|
#181
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Its starting to look very much that way. I'm going to have trouble getting that image out of my mind now. ![]() I'm wondering also about how the US government, once the Lakes campaign fails, shuffles regulars [I presume?] west to 'free-up' Kentucians to attack the British in the west and north of the Ohio. While they are in the front line and hence potentially the most exposed, some of them might be wondering why the formal army is doing the garrison work to allow them to do the fighting. ![]() Suspect that fairly soon there's going to be a lot more pressure to come to terms. Militarily and economically the costs are growing. Would I be right in suspecting that OTL Ross's replacement was a General Pakenham? Steve |
|
#182
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
I'm getting rather curious about the presumed New Orleans attack in this TL, Dathi. How prepared were the States in OTL? With St. Louis having fallen and the British-aligned forces at the end of a rather long supply line, I'd think there'd be an escalation at the southern port there to keep the British presence on the Missippi line tentative. |
|
#183
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
One reason for 'shifting' people is to minimize the distance from 'home', especially for militia. Pennsylvanians in Ohio are likely to have higher morale than if they were shipped all the way out to southern Illinois, say. Also, the Kaintucks have been doing a lot of the small garrison/mounted patrol kinds of duty in southern Indiana and in Ohio that would be needed in southern Illinois - they're well trained in precisely the sort of soldiering needed there. The Pennsylvanians can sit garrison the forts on the Ohio border, freeing some of the Ohians to take over the Kentucky mobile patrols, say. Quote:
That's the one!
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#184
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Quote:
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#185
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Quote:
Could be that a crushing defeat there plus open rebellion in New England [if not necessarily military] are the far from substantial straws that finally break the camels back and bring the Americans to accept their lost? Steve |
|
#186
|
|||
|
|||
|
You just created a disaster for Great Britain.
Following the debacle in Russia France was offered generous terms including the Rhine as France's border, the Allies ceding Belgium, southern Holland, the German territory west of the Rhine and parts of Switzerland to France and only Napoleon refused to consider it. If the new French government accepts then France is much stronger, not to mention infighting among Prussia and Austria over spoils since Prussia's Rhenish reward just vanished.
__________________
P.J. O'Rourke: We also elected some amateur politicians. However, politics is like vivisectiondisturbing as a career, alarming as a hobby.
|
|
#187
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
I don't think so. Working from memory but pretty certain that was what was offered the previous autumn, late 1813. By the spring of 1814 I think it was off the table plus since Napoleon still rejected it and went down fighting it would be a fairly moot point anyway. The Bourbons have been returned to power by the allies so have no claims on any territory France held before they were overthrown. They might get slightly more favourable terms as Napoleon was defeated earlier and there's no chance of a revival with him being dead. Or this might mean that the allies feel less need to be generous to them. However would expect something fairly similar to the historical peace terms. Might be a few tweaks. Have suggested that possibly Britain might secure more of the Grand Banks Fisheries for instance.Steve |
|
#188
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Prussia will be a Russian satellite So how much of the return to prewar status quo are we likely to see. thats of course if that bargain isn't off the table at this point. |
|
#189
|
|||
|
|||
|
Battle of New Orleans
Battle of New Orleans
In the first week of September, General Ross pulls his men out of Chesapeake Bay, and heads with them to Jamaica where various British forces are being assembled. He has with him the 5000+ men he had had in the Chesapeake bay, and meets with other forces assembled there. While it does take some time to assemble this group, they do NOT have to wait for London to decide on and send a new commander. [OTL, Pakenham did not arrive until after the attack he was supposed to be leading had already started.] Given the reduced danger to the Maritimes (since New England is now not at all a threat), many of the troops stationed there are sent either into Canada or south to join Ross's expedition. All in all, Ross is able to accumulate 10,000 men in Jamaica by the beginning of October. His first act on arriving at Jamaica (before the whole force is assembled) is to send a medium sized force to West Florida firstly to Pensacola, where the group coordinates with the Red Stick Creeks and the Pensacola garrison, and then, augmented with some of those local forces, heads to Mobile, specifically