Names for Mosul: Thanks for all the suggestions. I didn’t realize that ‘Nineveh’ was a viable option but I like it. It has that antiquarian flair that is very OTL Byzantine. On the other hand, the name is tied in with the battle against Iskandar. And, more significantly, Nineveh would give the city too much association with the Assyrian Christians. Now there are Assyrians in communion with the Orthodox Church, but the Orthodox are skeptical of the genuineness of their Orthodoxy, and there are many Assyrian Christians still not in communion. Mosul, because of its strategic significance, is a place the Romans would very much emphasize as one that is theirs and nobody else’s, and to secure that city it would be the center of colonization-resettlement efforts. Considering all that, Mepsila is the best fit.
Some of the other names might be used for surrounding towns or cities. Because of its strategic importance, the White Palace will want it populated with a lot of people it can trust absolutely.
I may be too much into the tea-leaf reading here but little hints here and there, but they point to great evils from the west and I'm thinking to what the future has in store for the Triunes' North American colonies...
I have ideas for them, although at this point those ideas are still well down the road since they’re still pretty small. But that the first in-depth look introduced TTL Puritans was deliberate.
And I understand your comment about the Armenians. Heretics are heretics even if they’re relatively loyal heretics. Aren’t the Syriac Christians in communion with the patriarch at this point? Does that make then a Noble heresy or something more acceptable? That kinda is the deciding factor in my suggestion to make Tikrit as the southern border to make them happy
Had to go back and check. The Assyrian Church recently entered communion with the Orthodox Church, so those Assyrians who follow that new lead are no longer considered heretics, although the Romans are skeptical of their orthodoxy. There are Assyrian Christians that aren’t following the new line, so still viewed as heretics and definitely not in a protected category.
There is no mention of the Syriac Christians entering communion though, so they’re still considered heretics, but they are a ‘noble heretic’ protected category.
What about Ithaca-of-the-East? Homage to the original Odysseus as the current Odysseus will be the one conquering it after all.
That’s a good name, but definitely belongs out east. Naming a city that is hundreds of miles inland after an island just feels wrong.
Wait, so who did Demetrios execute?
It’ll be really obvious when it happens. This was setting up the mental landscape, the ‘background noise’, that going to be running throughout the events in the upcoming updates.
IIRC in some earlier post there were Three Big financial scandals at the end of the 1630s, and we still don't know exactly what those are. I figure one may be related to the fighting in Island Asia resulting in temporary plummeting of revenue, but still not sure what the others are
Those are all coming up very shortly. But I wanted to establish Demetrios’ mental state before describing them, since it informs his reactions to them.
@Basileus444: Hey, your newest patron here. I am an IRL scientist (molecular biology/biochemistry) with an interest in the history of science and medicine. Just FYI, the main reaction used historically and in the present for producing NaClO is
Cl2 (g) + 2 NaOH (aq) → NaCl (aq) + NaClO (aq) + H2O (aq)
The bold part is important, you need chlorine gas to produce bleach. The main methods for industrial scale production of chlorine use electrolysis, which as the name implies requires electricity, which I assume is several hundred years off. There is a pre-industrial method for producing chlorine, which is how OTL chemists were able to make chlorine bleaches before electricity, the one I understand to have been used historically was
2 NaCl + 2H2SO4 + MnO2 → Na2SO4 + MnSO4 + 2 H2O + Cl2
That's sodium chloride (table salt), sulfuric acid, and manganese dioxide, all of which would be accessible to a pre-industrial society.
However as far as using bleach derived chlorine as a chemical weapon in pre-industrial times there's two issue beyond delivery systems, firstly that bleach is quite unstable at temperature above 21 C and ideally should be kept below 15 C, that's 70 F and 60 F in imperial units btw, without refrigeration this would be extremely impractical for most of the year in the parts of the world this guy was suggesting to use it in (the middle east), as you'd need to be making it (and the chlorine) in situ. A way around that would be to use calcium hypochlorite instead of sodium, that's relatively stable as a powder (it still doesn't keep that well at elevated temperatures though), has more available chlorine (it's formula is Ca(ClO)2, so there's twice as much chlorine per molar unit), and is no less feasible for pre-modern chemists. The second issue however is much harder to work around in pre-industrial times: as I just mentioned, you are making chlorine to make bleach to make chlorine. There are going to be serious inefficiencies in that process without a more modern understanding of chemistry, and the quantity of chlorine you would need for an application in warfare or genocide wouldn't be feasible to produce without electroytic methods, and at that point you might as well just store the chlorine as a pressurized liquid and use it directly instead of bothering with a bleach intermediate . So Demeterios didn't really have anything to worry about in regards to someone using this for genocide or chemical warfare for a LOOONG time.
