Why is it considered unlikely for Germany to win WW2 in this forum?

But that begs the question: if Germany wasn't being led by an ambitious and expansionist (not to mention racist) group such as the Nazis, why would they start another European war?

Unless they're attempting to restore their pre-1914 borders or Brest-Litovsk, there would be zero reason for them to conduct the war in any way resembling OTL World War 2.

They could go to war after Stalin invades Poland to keep they Russian as far from the German border as possible if not to save the Poles.
if that happened it would be a very different WWII.

One of the other reason that German does not get a lot of scenarios where they is no one in their right mind on this board likes the National Socialists and their genocidal policies.
 
I don't see the Germans winning World War 2 the way they acted is impossible but perhaps if certain things were changed I can see that. Especially if Britain was under different leadership, and if the Germans was wiser about their policies in the East. The Germany in my WW2 timeline has been forced to enact policies it wouldn't have in our timeline due to the changed but eerily similar war.

I don't think the Third Reich could have won but I think it might have been able to stalemate had it not acted so foolishly post 1941.
 
They could go to war after Stalin invades Poland to keep they Russian as far from the German border as possible if not to save the Poles.
if that happened it would be a very different WWII.

One of the other reason that German does not get a lot of scenarios where they is no one in their right mind on this board likes the National Socialists and their genocidal policies.

If this *Germany was trying to present themselves as an anti-communist bulwark, surely they'd try to curry favour with some of the Western Allies on some trumped-up pretext of "national self-determination" for those poor Poles, which, once again, doesn't lead into World War 2 as we know it.

I don't see the Germans winning World War 2 the way they acted is impossible but perhaps if certain things were changed I can see that. Especially if Britain was under different leadership, and if the Germans was wiser about their policies in the East. The Germany in my WW2 timeline has been forced to enact policies it wouldn't have in our timeline due to the changed but eerily similar war.

I don't think the Third Reich could have won but I think it might have been able to stalemate had it not acted so foolishly post 1941.

It seems like a lot of people here generally agree that the Nazi leadership as of 1940 simply weren't the sort of people to quit while they were ahead, and to have them change their minds by 5 December 1941 is simply implausible. You'd have to go further back and make some pretty radical changes to Nazi leadership and policies to do so.

Say, I wonder who's writing a TL on that very subject...:rolleyes:;)
 
If this *Germany was trying to present themselves as an anti-communist bulwark, surely they'd try to curry favour with some of the Western Allies on some trumped-up pretext of "national self-determination" for those poor Poles, which, once again, doesn't lead into World War 2 as we know it.



It seems like a lot of people here generally agree that the Nazi leadership as of 1940 simply weren't the sort of people to quit while they were ahead, and to have them change their minds by 5 December 1941 is simply implausible. You'd have to go further back and make some pretty radical changes to Nazi leadership and policies to do so.

Say, I wonder who's writing a TL on that very subject...:rolleyes:;)


Hmmm, curious indeed lol. Yeah mine stretches things a bit, I've never stated otherwise. Yours on the other hand gives you a wealth of possibilities and directions you could take it. I think yours is the most realistic WW2 timeline out there right now. Mine... well mine is just for interesting thought and entertainment.
 
They could go to war after Stalin invades Poland to keep they Russian as far from the German border as possible if not to save the Poles.

Uh... Stalin isn't going to be invading anyone in Europe* unless the other major European powers are already at each others throats. The man was paranoid of the capitalist world uniting against him to the point that it was part of his justification for not taking any action in the face of German preparations to invade in 1941. No war in Europe means Stalin sticks to the USSR.

This isn't Red Alert, after all.

*He might go after the Japanese after they exhaust themselves in China enough, but that will be about it.


I think yours is the most realistic WW2 timeline out there right now.

Technically, I would say that A Blunted Sickle is the most realistic WW2 TL out and about right now. It just isn't one where the Germans do better...

Quite the opposite really.
 
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If the Germans were "rational" they never would have launched Barbarossa in the first place. Creveld in Supplying War points out that the entire plan required them to ignore reality, waving aside "overcautious" concerns and statistics. A limited, less ambitious plan would be out of the question as it would allow large portions of the Red Army slip away, yield less of a propaganda victory than IOTL, fail to reduce the Soviet Union's strategic depth and capture vital resources, and commit Germany to a war of attrition which in 1941 it simply was not prepared for. A "rational" planner would quickly see that for the invasion to be worth the costs it would require enormous gambles and advise against war.

