Portuguese Southern Africa - a TL

Description of the Population

By 1650, the new administration in Lisbon had turned over the governance of Luanda and Benguela to the Viceroyalty of Nova Lusitânia along with the islands in the Gulf of Guinea (São Tomé, Fernão do Pó, Príncipe and Anobom), making the Cabo da Boa Esperança the administrative hub of an expansive empire. By 1650 the city was home to over 40,000 inhabitants and housed many impressive public buildings, some of which were replaced or rebuilt throughout the mid-17th century by grand Baroque structures.

In 1650, the European population had risen to around 770,000 with just around 5% having been born in Portugal (including the Azores and Madeira), most of colony's population growth being attributed to a high rate of natural growth common to frontier societies in temperate climate (as the English were beginning to witness in New England). However, the vast majority of "brancos" (whites) as they typically called lived along the southern coastal strip of the colony where they formed 80-90% of the population. On the planaltos (plateaus) they were around 60% of the population, whereas in the coastal sugar producing regions they were only around 10% of the total population. North of the Zambezi their numbers were even fewer, with perhaps only 5,000 living in that more inhospitable region.

The "brancos" stood at the top of the colonial hierarchy, however even this group was divided into new-Christians and old Christians. The new-Christians continued to face discrimination and were often excluded from public office and from the clergy. However, as in Brazil, this group constituted the much of the merchant class in the colony, with most of them being engaged in trade and others as artisans and skilled workers. Many have also settled in the frontier settlements to expand their trade to new regions, forging trading networks that act as bridges between the indigenous Africans and the Europeans.

Around 110,000 free people of colour were accounted for by 1650, many are classified as pardos or mestiços (persons of mixed race), however some were free indigenous Africans and others hail from the Estado da Índia. More often than not these were people with mixed European and African, and to a lesser extent Asian background (mostly in Quelimane). This group was responsible for exploring and attacking the frontier regions, often coming into conflict with the Jesuits. In the coastal captaincies of Luanda, Benguela, São Tomé, Quelimane, Sofala, Sena, Moçambique, Tete and Inhambane this group outnumbered the Europeans. Like new Christians they were excluded from municipal offices and membership in the more prestigious lay brotherhoods. Those not engaged in trading and the slave trade tended to live off of subsistence agriculture, or occupy the less prestigious occupations as artisans or working in manual labour. The most prestigious occupation for this group was to serve in the military or militia, with entire mulatto regiments being constituted.

At the bottom of the social pyramid were the over 200,000 slaves in 1650. In the sugar-producing regions they accounted for the majority of the population, especially in Sofala, Sena and Benguela. A skewed sex-ratio (70% were men) on the sugar plantations coupled with the harsh conditions led to their natural growth rate declining and their numbers having to be constantly replenished by new arrivals. On cattle ranches and the tobacco plantations of the Planalto do Norte their numbers tended to be less numerous, and their rates of survival higher. Slaves also accounted for the majority of the labour force engaged in mining. Furthest south, there were few slaves and around the Cabo da Boa Esperança only the wealthier families had slaves and they tended to number only 3-4 per household, usually working as servants.

Early in the history of the colony, most slaves were the Khoikhoi and San, however the few Khoikhoi and San that still remained lived much further north in remote regions. With the population growth in Tropical Africa largely stagnant during this period, entire regions are being depopulated by the Portuguese, the slave catchers are looking further north for captives and to Madagascar. To make matters worse, in many regions due to the enslavement of men, women outnumber men 2 and 3 to 1 in some societies, causing a great deal of turmoil. This coupled with the violent usurpation of their farming and grazing lands cause have caused many groups to migrate northwards to the Great Lakes Region, coming into conflict with the local populations already established there.
 
Ilha de São Lourenço (Madagascar) and Santa Helena

Since the early 16th century the Portuguese had begun exploring Madagascar, which they called Ilha de São Lourenço (Island of Saint Lawrence), and beginning in 1613 Jesuit priests had established missions on the island. Initially their efforts had concentrated on the southeast corner of the island, however these efforts had been abandoned by the 1620s, leaving the French to attempt to establish a colony there later in the century.

The Jesuits achieved little success on São Lourenço, winning over few converts. However, Portuguese traders had been acquiring rice and slaves from the island. In 1649, a fort was established at Santo Agostinho in the arid Southwestern portion of the island on the same site of a failed English Puritan settlement in 1644. Wanting to protect their interests, the Portuguese sent a contingent of soldiers to take control of the area. By the 1660s an estimated 5,000 slaves per year were being exported to the sugar plantations of Natal and later to Brazil and the West Indies.