By the way, chlorine bleach is showing up 150 years ahead of OTL, which implies that TTL chemistry is aproaching the level of the early industrial revolution innovations that lead to in the invention of artificial fertilizers, antiseptics + anaesthetics (together those make surgery dramatically safer), and high explosives. Should we be expecting those in the early 1700s TTL, and will they be acompanied by the other technologies of the early industrial revolution? A timeline where certain technologies appear way ahead of when they did IRL is honestly a fascinating idea, but keep in mind that any of those will lead to a population boom even without mechanization when they show up and are implemented; the biggest drivers of the explosion of the human population OTL were the sanitation movement and its offshoots, the massive increases in agricultural output enabled by improvements to agriculture such as artificial fertilizers, and vaccines, none of which strictly require industrialization, though there are limits to how much fertilizer you can produce with methods that would be feasible without industrialization, and if those later improvements fail to show up in time it could lead to mass famines. Staggering the innovations that lead to civilization breaking out of the Malthusian trap and never looking back OTL is honestly the best way I can see to achieve your stated goal of a less populated Earth than OTL other than a more overt global mass casualty event like a nuclear war.
Hello! Thank you very much for your support and this very informative post. You definitely know much more about this field than I (got an A+ in high school chemistry but nothing beyond that).
I was wondering how effective and practical a 17th century gas chamber would be compared to a 20th century one, and was suspecting it wouldn’t be nearly as “good” (from a purely technical point of view). I figured there’d be technical issues but didn’t know what those technical issues would be.
In light of this information, the way I see it is the discoverer got overly excited about using his new invention for killing people and rushed off a proposal to the Emperor without thinking through most of the details, at which point Demetrios III killed the project. He’d be very happy to hear it wasn’t practical though.
I am interested in staggering out inventions, although there’s the issue that innovations in X tend to spur innovations in closely related field Y. I’m thinking antiseptics and anesthetics might come earlier than fertilizers or high explosives (those seem too closely linked for it to be feasibly to stagger them too much).
The reason that I say that is your comment about staggering inventions to break out of the Malthusian Trap got me thinking. I want a lower global population but without a dystopia, which a nuclear war would be, especially since I don’t want to ruin technological progress.
The thought I had: If sanitation and medicine improved so that people lived longer, less people got sick and died, and many more children survived infancy and childhood, but food production didn’t go up drastically from lack of fertilizers, populations would grow some but soon hit a cap. People having 6 kids would suddenly have all 6 not get fatally sick, but then 3 starve for lack of food. So people would start having less kids because they don’t need to have a ton to ensure at least some make it, but the initial boom is a small one. Then, when people are in the habit of having smaller families, fertilizers are introduced and food production kicks up, but there isn’t a huge surge because families aren’t having tons of children that are now suddenly mostly all making it through the deadly first 5-10 years.
To get this, sanitation is an engineering issue and doesn’t require industrial technology. Smallpox variolation is going to get going sooner than OTL, because it was practiced in the Ottoman Empire well before western Europeans started doing it. That could lead to vaccinations appearing on the horizon before the Agricultural Revolution starts to kick off.
One final thing: I recall way back in the early timeline that Roman scholars correctly identified rats as spreading the bubonic plague*, and began investing in sanitation measures and pest control, leading to a comeback of bathhouses and bathing culture in the Empire. That should ALSO have had a positive impact on population growth, especially if it spread to western Europe during Andread period when the Romans were at the height of their medieval/early modern prestige and every country in Europe was implementing their own version of the tagmatic-theme system.
* While incorrectly identifying the actual cause of the plague as the bad odors of the rats, it's really interesting how pre-modern physicians could simultaneously be very clever and hilariously wrong.