Operation Barbarossa's absurd objectives mixed perfectly with the Red Army's terrible state and Stalin's refusal to countenance proper preparations to give the Germans an enormous, if temporary, victory. Even after Finland, German overconfidence relied more on racism and irrational planning than solid evidence. So remove Hitler and his ilk from power and add in a "rational" regime and Barbarossa simply won't happen.
 
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Uh... Stalin isn't going to be invading anyone in Europe* unless the other major European powers are already at each others throats. The man was paranoid of the capitalist world uniting against him to the point that it was part of his justification for not taking any action in the face of German preparations to invade in 1941. No war in Europe means Stalin sticks to the USSR.

This isn't Red Alert, after all.

*He might go after the Japanese after they exhaust themselves in China enough, but that will be about it.




Technically, I would say that A Blunted Sickle is the most realistic WW2 TL out and about right now. It just isn't one where the Germans do better...

Quite the opposite really.

What I meant was the one currently being produced etc. I've never read the Blunted Sickle
 
But the USA could, without a second thought!

Well, that depends. In the situation exemplified by the photo, sure. Yet by late summer 1944, the USA were struggling to deliver - as opposed to producing and having - the fuel to frontline units.

That goes to show that logistical limitations still exist even for the wealthiest WWII combatant. Which only goes to reinforce the madness of trying to make long-lasting campaigns on a shoestring against most of the industrialized world. Of course.
 
My point was with better economics Germans resources would be greater and there would have been less wasteful spending on massive civil engineer projects.

Well, those massive projects served a crucial purpose in shoring up the German public opinion's consensus for the regime: they reduced unemployment.
Take them away and the German public is much more disgruntled come 1937, and things aren't going to improve.

Also a Germany fighting Russia without the brutality of the SS would have stood a better chance.

Unlikely. This usually goes on to propose that the Germans treat the Soviet civilian population better. That is impossible if the German army is to be fed as it historically was, living off the land - and thus starving the civilian population in the occupied territories.
If the Germans avoid that, they have to do what a civilized army would do, provide food from national stockpiles. That means a) an even worse logistical mess than the one the Germans were in by mid summer 1941 and b) yes, you guessed, again that - angry German civilians back home, the guys who might well start listening to enemy propaganda and finally decide to sabotage the ammo they are producing.
 
It occurs to me that much of the back and forth in this thread implicitly goes back to the theory of history one subscribes to.
The believers in the "great man" theory think that it's the great men who make history. As a consequence, an apparently minor change in the events - if it affects, directly or indirectly, the great man - will radically alter all of history.
Whence the endless line of proposals like "Hitler chokes on a cabbage", "Hitler is killed by a mountain goat" (no, I'm not joking, look this up), "Churchill dies under a bus", "Stalin has a stroke", etc.

But of course there is another theory according to which it is history - the chain of events, economic factors, political ideas, people, climate, geography and whatnot - that actually makes the great men, and not the other way around. If that theory is true, then getting rid of a great man only gives rise to another one who will implement those historical forces.
In other words, did Britain not come to terms with Nazi Germany because Churchill was the PM, or was Churchill the right man to be the PM because Britain would not come to terms with Nazi Germany?

Naturally, even if the second theory is the right one, there is some leeway for change and therefore for our hobby, alternate history. Because, even if Churchill was in command because that is what the British people, and other historical factors involved, wanted, then again if he has to be replaced, it's unavoidable that his replacement, while still not wanting peace with the Nazis, will be a different man. Maybe he won't insist on sending troops to Greece. Maybe he'll be a non-smoker and will encourage the British to stop smoking as part of the war effort. Etc.
But - will the changes made by such a... "replacement great man" be enough to change the outcome of the war?

...I really doubt it. Even with poorer leaders than Churchill, Stalin and Roosevelt, the fact remains that the Allies had manpower, industry, resources, territory, and time on their side. They count more than the "great" men.
 
Some thoughts..

I think that there are at least five main points that would have altered the outcome of the war in more German favor (ok the outcome was really really bad for the germany, at least initially, that any other outcome sans OP Vegetable or nuking of germany would have basically been better).

