Hi All,
This came up in the Victory in Europe 1944 - Effects on the British Empire and the Postwar World thread. @Carl Schwamberger asked:
When I answered with a text wall, he reasonably suggested that I spin it off into a separate thread. Which is what I am doing here.
There are kind of two issues to deal with here. One is Britain maintaining their contribution to the First World War as primarily naval, and the other is Britain re-establishing a littoral capability and focus. I will start with the first one:
The Royal Navy, the British public and both the British and French governments of the day all expected that the primary contribution of Britain to a European conflict would be naval. That only changed when the Navy was unable to put forward a coherent, well supported plan for the conduct of such a war to compete with that of the British Army.
This failure was largely down to the efforts of Jackie Fisher and Arthur Wilson. I have a lot of respect for both men as innovators, futurists (In Fishers case) and fleet commanders (In Wilson's case). But they both had serious flaws as leaders. Most relevant to this question is their commitment to centralizing war planning in their own person. Fisher was famous for creating ad hoc committees and stacking them with his own supporters so he could use them to push forward decisions more to his liking (not always successfully). This sometimes came at the expense of the nascent Naval staff that was the Naval Intelligence Division. This reached a head with Fishers feud with Beresford when it became clear that some of Beresford's figures had come from the head of the Trade Division of the NID. When the result of that Feud was that Fisher had a Naval Staff nearly forced on him he was able to assuage opinion with the creation of the Navy War Council. However the Council had basically no executive authority, meaning planning still rested directly with Fisher. It also allowed Fisher to transfer almost all planning authority away from the NID.
Fisher was noted to be a bit paranoid with his actual thoughts and plans (one reason he appears so mercurial) and this only got worse after the Beresford incident. He is noted for saying several times that the war plans of the Navy should only ever exist in the Naval Chief's head. He also claims that the only person he told any of his war plans to was Wilson. He was actually quite angry that Wilson shared as much as he did when brought before the Committee of Imperial Defence.
Wilson was equally centralizing and much worse at playing the political game than Fisher. Thus when the CID asked him for the Navies war plans he initially refused and eventually gave them the plan grudgingly and without the charisma to convince them of its feasibility. Without confidence in the Navy plan the CID decided that the Army plan of using the Army to support France on land should be investigated further.
There are probably a few ways this could be avoided. But the one I think would work best is actually twofold:
1. Create an official Naval Staff out of the NID planning division in the 1890's.
If there is an official, and established staff in place prior to Fisher coming in with responsibility for war planning then Fisher will have a much harder time centralizing all planning in himself. He may find ways to work around them but he will probably not be able to stop them from creating and expanding on plans based on the latest situation.
2. Have Prince Louis of Battenberg be accepted as First Sea Lord on Fishers retirement.
Battenberg had a mixed record as FSL IOTL but I am given to understand that this was partially as a result of the way that he got the job. He had been mooted as the obvious successor to both Fisher and then Wilson but in both cases the Cabinet were unsure both about having a Prince, technically from a German Royal House, in such a position. Thus he ended up playing second fiddle to both Wilson and Bridgeman. It seems that this got to him enough that he supported Churchill in removing Bridgeman in order to finally get the job that he had been passed over for twice. Since Bridgeman was a competent, respected and well-liked officer this move lost him most of his support in the Navy and his political support from outside of it (Including Fisher who had originally put his name up). This made him almost completely dependent on Churchill for his position and let Churchill more or less do as he liked at the Admiralty (including supporting the plan to send an Army to France).
If we avoid this by having Battenberg in the top spot after Fisher retires then you have a much more effective Battenberg in place for several years before Churchill even shows up. As a former head of the NID (Naval Staff in this instance) he is more likely to allow for the creation of a fleshed out war plan and to present that to the CID if the issue comes up, thereby probably keeping Britain on the trajectory of the Maritime war.