Largely serving as a slave-trading entrepot, the Portuguese adventurers from Sofala began to establish sugarcane plantations further inland around their settlement. They also began to export timber from the forests inland and further north. An attempt to settle 500 settlers from the Azores in 1668 in the region proved unsuccessful though with many succumbing to disease, most of the survivors were resettled in Natal. However, French attempts to settle Fort-Dauphin with Europeans further East were unsuccessful as well. However, the French were able to establish a successful sugarcane producing colony at Bourbon in the Mascarenes.

The Portuguese settlement grew and by 1670 there were 5,000 people in and around Santo Agostinho, a mere 200 were Europeans though. European settlement would not grow until the following century.
 
Wow, Madagascar too? You weren't kidding about Portuguese Draka. A thought, Portugal probably doesn't have the manpower for both Brazil and southern Africa. Brazil's only really important for sugar (or has the Minas Gerais gold been discovered already?), while Portuguese Africa has sugar, gold and a secure route to the riches of Asia. if push came to shove and the Dutch or French try to take Brazil, Lisbon might prefer to cut its losses there and resettle as many Brazilians as possible in Africa (rather reversing the traditional pattern).

Just an idea I came up with.
 
Sounds super interesting, but I'm really interested in the butterflies hitting Europe by the end of the 17th century. So far events have held close to OTL back in the metropole.
 
Sounds super interesting, but I'm really interested in the butterflies hitting Europe by the end of the 17th century. So far events have held close to OTL back in the metropole.

They will hit Europe, but one has to remember that Portugal was by and large isolated from the great power politics of Europe. The only European wars that Portugal was involved in tended to be as a result of wars with Spain, and even these often began in America. Paul Methuen, the son of the English Ambassador in Lisbon (and later ambassador himself) wrote that in Lisbon "it was easier to have news of Brazil and the Indies than of Europe". This statement really illustrates the psyche of Portugal's rulers up until 1974.

Protection of commerce from the empire was vital to Portugal's survival as an independent nation. This led Portugal to seek out neutrality in the European wars. In 1692, the French Ambassador in Lisbon had sought to gain the Portuguese as allies during the Nine Years' War by offering them concessions in Galicia, Extremadura, and America. However, English and Dutch naval supremacy made the Portuguese prefer to remain neutral.

This course of action was once again repeated with the secret Treaty of Lisbon in 1703 where the French promised the Portuguese territorial concessions in America, and Spanish Extremadura along with Galicia. However, the show of force by the Royal Navy in August of 1702 when it sailed up the Tagus coupled with the capture of a French escorted Spanish silver fleet at Vigo in October of the same year by the English had already swayed the Portuguese court towards neutrality. However, they did later enter the war on the side of the English and Dutch.

For that reason I have preferred to focus on the effects on what in reality are Portugal's immediate neighbours. These are Persia, the Eyalet of Basra, Kongo etc. In addition to these are the Mughal Empire, the Kingdom of Kandy and eventually the Marathas. Despite the growth of a large empire in southern Africa, I belive the major effects on Europe will have to wait until the War of Spanish Succession.
 
They will hit Europe, but one has to remember that Portugal was by and large isolated from the great power politics of Europe. The only European wars that Portugal was involved in tended to be as a result of wars with Spain, and even these often began in America. Paul Methuen, the son of the English Ambassador in Lisbon (and later ambassador himself) wrote that in Lisbon "it was easier to have news of Brazil and the Indies than of Europe". This statement really illustrates the psyche of Portugal's rulers up until 1974.

Protection of commerce from the empire was vital to Portugal's survival as an independent nation. This led Portugal to seek out neutrality in the European wars. In 1692, the French Ambassador in Lisbon had sought to gain the Portuguese as allies during the Nine Years' War by offering them concessions in Galicia, Extremadura, and America. However, English and Dutch naval supremacy made the Portuguese prefer to remain neutral.

This course of action was once again repeated with the secret Treaty of Lisbon in 1703 where the French promised the Portuguese territorial concessions in America, and Spanish Extremadura along with Galicia. However, the show of force by the Royal Navy in August of 1702 when it sailed up the Tagus coupled with the capture of a French escorted Spanish silver fleet at Vigo in October of the same year by the English had already swayed the Portuguese court towards neutrality. However, they did later enter the war on the side of the English and Dutch.

