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  1. No Ike in 1952

    The election becomes Taft vs. Stevenson-and I think Taft would be favored to win the election. Since Taft is going to die of cancer in his first year as President the end result is President Knowland.
  2. AHC: Make a no-9/11 TL a dystopia

    Despite having an otherwise successful Presidency-the lack of a war on terrorism leads to Bush's narrow defeat in 2004. As a consequence the Republican Party retains control of Congress in 2006-which is a wave election against the Democratic incumbent. Since the policies and behavior patterns...
  3. WI: Bill Clinton vs. George W. Bush 2004

    Clinton is if nothing else brilliant politician who can read the tea leaves as well as anyone else. By the nature of the Democratic base at the time he's going to adopt an adversarial position towards Bush foreign policy-particularly where Iraq is concerned. He'll presumably fall somewhere...
  4. WI: A US without Theodore Roosevelt?

    Conservation Policy might be the most significant difference in a no Roosevelt scenario.
  5. the State of Nevada v. Orlando Anderson

    "How many witnesses do you need to see some shit before you arrest somebody?" Chris Rock. While the murder of rapper Tupac Shakur has remained officially unsolved since 1996 there has always been one primary suspect in the murder. Orlando "Baby Lane" Anderson. The Crip gang member the rapper...
  6. WI: No Pardon

    I have a few questions about Nixon's fate without the pardon. 1. What was the expected timeframe for an indictment? Would Nixon have been indicted at the same time as his coconspirators or would the prosecution have waited to develop a stronger case against Nixon in light of who Nixon was? 2...
  7. WI: Obama doesn't run in 2008

    I was being facetious there. Obviously the circumstances favored the Democrats in 2008 in a way that wasn't true in 2016. I was essentially joking-not making a serious case that McCain would win.
  8. WI: Obama doesn't run in 2008

    Knowing Hillary Clinton and her 2008 staff-we'd somehow wind up with President McCain.
  9. Would Obama still be a rising Democratic star without Iraq?

    No Iraq implies a different set of political circumstances. I can't be certain that the 2004 primaries in Illinois would have turned out given the butterflies involved. Obama might be a rising star in the party due to his background and anti-culture war rhetoric. His convention speech didn't...
  10. An alternate 1968 US presidential race

    Given how much he despised Robert Kennedy might the death of Vice President Humphrey push LBJ to reenter the race at the last possible moment if only to ensure that Kennedy isn't the nominee? I think that LBJ is in the best position to inherit the majority of the Humphrey delegates. Otherwise...
  11. AHC: Democratic House Majority in 2010

    The stimulus couldn't have been larger. The amount was the upper limit that could pass the sixty vote margin. And there were conservative Democrats who were unwilling to go beyond that threshold. I'm not sure this is possibse after 2009 for a few reasons: 1. The economy was terrible and no...
  12. Senator Martha Coakley

    What if Martha Coakley had won the 2010 Massachusetts special election? Admittedly, this is a tall order given the outcome. But perhaps not impossible given that polling showed her ahead until late in the race and the result more or less matched what the polling predicted. The obvious solution...
  13. AHC: High Voter Turnout in the US.

    This is really hard-because you'd need a political cross-party consensus that higher turnout is desireable enough to pursue. It's far from clear that that is the case. For higher turnout you don't necessarily need punative measures-but you may need to make voting easier and more convenient...
  14. WI: Newt Gingrich's Political Career Is Stillborn?

    No Gingrich at all is huge. Gingrich worked tirelessly to turn the Congressional Republican Party into a consistent ideologically Conservative party and to discourage cooperation with the Democratic Majority. The partisan bifurcation of Congress is in some respect his legacy. You could argue...
  15. Grow Old With Me - a TLIAW

    Legally-Yoko wouldn't have been kicked out. She was never the subject of deportation hearings personally and maintained residency in the United States. Her presence with John in Ireland would have been voluntary in a legal sense-there was no case against Yoko that meant she couldn't be given...
  16. Grow Old With Me - a TLIAW

    I too would have expected Yoko to stay. Not for Kyoto's sake. They were long since estranged. John and Yoko's marriage was at a nadir around this time. This is when she left him. I would have expected her to use John's deportation as an excuse to leave him-sending May Pang to head out with...
  17. Grow Old With Me - a TLIAW

    Is this 1972 or 1973?
  18. Kurt Cobain Dies of an Overdose Rather than Committing Suicide

    Quick question for the Nirvava experts here: To my knowledge Cobain's suicide understandably led to a reevaluation of much of what he had written up to that point. His work on In Utero in particular was reinterpreted in light of the fact he had committed suicide. Even "Come as You Are" has a...
  19. AHC: McCarthy or Kennedy in 1968

    This is difficult. I can easily imagine that Kennedy would have come relatively close had he lived. Daley's support was not inevitable-but given Daley's history with Johnson, his lukewarm attitude towards Humphrey, and his relationship with the Kennedy family, I can see Daley throwing his...
  20. What if Brian Jones stayed in the Rolling Stones?

    This is really hard to do. Brian Jones wasn't just fired because he was a problem in the studio. The Rolling Stones could and did compensate for Jones' incapacity there. The breaking point was touring. The Stones were going to tour in North America-and Jones was in no condition to play and...
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