Fort Bowyer at the mouth of the bay on the 15th of September. Since the winds were right, a coordinated attack from both land and sea was possible, and the fort was soon taken. [OTL Andrew Jackson had just upgraded the defences of Fort Bowyer. Since he's not around, General Flournoy didn't get around to it in time. (Flournoy's still in charge, because all the attention is focussed in other theatres, and there wasn't anyone really obvious to replace him with.) Also, the Allied forces are much larger (the Red Sticks are in much better shape, there were more forces at Pensacola, and Ross and Cochrane moved south much faster). In addition, the OTL attack was attempted a few days earlier when the wind was in the wrong direction to allow naval support.] With the fort gone, the city of Mobile is rather exposed and it surrenders relatively quickly. With Ross in Jamaica early enough to do some planning, and with time to consult with Spanish officials, naval officers, and other army officers, the lack of the required small boats is discovered. The army officers assumed the navy was supplying them, some naval officers assumed the army was, some officers of both branches assumed the locals would have them. Since a major part of the proposed attack plan involved sending thousands of men on small boats through the waterways around New Orleans, a shortage of boats could have been a disaster [and was OTL]. While the main force is getting organized, a task force is given the job of supplying boats, buying them locally around the Caribbean, buying them, whatever it takes. [note that OTL, the lack of small boats and not having control of Mobile severely restricted the British options for attacking New Orleans. Here they have much better options, can move more men and cannon and ammunition much more easily.] The British forces set sail, and land near New Orleans on the 12 of November 1814 [one month earlier than OTL]. Being better prepared, and having more options open to them, they are able to move their forces, including several heavy cannon from the warships in against New Orleans in a week. Due to the speed of advance, there is not enough time for the Americans to prepare elaborate dug-in defences, [OTL the landing was 12 December and the final battle 8 January]. Flournoy sent desperate messages off for reinforcements, but there is no time for them to arrive before the battle [unlike OTL, where groups from Tennessee, Kentucky and Mississippi all made it to the battle in time. Some had, admittedly set out before the British landed, but they won't have even started off with the earlier British invasion, iTTL.] Flournoy proposes to increase the numbers of defenders by arming the local free blacks free men of colour. The whites complain loudly and bitterly, and he backs down. [OTL, Jackson armed them anyway] The lack of strong defensive works means that the attack is less of a defensive dream than OTL, and the British overrun the American lines fairly quickly since they have a 3-1 advantage [OTL, with armed blacks and the various reinforcements, Jackson had a bit more than 4000 well dug in, facing some 5-6000 British. Here, we have 3000, in much worse positions against 9000 (as more of the British force was able to be concentrated at once), and the British have far more cannons and ammunition]. Casualties are high, about a thousand killed wounded for each side, but the defensive line is pierced and New Orleans is open to attack. The Louisiana legislature quickly votes to surrender, and as Flournoy was captured with his men, there is no one to countermand the surrender. With New Orleans in hand, the British are easily able to defeat in detail groups of Kentuckians, Tennesseeans and Mississippians who arrive separately, and Lousiana is now in British hands.
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#190
|
|||
|
|||
|
Ouch.
New Orleans might be enough to get the Yanks to (finally) give up. Now it is time to start cutting their losses before they are completely overrun and occupied. I wonder how this is going to go over at the peace negotiations? Or in Washington/wherever the Congress is cowering?
__________________
The square root of 912.04 is 30.2... It all seemed harmless... |
|
#191
|
|||
|
|||
|
I agree
![]() Quote:
Quote:
The only problem I can see with the scenario is that Dathi has pretty much said New England becomes independent but given the collapse of the US position its difficult to see their demands not being met. Unless someone in Washington really loses it in a fit of anger. Good update again Dathi. Going to be interesting when peace discussion really start off. ![]() Steve |
|
#192
|
|||
|
|||
|
Glad to see another commenter. Thanks.
Quote:
There isn't going to be a lot of negotiation. The actual treaty gets hammered out in a week or so, once the negotiators receive instructions that let them negotiate on compatible terms (mostly the US surrendering, but they do hold out for some figleaf compromises).
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#193
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
thanks As I said in the last post to RCAFBrat, the negotiations are going to be quick when they start, so mostly you're going to see the final result, with a few footnotes.
