pipisme
Still catching up on TLs. A fair bit happened here.
I take it that by recognition of Goring's government you mean Mussolini recognises it as a claimant to rule Germany rather than as the legitimate government. Since in later posts you have him send a charge d'affaires to both and withdraws the ambassador from Berlin.
With the plebiscites is such a short period, about 6 weeks, long enough to get agreement on LoN forces and get them in place? Also I presume for the German elections this will be for the areas that the government controls? Since I suspect that some areas will still be under Nazi control or bitterly contested.
I would presume that the fascist forces in Spain realise they are on borrowed time. The Germans will be getting no support from home and only last as long as their supplies as effective forces. Also the longer foreign forces continue to support Franco's coup bid the more likely it is that democratic forces will be likely to counter them, if only with volunteers and equipment. I suspect that Mussolini will have to think over his own continued involvement here.
I presume that there might also be a moderate in the huge military build up that was occurring in Britain and France at this time. Not stopped totally as there is still the need to replace old equipment, especially in the RN, and concerns about Italy and Japan.
Steve
Yes that is what I mean by Mussolini's recognition of Goering's government. In effect he gave recognition to both German governments as having de facto authority in the areas of Germany they control.
As regards the plebiscites in Austria and the Sudentenland here is an article published in The American Political Science Review on the Saar Plebiscite in January 1935: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1947508. In the second paragraph on page 276 it states that "In a resolution passed on June 4, 1934, the Council [of the League of Nations]... fixed Sunday, January 13, 1935, as the date of the plebiscite". So that was over seven months from the fixing of the date to the actual plebiscite. The same time-scale in this TL means that the plebiscites would be on Sunday 22 October 1939, or the following Sunday. But I don't know if the Western democracies would be happy that the people of Austria and the Sudentenland would have to wait more than seven months to vote on their future.
The elections in Germany will be in the areas that the democratic government controls.
The attitude of the nationalists in Spain [not all of whom are fascists] ranges from unrealistic optimism to a realisation that their cause is close to being lost. Mussolini will want to wthdraw Italian forces from Spain after he can claim some sort of victory for them, and/or if it is the national interest of Italy.
Yes there will be a moderation in the huge military build-up in Britain and France.