1. Molotov-Ribbentrop contract and clauses altered; No winter war in vs. Finland by Soviet Union. This war really showed the soviets what was the biggest problems they had. After winter war they started to really quickly change their gear and to adjust tactics and to refine them. Think about Stalingrad without soviet PPSH-41 or Kursk without T-34. It was winter war that did show the soviets the problems in their command, but also in their current equipment.

2. Germany invasion of Egypt and North Africa straight after France surrenders. If the Germans would have immidiately sent the Afrika Corps equivalent to North Africa after the France falls, they could have, together with the Italians, be able to capture Egypt and force the closure of Suez canal and monitor the western (Gibraltar) aprroch to Mediterranean. This would also then made the capture of Greece easier and quicker (not delayed Barbarossa) and capture of Malta to be possible. This would then have released a lot of troops from the axis (and airpower, because this effectively would also cancel the Battle of Britain) to be used against Soviet Union on the upcoming operation Barbarossa. As an example, think about all the troops in Italy + the 300 000 german soldiers that were lost in North Africa at the same time that Stalingrad surrendered. -> 1 front strategy against Soviet Union.

3. The infamous halt order canceled during German invasion of France, when Dunkirk was for the taking and BEF could have been captured. This would cripple the British troops and leads to easier North African campaign -> see point 2. Also Battle of Britain cancelled -> no British victories in 1940/41 and another major area lost and more airpower to support Operation Barbarossa.

4. War footing in industry and production of tanks and planes in 1940 ->. In OTL Germany almost halted the production of tanks and planes and trucks after the battle of France and this period continued even during Barbarossa. This led to the problem that in many cases they simply did not have enough materiel available to strengthen the attack or to make an effective counter attack. The German intelligence estimated the Russian tank strength to be something along 4000 tanks, Guderian estimated it to be 10 000 tanks and in reality it was something like 20 000 + tanks (even Hitler said that he would have never attacked Soviet Union if he would have believed the 10 000 tanks number stated by Guderian in his book before war). Same thing applies to Soviet manpower reserves, will to fight and to the amount of divisions that Soviets could muster.

German industry was producing more steel, coal and other industrial goods than the Soviet industry before war, so actually Germans could have maintained the qualitative edge and also maintain the quantity vs. Soviets, IF they would have simply streamlined the production and put the industry on war footing, before Stalingrad and North African disasters (preferably at 1940).

5. Give the generals space to manuever vs. try to hold the line. Also treat the western-slavic (Ukrainian, Byelorussian etc.) population fairly (not murder), but collect taxes for the war effort, food etc. against protection from Soviet Partisans and "Communist oppression". Create russian volunteer army to protect the rear and to take even front responsibilites in some places at the front that are mainly static (at the beginning) and later let them fight the Red Army. This would basically be used to counter the Great Patriotic War for Rodina - propaganda used by the Sovier leadership.

The whole point in things written above is that Germans could have won in the east and not did not lose the war when they invaded Soviet Union. The lost the war after US joined the war, but lost in the east after Stalingrad and failed Caucasus operation.
 

Saphroneth

Banned
1) wouldn't necessarily work - the Soviets wouldn't agree to any treaty, they considered strategic interests on the Soviet border really important. (Witness Bessarabia and the Baltic States). Requires a Stalin who sacrifices his own national interests for German ones.
2) Damned unlikely. It'd require a different Mussolini, a different German attitude, for Italy to recognize their own military failings and to still declare war, and for the British to be morons who would not fall back to El Alamein when things got tricky. Requires Britderp.
3) The halt order was required by generals because the Panzer divisions were already exhausted. They didn't know how many men they'd trapped, and resistance on the perimeter was very stiff. Case of trusting German generals' memoirs.
4) Read Wages of Destruction. Germany was severely resource limited, not time limited, and had been on a war footing as much as they were capable since about '36. There wasn't much more to give, and more time in factories doesn't make more raw materials come from nowhere. Case of believing Speer.
5) Without the Hunger Plan, the spearheads advance much more slowly for want of food. With less resources captured in 1941, more time for the USSR to move their factories, and less of a resource squeeze for the USSR, the Germans are in a worse position in 1942.
 