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#194
|
|||
|
|||
|
Sidenote on Andy Jackson
As I was reading through the history of the war, especially in the southern theatres, I was totally amazed at how incredibly effective Andrew Jackson was. I strongly dislike the man, being crude and violent and arrogant and overbearing - his later refusal to obey the Supreme Court is, IMO, entirely consistent with the man's personality.
On the other hand, the number of things that he did for the US in this war is astounding. While he did not beat the British single-handedly, it really is amazing just HOW MUCH of the US success is directly due to him. Defeat of the Red Sticks? AJ. The Georgians had at least as many forces, with much better logistics, but it was AJ who led, organized, and won all the major battles. Pensacola. AJ Mobile defence. The British were repelled at Fort Bowyer. Why, because AJ had just ordered the defences upgraded. New Orleans. From his personal leadership and charisma, to the rough-shod over-riding of locals wishes (arming blacks, e.g.) to the organizing and digging of the extensive defensive works, to his appeal to the westerners, which led more Kentucky and Tennessee defenders to be there than there might otherwise have been. In all of these cases, he was directly responsible for major factors that led to the successful defence of New Orleans. If any other general had been in place, New Orleans might very well have fallen to the British, even if they took horrible losses (and even if it didn't matter, because the peace was already signed). Andrew Jackson was absolutely astounding (sometimes in a positive sense, sometimes in a negative one), but you sure can't ignore the man! Being able to remove him by his succumbing to an OTL wound that was almost fatal, made the TL a whole lot easier!
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#195
|
|||
|
|||
|
Peace Treaty, 1815
Peace Treaty
The word of the disaster in New Orleans reaches Washington just before Christmas. The President and cabinet meet over the Christmas holidays, and taken with the other troubles[1], they decide that peace must be reached immediately on whatever terms can be got. That decision is not reached without some acrimonious debate, but there really isn't much other choice. So in the first week of January, a courier ship is sent post-haste to Ghent with instructions to seek peace on whatever terms the British are prepared to offer. Word doesn't reach London quite as fast, but the decision there is easier. They offer basically uti possidetis, with minor adjustments. So both sides are finally ready to come to an agreement. The treaty is signed on 14 February 1815
Note that the British get basically everything they actually want, but yield on several minor points, so the US has SOMETHING they can point to. – 1 Not only is this major military defeat coming on top of the New England crisis, but the US financial situation is sagging and in danger of collapse. There are too many US Tnotes in circulation, they are starting to lose value, and inflation is picking up. If the war continues, the US just isn't going to be able to finance it, really. 2 Britain maintains the Louisiana purchase was invalid, as the Treaty of San Ildefonso was invalid and thus territory wasn't Napoleon's to sell. The US refuses to agree to this, but recognizes that the British have it by right of conquest, if nothing else. 3 The wording on the clause about the Indian Protectorate is chosen very, very careful. Britain guarantees the independent governance of the Protectorate, but who actually holds sovereignity over the land is deliberately left vague. The Indians, of course, believe they do. The Americans are left with the fig-leaf claim that they hold sovereignty, and the situation is de jure almost identical to before the war. De facto, of course, anyone can see that isn't the case. The Brits know that the Indian protectorate is in their pocket and don't really care whose it is 'officially', as long as it is EFFECTIVELY theirs. 4 (the British wanted a wider strip, and 44°30, but the Americans pushed hard for the smaller area). This does give them Ogdensburg and Plattsburgh, which the British WERE going to have. 5 The British wanted the US forts dismantled, but the US wasn't prepared to budge on that. 6 The US had (some) cause to declare war on Britain, and she's also losing most of her Northwest and West to Britain. The war on Spain, however, was essentially unprovoked – and Spain isn't gaining any new territory, just getting (most of) her rightful territory back. The indemnity or reparations are partly in compensation for the US attacking Spain, and partly a 'purchase' of the St. Augustine area in northeast Florida. The US had tried to get Britain to pay for the Louisiana Purchase land they're getting, but the Brits countered with a demand (for the exact same amount) of reparations. The end result was both monetary claim and counter claim were dropped, and neither appears in the treaty. 7 note that WHAT those rights consist of is not stated, so this clause is essentially meaningless – but the British can point to it as defending their Indian allies, while not actually doing much of anything. Verbal assurances given to the American negotiators let them know that the British have no intention of interfering unless the US gets really, REALLY obnoxious with the Creeks, etc. While is is not written into the treaty, it is understood that Spanish Florida (East and West) will welcome any fleeing Indians and blacks, so there is a bit of a) a safety valve, b) a reserve of hostile anti-US residents. So as long as the US only cheats the 5 civilized tribes, she can get away with it... Edit: The strip of land in northern Ohio along the Maumee is NOT part of the protectorate, it's part of British Michigan. Oops, sorry. Also, the territorial adjustments in New York (Britain getting the south bank of the St Lawrence and Plattsburg), are all Britain gets in New York. In particular, Fort Niagara is returned, which with the gain of St. Augustine, lets the US spin the treaty as being not nearly as bad as abject surrender, even if there's no possible way to spin it as a 'win'.
