WI A Jewish rebellion in 29-30 AD?

The Jewish historian Flavius Josephus also relates in his Book "Antiquities of the Jews" that Herod killed John, stating that he did so, "lest the great influence John had over the people might put it into his power and inclination to raise a rebellion, (for they seemed ready to do any thing he should advise), so Herod thought it best to put him to death."
WI A Jewish rebellion against Herod Antypas (and subsequently against Roman authority) erupted then? Would anyone listened to Jesus's teaching or he would be ignored amidst war?
 
The Jewish historian Flavius Josephus also relates in his Book "Antiquities of the Jews" that Herod killed John, stating that he did so, "lest the great influence John had over the people might put it into his power and inclination to raise a rebellion, (for they seemed ready to do any thing he should advise), so Herod thought it best to put him to death."
WI A Jewish rebellion against Herod Antypas (and subsequently against Roman authority) erupted then? Would anyone listened to Jesus's teaching or he would be ignored amidst war?

No, I don't imagine Jesus's teachings would be heard in such a context. THus:

1) In that case, God would have known the situation ahead of time and not sent His Son then. [theological answer]

2) there were LOTS of 'messiah' claimants running around at that general time. It is certainly possible that at least one would arise as a figure-head leader of the revolt. However, since a revolt against Herod would be perceived in Rome as a revolt against Rome, it's not going to succeed, and no new religion will arise from it. [sociological/historical answer]
 
Poor timing. In fact, exceedingly poor timing.

The Jesus crowd is liable to simply be swept away in the tide - there was enough revolutionary potential around to fuel a very violent and broad-based uprising, though leadership is a bit iffy (AFAIR a lot of the main theological leaders were accommodationist under the Hasmonaeans). It's quite likely the uprising will spread to Jerusalem and Judaea. And it will end in tears.

AD 30 sees Tiberius still firmly in power, a man with a military background, experience in governing client kingdoms, and absolutely no sense of humour about uppity provincials. He has little enough use for martial glory the way the Flavians did - he's still wedded to the Pax Augusta ideology - but he has Augstus' settlement with the Parthians to keep his rear covered, and he has thirty-odd legions. The Augustan establishment, which means strained for replacement manpower, still accustomed to loot as a major source of income, more flexible and a lot more predatory than the more sedate post-Claudian army.

I would absolutely hate to be in the way of that smackdown. Mind, if Jesus survives it, he could well gather a somewhat bigger following afterwards along the lines of 'told you so'.
 
- but he has Augstus' settlement with the Parthians to keep his rear covered, and he has thirty-odd legions.

Maybe the Parthians take advantage of the chaotic situation in Judaea and start invading Syria causing further mayhem in eastern borders of the Empire...
 
I would absolutely hate to be in the way of that smackdown. Mind, if Jesus survives it, he could well gather a somewhat bigger following afterwards along the lines of 'told you so'.

Could this lead to the end of Judaism as we know it, with the battered survivors accepting the more pacifistic Jesus as the Messiah?

If we want Him to get crucified, perhaps the Roman occupation authorities see him as another potentially-violent Messianic claimant and nail Him.
 
Maybe the Parthians take advantage of the chaotic situation in Judaea and start invading Syria causing further mayhem in eastern borders of the Empire...

They didn't in 68... then again, you can never predict when someone willdo something stupid. This could get very interesting, but I don't give them too much of a chance. Tiberius is good at this.
 
I think that if Jesus started preaching in the middle of a rebellion he would be caught by the Romans after his very first sermon... The last thing Roman needed was another prophet stirring the masses... Jews would be innocent and Romans would be the "bad guys" then...
 
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