1) wouldn't necessarily work - the Soviets wouldn't agree to any treaty, they considered strategic interests on the Soviet border really important. (Witness Bessarabia and the Baltic States). Requires a Stalin who sacrifices his own national interests for German ones.
2) Damned unlikely. It'd require a different Mussolini, a different German attitude, for Italy to recognize their own military failings and to still declare war, and for the British to be morons who would not fall back to El Alamein when things got tricky. Requires Britderp.
3) The halt order was required by generals because the Panzer divisions were already exhausted. They didn't know how many men they'd trapped, and resistance on the perimeter was very stiff. Case of trusting German generals' memoirs.
4) Read Wages of Destruction. Germany was severely resource limited, not time limited, and had been on a war footing as much as they were capable since about '36. There wasn't much more to give, and more time in factories doesn't make more raw materials come from nowhere. Case of believing Speer.
5) Without the Hunger Plan, the spearheads advance much more slowly for want of food. With less resources captured in 1941, more time for the USSR to move their factories, and less of a resource squeeze for the USSR, the Germans are in a worse position in 1942.

1) The soviets did know that they would be at war at against germans in some time on the future. They wanted to have the Molotov-Ribbentrop plan. Securing Leningrad from Finnish aggression (and possible use of Finnish land by Germans) is a strategic defence requirement, but itself would not make the M-R Pact unsignable imo. The point is still that they did receive a lot of land to use as buffer zones on the other places eg. Poland and Baltic states.

2) How would falling back to El Alamein change the outcome of the British defence in 1940? Surely the African units that the british had were much weaker than the ones that Montgomery used in OTL Battle of El Alamein. Italy entered the war already before the France signed the armistice and thus were at war against the british before the armistice was signed with Vichy France.

3) The point that they did not even really try to break the defences outside of Dunkirk tells that it really was Hitler and his anlgophilia that saved the BEF and the French troops in Dunkirk. This really was a great mistake by him, to think that the british would agree to peace if their men were to be let to return to England. The panzer divisions were not that exhausted either, the losses were pretty light and the men were in really high morale after they knew that the france had it's fate sealed thru the earlier operation.

4) The germans received more materials from Soviet Union (with the M-R Pact) before the Barbarossa, that they actually captured from them during the war. This was more like a political thing, Hitler did not want the German people to notice too much disturbance in their daily lives because of the war and thus did not want to put forward the war footing. The germans had a lot of prisoners of war from polish and french campaigns to use as labour for factories and also the could have utilised the female germans a lot more in factories (ok, this is maybe going little too far with the Nazi focus on females only as reproduction units :) ). Swedes did deliver the iron ore. Also the advanced weapon research were put to halt at this stage, only to be reactivated again in 1942-43.

5) The point of operation Barbarossa was not to capture areas of industrial and food production but to destroy the Sovier army in Western Russia. The Hitler's appetite for Ukraine and Caucasus came after they realised that this foe was not France that would capitulate after the field army was destroyed (july- august 1941 approx.) but to subjugate strategically by destroying the means for maintaining armies. The Germans did destroy nearly 200 divisions at 1941 but the Russians kept raising more. This was a shock to German leadership (alas the 4000 tank vs. 10 000 tank vs. 20 000 tank point earlier).

I think that the Eastern Front would have been winnable by Germans, but would require a lot of things to change. Strategically the entire war was really hard to win, but to achieve some kind of a peace was maybe possible vs. unconditional surrender.
 
1) wouldn't necessarily work - the Soviets wouldn't agree to any treaty, they considered strategic interests on the Soviet border really important. (Witness Bessarabia and the Baltic States). Requires a Stalin who sacrifices his own national interests for German ones.
2) Damned unlikely. It'd require a different Mussolini, a different German attitude, for Italy to recognize their own military failings and to still declare war, and for the British to be morons who would not fall back to El Alamein when things got tricky. Requires Britderp.
3) The halt order was required by generals because the Panzer divisions were already exhausted. They didn't know how many men they'd trapped, and resistance on the perimeter was very stiff. Case of trusting German generals' memoirs.
4) Read Wages of Destruction. Germany was severely resource limited, not time limited, and had been on a war footing as much as they were capable since about '36. There wasn't much more to give, and more time in factories doesn't make more raw materials come from nowhere. Case of believing Speer.
5) Without the Hunger Plan, the spearheads advance much more slowly for want of food. With less resources captured in 1941, more time for the USSR to move their factories, and less of a resource squeeze for the USSR, the Germans are in a worse position in 1942.