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 Last edited by Dathi THorfinnsson; October 6th, 2009 at 02:24 PM.. |
|
#196
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
![]() Quote:
Steve |
|
#197
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
So, it's suddenly more expensive to export anything from west of the Appalachian Mountains, but internal trade and transport isn't anymore difficult than it was before. Note that iOTL and iTTL most exports even from Ohio went down the Mississippi. Note that this will be a great revenue source for the British, and, eventually, help with the debt problem. I figure the Brits (and Spanish) are going to charge a transit fee of, say 5%, on 'Allied' shipping through those river ports (British, Spanish, Indian), while the American shipping will be charged rather more. In the immediate aftermath of the war the charge might be up to 40% of value, depending on the product. The American presence (as a US presence as opposed to foreign settlers settling on British land) west of the Mississippi is now gone. However, the US will fairly heavily settle the land in Kentucky and Tennessee and Ohio that they do have.
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#198
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Just to clarify my last post was written pretty much simultaneously with your one on the peace terms. Only just noticed your post. Hence I was talking about the situation while the fighting was going on and possibly afterwards. Agree that the best way is for the British [for the Mississippi] is to allow passage but with a transit fee. It will make US development of its lands more expensive and hence less slower and as you say supply some funds to help with the huge war debts Britain will face. However doesn't make things impossible for the Americans but does mean their economy west of the Appalaitians are heavily dependent on British and Spanish good will. Which makes the costs of a new war far greater for the western Americans. Know I've hinted this before but what's the situation with the fisheries please? Their very important economically. Also if the US has made concessions here not only is it good for Britain/Canada but it will deeply upset New England, which could help bring things to a head there. Steve |
|
#199
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Also, unlike some other wars (like the Franco-British wars in North America), fishing wasn't one of the stated war aims for either side. I wouldn't be at all surprised if British naval patrols on the Grand Banks conducted more severe inspections of US flagged vessels, but if so it may not even be official policy - and hey, you KNOW those guys are smuggling SOMETHING.... Still, boats are going in and out and bringing fish home, which is what really matters to the fishermen. OTL, even the initial British positions, which were pretty tough, didn't include any restrictions on fishing rights. iTTL, where they are pushing the US so hard on land, they might, MIGHT even give them more generous terms - but that's not in the treaty. Actually, what's going to happen, I've just decided, is that when New England breaks off, the initial thought is that New England succeeds to all American fishing rights on the Grand Banks, etc., as they were the majority of the fishing fleet. But, to keep the US happy (OK, to keep them from boiling over) they'll allow the rest of the US the same rights.. None of this is set in stone, so if you think I should change something, let me know, either here or by PM. You know I'll at least consider it.
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
|
#200
|
|||
|
|||
|
OK, let's see if the map posts
Green is effectively neutral New England (still part of the US, for now) Gold is Spanish. The blue spots at St. Louis and Fort Osage didn't get removed when I expanded the red (British) area. Ignore them. Note Spain has all of East and West Florida back except for losing St.Augustine. (Yes, the 'Florida parishes' of OTL's Louisiana should probably be gold Spanish, not red British.)
__________________
David Houston un Canadien errant my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010 updated: 1 Sep '12 |
![]() |
| Thread Tools | |
| Display Modes | |
|
|