This came up in the Victory in Europe 1944 - Effects on the British Empire and the Postwar World thread. @Carl Schwamberger asked:
Further digressing.. One wonders how that might have been avoided in the Great War. Britain seems to have lost its touch in the conduct of littoral & peripheral warfare.
When I answered with a text wall, he reasonably suggested that I spin it off into a separate thread. Which is what I am doing here.
There are kind of two issues to deal with here. One is Britain maintaining their contribution to the First World War as primarily naval, and the other is Britain re-establishing a littoral capability and focus. I will start with the first one:
The Royal Navy, the British public and both the British and French governments of the day all expected that the primary contribution of Britain to a European conflict would be naval. That only changed when the Navy was unable to put forward a coherent, well supported plan for the conduct of such a war to compete with that of the British Army.
This failure was largely down to the efforts of Jackie Fisher and Arthur Wilson. I have a lot of respect for both men as innovators, futurists (In Fishers case) and fleet commanders (In Wilson's case). But they both had serious flaws as leaders. Most relevant to this question is their commitment to centralizing war planning in their own person. Fisher was famous for creating ad hoc committees and stacking them with his own supporters so he could use them to push forward decisions more to his liking (not always successfully). This sometimes came at the expense of the nascent Naval staff that was the Naval Intelligence Division. This reached a head with Fishers feud with Beresford when it became clear that some of Beresford's figures had come from the head of the Trade Division of the NID. When the result of that Feud was that Fisher had a Naval Staff nearly forced on him he was able to assuage opinion with the creation of the Navy War Council. However the Council had basically no executive authority, meaning planning still rested directly with Fisher. It also allowed Fisher to transfer almost all planning authority away from the NID.
Fisher was noted to be a bit paranoid with his actual thoughts and plans (one reason he appears so mercurial) and this only got worse after the Beresford incident. He is noted for saying several times that the war plans of the Navy should only ever exist in the Naval Chief's head. He also claims that the only person he told any of his war plans to was Wilson. He was actually quite angry that Wilson shared as much as he did when brought before the Committee of Imperial Defence.
Wilson was equally centralizing and much worse at playing the political game than Fisher. Thus when the CID asked him for the Navies war plans he initially refused and eventually gave them the plan grudgingly and without the charisma to convince them of its feasibility. Without confidence in the Navy plan the CID decided that the Army plan of using the Army to support France on land should be investigated further.
There are probably a few ways this could be avoided. But the one I think would work best is actually twofold:
1. Create an official Naval Staff out of the NID planning division in the 1890's.
If there is an official, and established staff in place prior to Fisher coming in with responsibility for war planning then Fisher will have a much harder time centralizing all planning in himself. He may find ways to work around them but he will probably not be able to stop them from creating and expanding on plans based on the latest situation.
2. Have Prince Louis of Battenberg be accepted as First Sea Lord on Fishers retirement.
Battenberg had a mixed record as FSL IOTL but I am given to understand that this was partially as a result of the way that he got the job. He had been mooted as the obvious successor to both Fisher and then Wilson but in both cases the Cabinet were unsure both about having a Prince, technically from a German Royal House, in such a position. Thus he ended up playing second fiddle to both Wilson and Bridgeman. It seems that this got to him enough that he supported Churchill in removing Bridgeman in order to finally get the job that he had been passed over for twice. Since Bridgeman was a competent, respected and well-liked officer this move lost him most of his support in the Navy and his political support from outside of it (Including Fisher who had originally put his name up). This made him almost completely dependent on Churchill for his position and let Churchill more or less do as he liked at the Admiralty (including supporting the plan to send an Army to France).
If we avoid this by having Battenberg in the top spot after Fisher retires then you have a much more effective Battenberg in place for several years before Churchill even shows up. As a former head of the NID (Naval Staff in this instance) he is more likely to allow for the creation of a fleshed out war plan and to present that to the CID if the issue comes up, thereby probably keeping Britain on the trajectory of the Maritime war.