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  1. Would Asia/the world of the twentieth century have been better off if Japan lost the Russo-Japan War, was stalemated, or deterred from attacking?

    It took 3 revolutions to get the most extreme sect of the radical extreme into power. Even if you apply a tight butterfly net to Europe if Russia can make it to 1914, or any other alt Great War without a Revolution the likely result is an agrarian socialist government led by the SR's if the...
  2. Would Asia/the world of the twentieth century have been better off if Japan lost the Russo-Japan War, was stalemated, or deterred from attacking?

    The big butterfly isn't Japan it's Russia. No defeat means no 1905 Revolution and almost certainly no 1917 Revolution. The October Revolution and the creation of the Soviet Union was the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century. No Soviet Union not only saves tens of millions of Russians it also...
  3. Edifice: A History of the National Redoubt

    Putting a 10 year old plane back in production is also fairly unlikely but I can certainly see this world pushing more resources into short take off planes of all types including transport planes. For example here the USAF's Advanced Medium STOL Transport will almost certainly be carried through...
  4. Edifice: A History of the National Redoubt

    The Do-31 would need a lot more development before it would enter service, as it was at the time of cancellation it was a transport plane that couldn't carry a payload.
  5. Wir sind des Paulus schwarzer Haufen, or what if Friedrich Paulus overthrew the SED regime during the East German uprising of 1953?

    There is no scenario where this ends with an independent East Germany or anything other than the reimposition of a Soviet approved government. First of all the balance of military force is overwhelmingly on the Soviet side with about 600,000 troops in the occupation army (it didn't become the...
  6. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    A United Netherlands would be a very, very good candidate to beat England to the punch.
  7. Kaiserreich: Legacy of the Weltkrieg

    So was the OTL German M35 feldbluse It's the M40 that is Feldgrau
  8. Kaiserreich: Legacy of the Weltkrieg

    The M35 Stahlhelm and M36 Field uniforms were both the product of Weimar era programs and bar some minor details e.g. the Doppellitze (embroidered white parallel lines on the collar) will remain exclusive to the Prussian Guards are plausible developments of pre-PoD German military "fashion"...
  9. Bicentennial Man: Ford '76 and Beyond

    Once again I think this is a somewhat implausibly successful result for the Iraqi's. The Iraqi's do have Frog-7 SRBM's which will get through but they are very inaccurate and while the Iraqi Air Force was better than the Syrians they did not perform very well in OTL against Iran considering the...
  10. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    I think you are confusing two separate questions which have very distinct answers; Q1.) Which regions have the geographical features (coal, iron ore, fertile agricultural land, usable rivers, convenient sea ports) that under the right circumstances they could have supported an industrial...
  11. AHC: Make Russian an accepted part of the west.

    It's like Brits calling American Southerners Yankees. To Europeans Russia has never been part of the West, but to non-Europeans as a Christian country that was part of the European state system since the 17th century it is.
  12. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    Hellenistic era Greece was a long, long way technologically from an Industrial revolution, moveable type printing is an absolute prerequisite for one thing. You've got the cart before the horse, Britain looted Bengal dry because that is what conquerors do. British industrialisation was...
  13. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    It's not just a question of having the idea of steam as a force and having the metallurgy to make a pressure vessel, if that was all that was required dozens of society could have seen an industrial lift off. You require a labour shortage so businessmen who want to expand production are forced...
  14. Would the Thirteen Colonies have unified into a single political entity even if they still remained British?

    If all of North America had stayed British I think you would eventually have seen some larger intercolonial entities created, probably not called Dominions as that name had a bad reputation in New England but it wouldn't map onto either OTL or Turtledoves NAU. It makes far more sense for New...
  15. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    There's a very good reason for that, Arabic is a more difficult language to print using movable type as a cursive language with more characters than the Latin alphabet and Devanagari (Hindi) is harder still. The Latin alphabet is very print friendly.
  16. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    That's not a widely held view among modern economic historians, yes Bengal was very exporting a lot and relatively rich but there doesn't seem to have been a productivity revolution, the textile and shipbuilding industries were extremely large, efficient and profitable but because labour was so...
  17. AHC/What If: End the Atlantic Slave Trade earlier

    Absolutely a world where the slave trade ends in 1700* with sugarbeet undercutting slave grown sugar is going to have many fewer people of African descent in the Americas than OTL. My point was that by that point and taking into account natural population growth there are already enough slaves...
  18. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    It and the Song also have the problem of too strong a government that was too involved in the economy, the British state was unusually laissez faire which was a help when it came to doing something that no one thought was possible.
  19. Best Non-England Location for Industrialization?

    Song China was not on the verge of industrialisation any more than the Romans were, they met some of the prerequisites but labour was too cheap and demand too weak. If not England somewhere in the Rhine watershed is most likely, the Belgian industrial revolution is a bit of a meme but for a...
  20. AHC/What If: End the Atlantic Slave Trade earlier

    You already had Africans being imported for growing tobacco so even without sugar would still see a small scale transatlantic slave trade before cotton takes off and slave grown cotton will always outcompete free labour grown cotton. Slavery may be immoral but there was a reason it was so...
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