For that reason I have preferred to focus on the effects on what in reality are Portugal's immediate neighbours. These are Persia, the Eyalet of Basra, Kongo etc. In addition to these are the Mughal Empire, the Kingdom of Kandy and eventually the Marathas. Despite the growth of a large empire in southern Africa, I belive the major effects on Europe will have to wait until the War of Spanish Succession.

Yeah, with Portugal having an easier access to the Indian Ocean India is gonna look very interesting down the line. And yeah, I agree, Europe will go nuts by the 18th century.
 
Portuguese Economy 1660-1700.

The Portuguese Empire had been hard hit by the establishment of sugar production in the West Indies by the other European powers, and although Brazil remained the world's largest producer, the price of sugar had fallen so low that only the largest wealthiest planters survived. This was repeated in Nova Lusitânia, though here the market inland for rum helped insulate Natal and Sofala to some extent.

Tobacco replaced sugar as the major cash crop from the Portuguese Empire by the 1680. Tobacco from Brazil was exported in large quantities to Portugal and the Guinea Coast. In addition the Portuguese signed a commercial treaty with France whereby they were able to become exclusive suppliers of tobacco to the French. In addition, Brazilian tobacco found markets in Spain, Italy and even India. Tobacco cultivation in Nova Lusitânia expanded and it was exported throughout central and East Africa, the Middle East, India and China. Subsequently, in 1674 the crown established a monopoly to regulate the and tax the profits of the tobacco trade.

During this period the gold of the Planalto do Norte proved to be essential for Portugal's defence spending. The gold production increased in the 1650s and then remained constant, averaging around 20,000 kilograms per year by 1700. However, in the 1690s gold had been discovered in Brazil, and by 1703, production in Brazil would overtake Nova Lusitânia's. This in turn would draw immigrants from not only Portugal and its Atlantic Islands to Brazil but from the Cabo da Boa Esperança as well.

Cutoff from Japanese copper, the copper from the Catanga (Katanga) region now began to be traded and shipped down the Zambezi to Sofala where it as exported the Portuguese factories on the Malabar Coast of India. Retaining control of the Malabar coast allowed the Portuguese to still maintain around half of the world's pepper trade, much of the pepper however was sold in Persia, Ceylon and at Surat. Also, the cinnamon trade of Ceylon remained an important monopoly for the Portuguese. Portugal also began to cooperate with the English and French against the Dutch East India Company.

The Portuguese were able to exclude other European powers from the Persian Gulf thereby controlling much of the silk and pearl trade during this period. After the death of Shah Abbas, the Portuguese were able to establish friendly relations with Persians and were granted the right to establish a customs house at Kong. From there goods passed to Mascate and onwards to the rest of the world. In addition, the Augustinians had established a monastery at Isfahan under Portuguese auspices, just as they had in Basra. The Portuguese had remained a close ally with the hereditary rulers of Basra (nominally under Ottoman rule), however the city was devastated by the plague in 1690 and conquered by the Muntafiq tribe in 1694 and later the Persians and finally the Ottomans. The constant infighting decimated the city's population and reduced its commercial importance.

From Nova Lusitânia the export of flour, wine and olive oil to Brazil increased during the 1660 to 1700 period, providing a measure of prosperity for the farmers on southern coast of the territory. The export of hides and skins (mostly leather) also became of great importance as these not only went to Europe, but to Asia as well. The slave trade continued to grow here, as Luanda and Benguela became major ports of export to the New World.

Emigration remained a constant as the Portuguese population began to grow, especially in the Azores and Madeira. Between 1680 and 1700 Brazil became the most important destination for emigrants from Portugal and its Atlantic islands, attracting some 2,000 immigrants per year. From northern Portugal large numbers were attracted to the southern regions of Brazil, especially Rio de Janeiro. Immigrants from the Azores were settled in large numbers in Maranhão and Pará in the north, and São Vicente and Colónia do Sacramento in the south. During the same period, 20,000 immigrants from the region of Cabo da Boa Esperança set sail for Brazil. Many Novo Lusitanos helped lay the foundation for the cattle industry in southern Brazil. However, many more were skilled labourers such as locksmiths, carpenters, blacksmiths, weavers, sculptors and painters.

The Portuguese had founded Colónia do Sacarmento on the Rio de la Plata in 1680 and this soon became an important centre for smuggling goods to and from Spanish America. From here, the Portuguese were able to smuggle silver from the mines of Potosi out and sell their own goods, bypassing the overland route to Lima. The Portuguese settlers would become numerous in the region and by 1720 much of Buenos Aires' population would be composed of Portuguese immigrants (despite Spanish attempts to block their settlement there).

