than OTL?
Id say fairly similar, which is why I haven’t expended a ton of time on them. Being allies with Bonapartist France infers some economic investment advantages vs the still-developing Germany and Russia’s retreat from the Balkans has placed Obrenovic Serbia in their political sphere and even though they don’t “have” Bosnia they would enjoy a fair amount of commercial interest in the northern (and industrializing) OE. So in that regard, better. The downside is having a somewhat hostile Germany, irredentist Italy and a neutral Russia on most of your borders - there’s no formal alliance with Istanbul either. So the internal situation is prob more stable; foreign policy situation is way more precarious
 

Ficboy

Banned
Id say fairly similar, which is why I haven’t expended a ton of time on them. Being allies with Bonapartist France infers some economic investment advantages vs the still-developing Germany and Russia’s retreat from the Balkans has placed Obrenovic Serbia in their political sphere and even though they don’t “have” Bosnia they would enjoy a fair amount of commercial interest in the northern (and industrializing) OE. So in that regard, better. The downside is having a somewhat hostile Germany, irredentist Italy and a neutral Russia on most of your borders - there’s no formal alliance with Istanbul either. So the internal situation is prob more stable; foreign policy situation is way more precarious
World War I is going to look unrecognizable given that France is under the rule of the Bonapartes.
 
The text implies that the French Empire will end at some point in time; I would not be surprised if the stated young death of Napoleon IV (1905) is part of that end.
 
The text implies that the French Empire will end at some point in time; I would not be surprised if the stated young death of Napoleon IV (1905) is part of that end.
Havent worked out the how or the why down to the fine details yet but you’re barking up the right tree
 

Ficboy

Banned
Havent worked out the how or the why down to the fine details yet but you’re barking up the right tree
If there is a World War I, my guess is that will start similar to OTL with Franz Ferdinand's assassination or a similar event thus starting the conflict. The Confederate States would stay neutral and possibly the United States. The alliances might look very different such as a Central Powers Italy depending on the butterflies.
 
The Scramble for Asia: Colonialism in the Far East in the 19th Century
"...though unsanctioned by Paris, the seizure of the Hanoi Citadel by Rivière on April 25 [1] was met with alarm in Viet Nam and outrage in the Qing court, where Li Hongzhang's concern over the expansion of European and Japanese presences in Korea began to stir conversation about a response being necessary. Though Rivière would surrender the citadel before long, Tonkinese officials went scrambling to the Black Flag Army of Liu Yongfu to help fend off the French as they had done a decade before. Experts at irregular warfare against unsuspecting forces [2], the Black Flag campaign erupted, keeping Rivière in Indochina rather than resulting in his cashiering and now attracting the attention of French ministers and the Foreign Legion..."

- The Scramble for Asia: Colonialism in the Far East in the 19th Century


[1] As in OTL, though the chain of events set off here will be markedly different
[2] I mean this is Vietnam we're talking about
 
Frederick and Victoria: Consorts of Germany
"...alarmed by the sudden assassination of the Kaiser and aware of his own advanced age, von Moltke had begun elevating a younger cadre of officers in the wake of Wilhelm's death and quietly notifying his longtime ally Bismarck that he intended to retire by the age of 85, if he was so blessed to live that long. A hero of the Third Unification War, Alfred von Waldersee, was in 1879 made his Quartermaster General and effective second-in-command on the General Staff, a position of tremendous prestige, signaling enormous trust by von Moltke in his young protege. Also brought into the General Staff at this time was a young major named Alfred von Schlieffen, who quickly became a key deputy to Waldersee, and Wilhelm von Hahnke, a friend to Schlieffen thought to be eyed as a potential head of the Military Cabinet.

Schlieffen and Hahnke were mainstream, doctrinaire soldiers of the Prussian aristocratic class, hungry and ambitious as they might have been. Waldersee, a magnetic personality who wielded considerable influence over both, was of a different breed - he was attracted to the fiery Stoecker sermons, referring to the rabid anti-Semite as a "Second Luther," and saw conspiracies everywhere he looked. In his view, Germany was arrayed against a vast enemy controlled by global Jewry, which in turn held sway over both Catholics, whom he detested, and liberals, who he viewed as a weak fifth column within Prussia. Waldersee's diaries, published after his death [1], reveal a man with grandiose designs on an apocalyptic "last war" against France and Austria, and perhaps even her nominal ally Russia, to secure the place of Germany forever. He detested the Kaiser first and foremost, viewing him as a "fleshy bag of a man, a puppet on strings held by the British whore," and as a bloc of liberals surged to power in the Reichstag, the lay Catholic Zentrum grew in influence and socialists still proselytized without being lined upon and shot, the man began to see his beloved Germany slipping away. His antidote was the deposition and execution of the Kaiser, the exile or death of Empress Victoria, suspension of suffrage to the Reichstag and de-emancipation, if not deportation and perhaps even liquidation, of the Jewish community. The notion of civilian control of the military and the Junkers losing their position was wholly alien to Waldersee, and the Kaiser returned his hatred.

Nevertheless, Friedrich - always indecisive and reluctant to act, and having been dissuaded by Victoria of turning his attention away from boxing out Bismarck [2] - decided not to demand Waldersee's dismissal in 1882 as the Quartermaster elevated more friends to attache positions in foreign embassies. He was particularly leery of making a move that would seem to second-guess Moltke, who was so respected that he was referred to as the "Kaiser of the army" by some despite his advanced age and declining faculties. Bismarck, for his part, was suspicious and leery of Waldersee, but began to see the man as a useful pawn to be played, particularly as he started to turn his attention less from German matters to specifically Prussian ones and look to the Landtag as the vehicle for his political maneuvers, seeing as Prussia's army formed the core of Germany's military, the Junkers were the cream of the elite, and there were not nearly so many liberals and Catholics to muddy things up for him in the three-franchise Prussian Parliament.

And so the stage was set for one of Germany's most infamous tragedies, all thanks to three men - Friedrich, Bismarck and Moltke - who with their own cross-purposes and agendas ignored a bubbling reactionary undercurrent within the armed forces..."

- Frederick and Victoria: Consorts of Germany


[1] This is all a little ahead of schedule, mind
[2] As I've said before, I think Freddy was less an ardent liberal hero like he's been mythologized as and more of just a wishy-washy guy who was easily bossed around by his wife
 
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