What would happen to the American revolution if Louis XVI placed financial concerns over strategic/prestige ones, and did not interwine in the ARW as much as OTL?
Granted, European Powers, France included, still wanted the to see the British tied up in America. So there would still be some sort of aids to the rebels. If the French tried to do this in relatively inexpensive means (spy, diplomacy, trainers, etc) that doesn't place a great burden on their coffers, would the Spanish or the Dutch increase or decrease their own aid to the continentals?
And without help from the French as much as OTL, how long would the Americans hold before they were defeated? (Or how much longer would it take for them to win?)
(Bonus if you talk about consequences on France itself)
Granted, European Powers, France included, still wanted the to see the British tied up in America. So there would still be some sort of aids to the rebels. If the French tried to do this in relatively inexpensive means (spy, diplomacy, trainers, etc) that doesn't place a great burden on their coffers, would the Spanish or the Dutch increase or decrease their own aid to the continentals?
And without help from the French as much as OTL, how long would the Americans hold before they were defeated? (Or how much longer would it take for them to win?)
(Bonus if you talk about consequences on France itself)