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Not to be that guy, but this is very much OTL. Albeit separated by a millennium.

Without WW2 the whole region would look radically different. Indonesia would be a lot smaller and take another 20+ years to emerge. Depends on your POD.

I don't think we are really disagreeing. I agree with the main point you're making, and certainly an outcome that saw no Australian cities targeted would not be a surprising one. Given the chaos and unpredictability of such a conflict though, I wouldn't feel safe in a large Australian city until...

The same as lobbing nukes at any major industrial/population centre in NA/Europe. Countervalue strikes are the same anywhere, just at differing levels of value. Certainly, Australia is a fair way down the list but the USSR would not have left us alone for any reason other than still worrying...

If Indo isn't hit there'll be plenty more than 100 million people and they certainly won't be seeking refuge. Indonesia in the 80's was no threat to Australia and would be unable to even land if the RAN/RAAF is intact, not that the Indonesians would be interested in Northern Australia anyway...

Well certainly in agreement there. An undamaged Australia in a 1983 scenario would probably be untouchable, in particular if surviving air and naval elements from allies made their way south, but it will be as it always is principally concerned with its region, and lacking the physical tools to...

The likely worst case scenario for the Australian east coast is the three major cities, Canberra, and perhaps Newcastle hit. Less than half a dozen hits in an area the size of the US east coast. Not much in the way of heavy industry left in those circumstances (not none though), but very much...

Yes, that one is far more difficult to pull off.

In '83 there's a good chance Aus will cop some hits. Even with no ICBM targeting (other than Pine Gap) which is plausible enough given the number of missiles likely to be destroyed on the ground/malfunction/used as redundancies in Europe/NA, there's a fair chance a passing boomer could level...

Given the timeframe you've given, it'd be extremely straightforward to take the city with a late 19th century fleet if you've already gotten through the straits. Bombard it and then land troops. To be sure, it depends on how well the city is being defended. IMO if something like the Royal Navy...

Nuclear winter wouldn’t negatively impact on Australian agriculture, even if such a winter were possible. We have massive excess production anyway. Transitioning to independence would involve a massive reduction in living standards, but nothing that would prevent us from retaining a fully...

Very unlikely. "Indonesia" in terms of the political state is a construct, formed out of and by the dominant groups which came to the fore during and after the revolution. They had their power base in Java and the southern two thirds of Sumatra. Substantial groups in Eastern Indonesia, along...

The most likely impact of an early spread of diseases in the Americas is not likely to be a large urban population similar to OTL only with immunity, but rather a severely depressed population relative to OTL (though conversely considerably larger than the post-OTL crash), which crucially is not...

The ToV was less important to the rise of the Nazis than the economic troubles of the 1920's and 30's, though of course those are related affairs. Unless as has been stated the war itself ends differently, it is difficult to avoid many of these problems with the mindset of the Entente in 1918...

This is kind of OTL already. Very large numbers of White South Africans left the country, with many going to Perth as the nearest 'white' city. More would doubtless have left if they could afford it.

This is an extremely interesting, but extremely difficult question. It really depends on a range of developments beyond Europe. If the RoC is successful in establishing control over China and growing the economy, population there would presumably be several hundred million lower. Likewise for...

It would seem unlikely that for Nepos the 'best case' doesn't include being a puppet of the East, as they're the ones keeping his head on his shoulders. We don't know an enormous amount about him, other than his varied record in holding Italy, but I would not rate his chances if the East decided...

Sure, it's plausible. If Odoacer or any other de facto ruler of Italy irritates the Eastern Empire then it is perfectly capable of intervening and placing a surviving Nepos on the throne. `Whether or not this will be at all permanent is a different question though, and there's a good chance that...

The idea of using a Clinton candidacy as a tool for achieving different electoral outcomes is incredibly appropriate. I sincerely hope that in years to come we get a slew of "Clinton loses to X" threads, in particular zany wacky folks who wouldn't stand a chance otherwise.

Easiest is probably a Napoleonic victory, followed by a rematch in the 1820's or 30's that sees France invade Britain itself. Easy for the French to then utterly dominate Africa and South-East Asia, and perhaps even return to India.