You are right, in general. I especially agree as to 2, 3, 4 and 5.
 

Saphroneth

Banned
You are right, in general. I especially agree as to 2, 3, 4 and 5.

1 is the one which I'm most unsure about, I'll admit. It is indeed entirely plausible that Stalin doesn't press things in Finland.
But then again, the USSR's army got a beating sufficient to destroy any three lesser national armies in Barbarossa - it's hard to see to what extent the Winter War taught lessons that couldn't be learned in 1941.
 
At least with horses they could fuel them and if they ran out of food they could eat them.

Not in winter could horses be so easily fed. Horses get broken legs, and panic under shellfire and air attack.

The US in WW2, for all the faults that the board does go over, was pretty much the nation's finest hour. (Well, finest years.)
Arguably, the driving factor for much of the postwar US politics and foreign policy has been to find an enemy as clear-cut as the Nazis...

And while we quibble over whether the world really needed saving, I don't think there's any question that the world certainly benefited hugely from the efforts of the United States. We definitely wanted saving ;)
Now, if the country could stop being quite so smug about it (while at the same time properly appreciating exactly why and how the US saved the world), that'd be lovely.

The UK saved the world by SURVIVING, and thereby providing the means to allow the USA to come to grips with the Axis, both in Europe and the Pacific (only the Central Pacific Drive was an All-American affair). That, and providing a level of war mobilization that by the last six months of the war was probably much more than the UK should have been asked of or provided.

The USSR saved the world, at incredible cost, by destroying the army that was the only real threat to the whole world.

They might do better if Italy stayed neutral. (1)
The odds are still against them even if they can avoid going to war on America. (2)

1) Yes, but Hitler couldn't control Mussolini, and I don't think even Adolph realized just how weak the Italian Army was.

2) Hitler couldn't control the Japanese either. Post-Pearl Harbor he was left with the image of a USA allied with the British Empire and Free Dutch in the Pacific, and as a de facto Associate Power in Europe, leaving them a free pass to send all the Lend Lease they wanted to the UK, who would be free to slap "Made In Britain":rolleyes: labels on said aid and ship whatever they wished to to the USSR. Thereby nullifying the Atlantic War. And with Raeder and Doenitz screaming in his ear that the Bolshevik Jew President Rosenvelt:rolleyes: was making a fool of him...its WAR!!

Attempting to restore borders is still kind of a sucky reason for a war.

Now, imagine if an alt-revanchist regime had gone for the Sudetenland but not Czechoslovakia. Their economy would be weaker, but they'd appear to be a nation of their word. And then they start pressing for plebiscites on the Danzig question - what happens then?
Whatever it is, it sure ain't WW2 - if only because of the Czechs sitting on most of the southern German border. Taking on the Poles and the Czechs at once, without the assistance of the Skoda works' production for the last several months, might actually be too much for Germany...

The Nazis screaming about the poor Sudetenland Germans was complete and total bullshit. Hitler wanted the Sudetenland because it contained the Bohemian Mountain Frontier Fortress Line. The Czechs' only natural defense. Take that, and Czechoslovakia is an open door.

I don't see the Germans winning World War 2 the way they acted is impossible but perhaps if certain things were changed I can see that. Especially if Britain was under different leadership, and if the Germans was wiser about their policies in the East. The Germany in my WW2 timeline has been forced to enact policies it wouldn't have in our timeline due to the changed but eerily similar war.

I don't think the Third Reich could have won but I think it might have been able to stalemate had it not acted so foolishly post 1941.

Britain HAD no leaders left but Winston Churchill. Everyone else of any standing whatsoever had been stained by appeasement, or were already Winston's devoted followers. Indeed, Stanley Baldwin confided to his closest allies that he didn't want Churchill in any role in his government (in the 30s), but rather he wanted him "fresh, if need be, to be our wartime prime minister". Because Baldwin correctly calculated that in case of war, every major figure in British politics would be ruined.

It occurs to me that much of the back and forth in this thread implicitly goes back to the theory of history one subscribes to.
The believers in the "great man" theory think that it's the great men who make history. As a consequence, an apparently minor change in the events - if it affects, directly or indirectly, the great man - will radically alter all of history.
Whence the endless line of proposals like "Hitler chokes on a cabbage", "Hitler is killed by a mountain goat" (no, I'm not joking, look this up), "Churchill dies under a bus", "Stalin has a stroke", etc.