Despite some emigration from Nova Lusitânia the population continued to grow, surpassing that of Portugal itself.

Population by 1700
Portugal 2 million
Nova Lusitânia 4.1 million (3.1 million Europeans, 600,000 Slaves, 400,000 mixed and free persons of colour)
Brazil 350,000 (120,000 Europeans)
 
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Wow, Madagascar too? You weren't kidding about Portuguese Draka. A thought, Portugal probably doesn't have the manpower for both Brazil and southern Africa.
The rational here is that the climate of Nova Lusitânia, unlike that of most of Brazil, allowed the white population to grow very much, making it so that not only NL is not a burden to the Metrople's demographics but it's actual a great addition to Portugal's manpower pool.

This addition of manpower is also the justification for the wanking levels of Portugal elsewhere. But yeah this is a "Portugal gobbles everything" fest; glad I'm at this party. :D

Since the early 16th century the Portuguese had begun exploring Madagascar, which they called Ilha de São Lourenço (Island of Saint Lawrence), and beginning in 1613 Jesuit priests had established missions on the island. Initially their efforts had concentrated on the southeast corner of the island, however these efforts had been abandoned by the 1620s, leaving the French to attempt to establish a colony there later in the century.

The Jesuits achieved little success on São Lourenço, winning over few converts. However, Portuguese traders had been acquiring rice and slaves from the island. In 1649, a fort was established at Santo Agostinho in the arid Southwestern portion of the island on the same site of a failed English Puritan settlement in 1644. Wanting to protect their interests, the Portuguese sent a contingent of soldiers to take control of the area. By the 1660s an estimated 5,000 slaves per year were being exported to the sugar plantations of Natal and later to Brazil and the West Indies.

Largely serving as a slave-trading entrepot, the Portuguese adventurers from Sofala began to establish sugarcane plantations further inland around their settlement. They also began to export timber from the forests inland and further north. An attempt to settle 500 settlers from the Azores in 1668 in the region proved unsuccessful though with many succumbing to disease, most of the survivors were resettled in Natal. However, French attempts to settle Fort-Dauphin with Europeans further East were unsuccessful as well. However, the French were able to establish a successful sugarcane producing colony at Bourbon in the Mascarenes.

The Portuguese settlement grew and by 1670 there were 5,000 people in and around Santo Agostinho, a mere 200 were Europeans though. European settlement would not grow until the following century.

You titled this post "Ilha de São Lourenço (Madagascar) and Santa Helena". Did Portugal gobble Saint Helena, too?

They will hit Europe, but one has to remember that Portugal was by and large isolated from the great power politics of Europe.
Bear in mind, however, that even if Portugal doesn't care about European affairs, the sheer perception of the existence of a much more powerful Portugal is sure to affect the policy of the European powers.

Portugal also began to cooperate with the English and French against the Dutch East India Company.
Don't the English and French want a piece of the Asian pie, too?
 
The rational here is that the climate of Nova Lusitânia, unlike that of most of Brazil, allowed the white population to grow very much, making it so that not only NL is not a burden to the Metrople's demographics but it's actual a great addition to Portugal's manpower pool.

This addition of manpower is also the justification for the wanking levels of Portugal elsewhere. But yeah this is a "Portugal gobbles everything" fest; glad I'm at this party. :D

I mean, maybe, but most of Nova Lusitania (sorry, don't know how to do the fun letters on the tablet) would have the same issue as most of Brazil. It'd really be the Cabo and Altoplano that's good for Europeans, and while they can acclimate to the rest over generations, it's still not exactly salubrious. Still reading and still enjoying, but there are issues.

Oh, and how long before Nova Lusitania decides it's tired of enriching the mother country?
 
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Expansion into Africa

Based on the social structure that we saw earlier, I am assuming that for many poor men there is little chance for economic advancement in the settled areas. If so then many of these young men will move to the frontier to find land or some other means of wealth. It will be interesting to see how far they will immigrate to over the next 100-200 years.

Stubear1012
 
The rational here is that the climate of Nova Lusitânia, unlike that of most of Brazil, allowed the white population to grow very much, making it so that not only NL is not a burden to the Metrople's demographics but it's actual a great addition to Portugal's manpower pool.

This addition of manpower is also the justification for the wanking levels of Portugal elsewhere. But yeah this is a "Portugal gobbles everything" fest; glad I'm at this party. :D



You titled this post "Ilha de São Lourenço (Madagascar) and Santa Helena". Did Portugal gobble Saint Helena, too?