I remember that from the olden days. That part I’m seriously considering cutting from the new version in
Not the End. I feel that I didn’t properly follow through the implications because, as you pointed out, it should’ve led to population growth. Meanwhile I’m 95% sure I’ve been under-stating TTL Europe’s population compared to OTL. London, Paris, and Constantinople are all somewhere around half their OTL size at this point in history. Something is off here, and it’s entirely because I didn’t plan this area out properly. So it seems easier to just cut it.
Pre-modern medicine is interesting. We tend to make fun of them, but they weren’t stupid. They were ignorant of a lot of things, but that’s different than being dumb. How would you explain germ theory to someone who lived 3 centuries before the microscope was invented? The ‘bad air’ idea is pretty good for someone who has no clue germs existed; the medieval issue is that they often tried to counteract the bad air by producing other smells. Hence you have medieval Europeans trying to protect themselves from the plague with really pungent perfumes.
Demetrios III’s reaction: There is hypocrisy in Demetrios’ reaction at the evil. He, after all, orchestrated mass atrocities against Syrian Muslims already, and killing someone with a bullet or sword as opposed to poison gas doesn’t mean the victim is less dead. His horror comes from three places.
Firstly, the novelty of the means of killing. Killing lots of people with steel and lead is normal in this time period, so more of that is just ‘that’s how the world is’. Evil can be banal after all. Killing with gas is something completely outside of what Demetrios considers normal, hence his strong reaction. We do this all the time. For one example, note how the nuclear bombing of Hiroshima is brought up far more often than the conventional firebombing of Tokyo, even though the dead of both were equally dead. But conventional bombing was normal for the time and still regularly used if not on the same scale, while the use of atomic weaponry is very much abnormal (thankfully).
Secondly, the Roman goal isn't genocide for the sake of genocide, but getting rid of the Syrian Muslims and absolutely not caring about being kind about it. The Great Crime will look more like the Spanish expulsion of the Jews and Muslims or the Trail of Tears than twentieth century genocides. There will certainly be elements of that: "this village is being difficult-just kill them all then, we don't have time for this" or "they've fallen behind the refugee column-kill them as an example to any other stragglers". It is a monstrous atrocity, but "wipe them out, all of them" isn't the goal.
Third, the harvesting of the bodies aspect. Mass murder may be ‘normal’, but that aspect ups the sadistic creep factor by at least an order of magnitude.
Poison gas chambers: Because it’s been a big topic of discussion (not surprising) I thought I would explain where the idea originated. Quite a while back I was reading Peter Wilson’s book on the Thirty Years War and near the beginning he was talking about the development of gunpowder weaponry. He was describing the various types appearing and in the list he mentioned poison gas weaponry. Annoyingly, he didn’t go into more detail or provide a reference for that bit.
However it got me thinking and wondering if it was feasible ITTL at this point. Research led me to the chlorine gas method in the update. Originally I was planning for it to be a weapon that the Romans develop to counter Vauban’s siege train. Using it from fortresses would be much easier than as a field weapon. But I held back because (1) delivery method just wasn’t working and (2) on second thought I was debating whether I wanted to open this can of worms.
Obviously I didn’t use it then, but I kept it in reserve, perhaps as something developed by the Lotharingians to use on the Triunes or for the Ottomans to use on the Romans. It wouldn’t have turned the tide in either case, but I’d already sunk the time into figuring out this much and didn’t want it all to be of waste. But I still held back because of those 2 issues.
Now come up to not that long ago. The idea of the Great Crime is well in the works. I look back on the gas and wonder how the people would know it works to go to the effort of developing it as a weapon. Obviously it would have to kill people and they would need to test it to see that it does. Otherwise just load the cannons with the usual gunpowder and metal. The best way to do that would be to herd people into a room and expose them. I realized that I’d created a 17th century version of Auschwitz.
That had not been the plan; it was originally supposed to be a way for the Romans to kill well-entrenched Triune artillerymen (and to jab at the conceit that modernity is, in all ways, an improvement on earlier times; note how ‘medieval’ is an insult). I did not want this, especially since this was originally supposed to be a Roman invention and particularly in the context of the Great Crime.
But I’d created a monster. It was in private, but I wanted to take it out and kill it publicly. Firstly to make me feel better but also, to be honest, I still didn’t want that initial time investment to go to waste.
Poison gas chambers won’t be appearing for at least a couple of centuries, only once we’re well into the industrial age. But I wanted to take this precocious pre-industrial jab at an industrial horror and smash it to bits first.