But of course there is another theory according to which it is history - the chain of events, economic factors, political ideas, people, climate, geography and whatnot - that actually makes the great men, and not the other way around. If that theory is true, then getting rid of a great man only gives rise to another one who will implement those historical forces.
In other words, did Britain not come to terms with Nazi Germany because Churchill was the PM, or was Churchill the right man to be the PM because Britain would not come to terms with Nazi Germany?

Naturally, even if the second theory is the right one, there is some leeway for change and therefore for our hobby, alternate history. Because, even if Churchill was in command because that is what the British people, and other historical factors involved, wanted, then again if he has to be replaced, it's unavoidable that his replacement, while still not wanting peace with the Nazis, will be a different man. Maybe he won't insist on sending troops to Greece. Maybe he'll be a non-smoker and will encourage the British to stop smoking as part of the war effort. Etc.
But - will the changes made by such a... "replacement great man" be enough to change the outcome of the war?

...I really doubt it. Even with poorer leaders than Churchill, Stalin and Roosevelt, the fact remains that the Allies had manpower, industry, resources, territory, and time on their side. They count more than the "great" men.

As a Tolstoyan, I really have to be saying this:eek:, as I agree with you that environmental forces WILL rule the day eventually. But the history of WWII has shown that not so much Great Men as Competent Men (or the lack thereof) DO make a difference.

ALL of the Axis rulers and Stalin had various degrees of incompetence. Japan in fact didn't really have a central ruler at all, just a series of factional warlords. Benny the Moose was a complete fool. Hitler was an Anti-Christ and had an artistic temperament (as one poster said) and a corresponding illsuitedness to rule. Stalin was a compulsively rational super-paranoid mass murderer.

So yes, I'd say that Japan, Italy, Germany, and the USSR were ALL crippled by their leadership. In the case of the USA and UK, their Great Men made their greatness known by letting the generals do their job (often grudgingly by Churchill, tho:()

2) How would falling back to El Alamein change the outcome of the British defence in 1940? Surely the African units that the british had were much weaker than the ones that Montgomery used in OTL Battle of El Alamein. Italy entered the war already before the France signed the armistice and thus were at war against the british before the armistice was signed with Vichy France.

Italy utterly lacked the supply network to support an invasion of Egypt. Even reaching El Alamein would have been impossible. Having the Afrika Corps there would only have shattered a badly over-stretched logistical train. Remember, the closest functioning major port was all the way back in Tripoli, as Benghazi was only a minor port (they can't try to use Tobruk without the Royal Navy giving them a world class hosing), and the tiny amount of rails were not capable of supporting modern warfare. And with hundred of thousands of Italian troops still needing to be fed (they haven't been captured, after all), just who is going to feed the Germans?

Oh, and El Alamein is a very narrow front with the Med to the north and the totally impassable Qattara Depression to the south. And regarding that desert swamp that is the Qattara Depression, when I say impassable, I mean impassable.:mad:

The Italian Army in Libya was in no way shape or form ready to launch a blitzkrieg. And the British troops in Egypt just happened to include some of the best trained, led, and equipped forces in the Empire, including one fully equipped Armoured division that could go through their Italian opponents like a hot knife through warm butter. And did.

4) Also the advanced weapon research were put to halt at this stage, only to be reactivated again in 1942-43.

The cut back on production I know about. But they really cut back on R & D?

I think that the Eastern Front would have been winnable by Germans, but would require a lot of things to change. Strategically the entire war was really hard to win, but to achieve some kind of a peace was maybe possible vs. unconditional surrender.

Germans, not Nazis. You're not in WWII if the USSR isn't in a war to save the very life of its people as a whole.
 
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TFSmith121

Banned
Merci, Messrs. Bloch et Braudel

But of course there is another theory according to which it is history - the chain of events, economic factors, political ideas, people, climate, geography and whatnot - that actually makes the great men, and not the other way around. If that theory is true, then getting rid of a great man only gives rise to another one who will implement those historical forces....even with poorer leaders than Churchill, Stalin and Roosevelt, the fact remains that the Allies had manpower, industry, resources, territory, and time on their side. They count more than the "great" men.

Merci, Messrs. Bloch et Braudel...tre bien.

Best,
 
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