Bear in mind, however, that even if Portugal doesn't care about European affairs, the sheer perception of the existence of a much more powerful Portugal is sure to affect the policy of the European powers.


Don't the English and French want a piece of the Asian pie, too?

One thing people fail to realize is that during the age of European expansion, Portugal lost far more people than Spain or England and many more than France or the Netherlands to emigration overseas. The meager economic prospects for peasants in Portugal by the 15th century and beginning in the late 16th century the Azores and later Madeira coupled with Portugal's geographic isolation from the core of Europe made many Portuguese take their chances overseas. Just under 1.5 million people emigrated from Portugal between 1400 and 1760 in OTL according to Portuguese historian Vitorino Magalhães Godinho, below are the numbers.

Emigration from Portugal
1400-1500 100,000
1500-1580 280,000
1580-1640 360,000
1640-1700 120,000
1700-1760 600,000

By contrast Spain sent just under 700,000 emigrants overseas during the same period, Britain and Ireland just under 500,000, France 100,000 and the Netherlands 25,000. Interestingly enough Britain, France and the Netherlands sent more emigrants to the West Indies than North America, or in the case of the Netherlands South Africa. However, the high mortality rates of the West Indies made the European population's growth there negative. Whereas New England received only around 5% of Britain's emigration, French North America under 20% of France's and yet these areas grew much faster. For the Netherlands around 10% of their emigrants went to New Netherlands and another 4% to Southern Africa, yet these populations grew far faster than the numbers sent to Batavia or Suriname.

You're correct with the assessment that with a portion of OTL's Portuguese emigration having settled in a large temperate area with plenty of land it has allowed their numbers to expand rapidly. Throughout the 17th century I have kept the average net immigration to Nova Lusitânia at around 1,000 immigrants per annum (around 1/3rd of Portugal's net emigration in OTL). I still kept Brazil's net migration the same, because it will still be a draw, especially due to its proximity to the Atlantic Islands.

I did mean to include a note about Saint Helena, it is going to be settled with small numbers of settlers from the Azores as a way-station between Brazil and Cabo da Boa Esperança as sea traffic between the two regions increases.

About Asia, interestingly enough in OTL by the 1660s, French and English primary sources seem to indicate a preference for Portugal being in command in India rather than the Netherlands. Also, there was cooperation in trade with the Portuguese in the Indies at that time. It seems the Portuguese were not as monopolistic in their trading practices as the Dutch.
 
This really does get more and more exciting to read, but would the Dutch have anywhere near as much success as they did in the East Indies with a hostile Southern Africa to raid their own shipping?

The Dutch still have the Moluccas along with Mauritius and Formosa in this TL. Batavia, however is the jewel in their crown, along with the Moluccas for spices. Also, they have the exclusive trading rights with Japan, which is valuable because they are able to export Japanese copper and silver to India. Between 1621 and 1660 Dutch ships will most likely stop at St. Helena (which they attempted to colonize) southern Madagascar and Mauritius before heading to the Indies. By 1660 they will have made peace with the Portuguese as well so their ships will begin calling at ports in Nova Lusitânia.

Also, the Dutch retain a trading factory in Bengal, this is important because the Dutch export of opium from Bengal to the East Indies is going to become a major source of revenue by the late 17th century. Much of the trade in opium will be to Batavia and also to Formosa, from there it is shipped to Fukien (Fujian) in China. Also, the Dutch still are able to maintain the slave trade out of the Gold Coast and their Caribbean islands, from where they can smuggle cacao from the Spanish colonies to Europe. Also with their factory at Golconda they can obtain diamonds to be cut in Amsterdam and reexported to the rest of Europe.

In Europe, the Dutch are still going to control much of the Baltic Trade in timber, metals and naval stores along with the export of rough linen from Westphalia that is used to cloth slaves in the West Indies. After the peace with the Portuguese, their major worries are going to come with wars with England and later France.
 
It's going to be interesting to see how Portugal and its Empire change over the next century or two - very nearly in OTL we almost saw it transform into a federation, here we could see that still happen, maybe centuries ahead of time.
 
Map of the World 1700

1700_CE_world_map.png

A map I found online and modified a bit, so thanks to whoever created it originally, since I don't have much patience for creating maps.

1700_CE_world_map.png
 

abc123

Banned
View attachment 241083

A map I found online and modified a bit, so thanks to whoever created it originally, since I don't have much patience for creating maps.


Hmm, the area of Nova Lusitania seems bit too large to me for year 1700, especially areas north and east of Planalto del Norte, where living conditions are bad for Europeans... And in hinterland of Mozambique and Angola too...
 
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